296
FNUS75 KMSO 110852
FWSMSO

Spot Forecast for Moose Fire
National Weather Service Missoula MT
252 AM MDT Tue Aug 11 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on August 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...Warm, dry and breezy conditions will bring critical
fire weather this afternoon and evening. Wind gusts of 20-25 mph
will develop by mid-afternoon, with isolated gusts to 30 mph by
late-afternoon into early evening as stronger winds mix down from
aloft. A gradual cooling trend will follow Wednesday into
Thursday for maximum daytime temperatures and a gradual increase
of RH. Overnight poor recoveries and thermal belts still expected
on Tuesday night, but better than previous nights, with maximum RH
likely to be near 50 percent. Smoke may be dense at times and
will push visibility down to 3 to 6 miles.

Slight chance of high based showers or dry thunderstorms
developing during Wednesday afternoon. However, little or no
rainfall expected reaching ground. Dry thunderstorm more likely to
the far south or far east of the fire ground if develops. Watch
gusty outflow winds near any thunderstorms.

Chance of showers and gusty thunderstorms are expected to
increase from Thursday.

Light northeasterly 5-10 mph forecast to push in during Wednesday
evening through Thursday morning.

.TODAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Sunny.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...0 percent.
* Chance Lightning....0 percent.
* Max Temperature.....72-77.
* Min Humidity........15-20 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........Variable 2-5 mph becoming west 6-10 mph in
  the afternoon. Gusts of 20-25 mph during the afternoon.
* Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl increasing to 8000 ft agl.
* Mixing Winds........West 10 mph.
* Precip Amount.......0.00 inches.

.TONIGHT...

* Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...0 percent.
* Chance Lightning....0 percent.
* Min Temperature.....48-53.
* Max Humidity........39-44 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........Northwest around 5 mph with gusts to around
  25 mph in the evening becoming variable and terrain driven 1-3
  mph overnight.
* Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl decreasing to 500 ft agl early in
  the evening.
* Mixing Winds........Northwest 5 mph.
* Precip Amount.......0.00 inches.

.WEDNESDAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy. Chance of rain showers and
  slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...Less than 10 percent.
* Chance Lightning....20 percent.
* Max Temperature.....71-76.
* Min Humidity........22-27 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........Variable 1-3 mph becoming west around 5 mph
  with gusts to around 20 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing Height.......Around 450 ft agl increasing to 10000 ft
  agl.
* Mixing Winds........Southwest 10 mph.
* Precip Amount.......0.00 inches.

$$
Forecaster...Lukinbeal
Requested by...Jack Rinck
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2619412.0/MSO
.DELDT 08/11/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ron_brunell@firenet.gov,jack_rinck@firenet.gov,julia.goar@mt.gov,2026_MTBDF_Moose@firenet.gov