Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS74 KMRX 050806
FWSMRX

Spot Forecast for TN-CNF SZ Gravelstand...USFS
National Weather Service Morristown TN
406 AM EDT Thu Jun 5 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0500 EDT on June 05.

If conditions become unrepresentative,contact the National Weather
Service...at 1-800-697-0075. If possible, please provide feedback
for every spot forecast request.

.DISCUSSION...

The early summer pattern continues with isolated showers or
thunderstorms this afternoon. Showers and thunderstorms increase in
coverage on Friday afternoon and Saturday afternoon.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 62.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 6 mph.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.

TIME (EDT)      5AM 6AM 7AM
Sky (%).........56  55  48
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............63  63  62
RH..............90  90  93
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.7   7   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.6   5   5

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the
                    afternoon. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon, then slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 3 to 5 mph shifting to the northwest 5 to
                    6 mph late in the afternoon.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
Sky (%).........48  41  33  35  29  37  57  61  54  57  42  37
Weather cov.....                            SCH SCH CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            SCH SCH CHC SCH SCH
Temp............64  67  70  73  74  75  77  78  79  78  77  76
RH..............90  84  76  66  66  64  58  58  58  60  62  64
20 FT wind dir..NE  N   N   N   N   NW  N   N   N   N   NW  W
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.6   5   5   6   6   7   7   7   7   8   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.7 1.5 2.2 2.7 3.0 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.4 2.7 1.1
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   NE  NE  N   N   N   NW  N   NW  NW
Transp wind spd.3   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   5   5   5   6

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers early in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 3 to 5 mph shifting to the south 5 to 6
                    mph early in the evening.
Rainfall amount.....0.01 inches.

TIME (EDT)      8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM
Sky (%).........37  32  57  52  49  40  40  42  22  37  39  33
Weather cov.....SCH
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............74  70  69  68  68  67  67  66  66  66  66  65
RH..............71  81  84  87  87  87  87  90  87  90  90  93
20 FT wind dir..NW  S   S   SW  S   S   S   S   S   SW  S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.7   6   7   7   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.NW  W   S   SE  S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  S
Transp wind spd.5   3   5   5   6   5   6   6   6   6   5   5

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers in the morning. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms late in the morning, then showers
                    and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon, then becoming light late in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 3 to 8 mph.
Rainfall amount.....0.18 inches.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
Sky (%).........30  25  25  31  42  46  49  53  57  61  67  73
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........            SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Temp............67  69  73  75  77  78  79  80  80  80  79  77
RH..............90  87  79  71  67  64  62  60  62  62  64  71
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   3
20 FT wind gust.6   6   7   9   10  12  12  12  12  12  12  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.8 1.5 2.2 1.9 1.5 1.2 1.6 2.2 2.6 2.1 1.4
Transp wind dir.SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.3   5   5   6   7   8   8   8   7   6   6   6

$$
Forecaster...Doug Schneider
Requested by...Charles Daniels
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2515219.3/MRX
.DELDT 06/05/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL cnfsouthzonefire@gmail.com,charles.daniels@usda.gov