Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Missoula, MT

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416
FNUS75 KMSO 250101
FWSMSO

Spot Forecast for Elder FIre
National Weather Service Missoula MT
701 PM MDT Fri Jul 24 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 MDT on July 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...The fire down in Rock Creek drainage will be
sheltered from the winds this afternoon into the evening. While
the fire along the ridge south of Rock Creek will be exposed to
southwesterly winds through mid evening. The winds appear to be
more westerly on Saturday allow more to make its way into the
valley bottom during the afternoon. Temperatures are expected to
be a few degrees warmer with lower afternoon humidity readings.

.TONIGHT...

* Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...0 percent.
* Chance Lightning....0 percent.
* Min Temperature.....60-65.
* Max Humidity........42-47 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........
       Valley.........Variable 3-6 mph
       Ridge Top......Southwest 5-10 mph gusts up to 20 mph in the
                      evening decreasing to 3-7 mph after midnight.
* Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl decreasing to 500 ft agl early in
  the evening.
* Mixing Winds........West 5 mph.
* Precip Amount.......0.00 inches.

.SATURDAY...

* Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...0 percent.
* Chance Lightning....0 percent.
* Max Temperature.....Valley 90-95. Ridge Top 85-90
* Min Humidity........Valley 9-14 percent. Ridge Top 16-21 percent
* Wind (20 ft)........
       Valley.........Variable 3-6 mph becoming west 5-10 mph gusts
                      to 15 mph in the afternoon.
       Ridge Top......Southwest 3-7 mph becoming west 10-15 mph
                      gusts to 25 mph in the afternoon.
* Mixing Height.......Increasing to 9000 ft agl.
* Mixing Winds........Southwest 10 mph.
* Precip Amount.......0.00 inches.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

* Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear.
* CWR (> 0.10 Inch)...0 percent.
* Chance Lightning....0 percent.
* Min Temperature.....57-62.
* Max Humidity........46-51 percent.
* Wind (20 ft)........West 6-13 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in the
  evening.
* Mixing Height.......Decreasing to 500 ft agl early in the
  evening.
* Mixing Winds........West 10 mph.
* Precip Amount.......0.00 inches.

$$
Forecaster...Smith
Requested by...Erin OLoughlin
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2618169.0/MSO
.DELDT 07/24/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL william.read@usda.gov,jacob.n.fallis@usda.gov,erin.oloughlin1@usda.gov,john.digiando@usda.gov