243
FNUS74 KMRX 111220
FWSMRX

Spot Forecast for TN-CNF-SZ Pace Gap...USFS
National Weather Service Morristown TN
820 AM EDT Tue Mar 11 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on March 11.

If conditions become unrepresentative,contact the National Weather
Service...at 1-800-697-0075. If possible, please provide feedback
for every spot forecast request.

.DISCUSSION...

...VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

Much of the week will be dry and warm. Some mainly light showers may
make it into the area Thursday, then there will be a better chance
for rain over the weekend including the possibility of strong to
severe thunderstorms on Saturday afternoon and night.

Relative humidity values will become quite low this afternoon
with minimum values in the 15 to 25 percent range across most of
the area. Wednesday will see very low relative humidity values as
well. Winds will generally be on the light side today
with afternoon wind speeds of 5 to 10 mph common, but winds will
likely be at least slightly stronger Wednesday afternoon.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 6 mph late in
                    the afternoon, then becoming light late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 8 mph shifting to the west 8 to 13
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
Sky (%).........2   3   1   4   3   4   3   3   2   4   3   5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............42  44  52  58  62  64  67  69  71  71  70  66
RH..............52  49  38  30  27  26  23  22  20  21  22  25
20 FT wind dir..E   E   W   NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..1   2   2   2   2   2   3   5   6   6   6   3
20 FT wind gust.5   6   6   7   8   10  13  13  14  13  12  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.3 1.4 1.9 2.2 2.6 3.0 3.1 3.1 2.9 0.6
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.5   5   5   8   8   9   9   12  12  13  13  12

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 12 mph.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.

TIME (EDT)      8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM
Sky (%).........5   5   5   5   6   4   4   4   5   4   5   4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............61  58  57  55  54  53  52  50  50  49  49  49
RH..............31  34  37  40  43  47  53  60  62  65  66  63
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.9   9   9   9   9   9   9   8   8   8   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.10  9   10  10  12  10  10  12  10  9   9   8

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 16 mph increasing to 15 to 20
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
Sky (%).........3   4   2   5   5   4   3   3   3   3   4   4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............47  50  57  61  64  67  69  71  71  71  69  66
RH..............71  65  51  45  40  36  32  30  30  30  31  35
20 FT wind dir..S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   5   5   6   7   7   7   7   6
20 FT wind gust.9   9   10  10  12  13  15  16  17  17  17  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.2 0.9 1.8 2.3 2.9 3.4 3.9 4.2 4.0 3.1 1.8
Transp wind dir.S   SW  W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.8   7   8   8   10  13  14  16  18  20  18  15

$$
Forecaster...David Hotz
Requested by...Cody Daniels
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2503642.4/MRX
.DELDT 03/09/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL cnfsouthzonefire@gmail.com,charles.daniels@usda.gov