687
FNUS74 KMRX 301558
FWSMRX

Spot Forecast for TN-CNF Madden Branch Prep...USFS
National Weather Service Morristown TN
1058 AM EST Thu Jan 30 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EST on January 30.

If conditions become unrepresentative,contact the National Weather
Service...at 1-800-697-0075. If possible, please provide feedback
for every spot forecast request.

.DISCUSSION...

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST
FRIDAY FOR THE EAST TENNESSEE MOUNTAINS...

Above average temperatures to continue for the next week.
Northeastern portions of Tennessee into Virginia will see relative
humidity values drop below 40% again today before moisture
returns ahead of rain system. Low RH values will be accompanied
with light winds. Light rain on Thursday followed by additional
showers Thursday night and steady rain on Friday. Gusty winds in
East Tennessee mountains and foothills Thursday night into Friday
morning with wind gusts up to 50 mph expected. Dry weather returns
Saturday and continues into next week.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain late in
                    the morning, then slight chance of rain in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 16 mph.
Rainfall amount.....0.01 inches.

TIME (EST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
Sky (%).........96  94  89  87  87  83  87  86  86
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
Temp............52  56  58  60  61  60  59  56  53
RH..............48  43  42  41  39  39  39  43  50
20 FT wind dir..E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.7   8   9   12  13  13  14  16  17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 1.0 1.6 1.9 2.5 1.7 1.0 1.0 0.9
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.8   9   12  13  15  14  13  14  16

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers early in the evening. Chance of rain
                    showers after 3 am, then rain showers early in
                    the morning.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 7 mph early in
                    the evening. Gusts up to 28 mph.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 17 to 22 mph.
Rainfall amount.....0.08 inches.

TIME (EST)      8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM
Sky (%).........86  87  94  94  95  87  85  92  90  81  83  97
Weather cov.....        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC DEF
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............53  52  52  53  54  55  55  55  55  55  55  55
RH..............50  54  59  59  61  66  69  74  77  83  90  93
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   3   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   7   7
20 FT wind gust.20  21  23  23  24  25  25  25  25  28  28  28
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.3
Transp wind dir.SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.18  20  18  18  18  18  18  18  17  18  18  22

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Rain showers in
                    the morning, then rain showers likely in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph with gusts to around
                    28 mph in the morning becoming light.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 21 mph decreasing to around 10
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Rainfall amount.....0.43 inches.

TIME (EST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
Sky (%).........97  97  97  97  97  95  87  79  71  58  46  36
Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............56  57  59  59  59  59  59  59  58  56  54  52
RH..............93  96  93  90  87  83  78  72  69  72  74  77
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..7   6   6   6   5   5   5   3   2   2   2   1
20 FT wind gust.28  25  23  22  21  20  18  17  16  15  13  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.5 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.5 1.1 0.8
Transp wind dir.S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.20  21  21  20  20  18  17  15  14  13  12  10

$$
Forecaster...Timothy Doyle
Requested by...Michael Haisten
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2501874.0/MRX
.DELDT 01/30/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL michael.haisten@usda.gov

Max LVORI 2 today, 4 late tonight and 8 at 8AM EST Friday.
There was only 1 elevation so only 1 mixing height.