Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FXUS64 KMRX 102308 AAA
AFDMRX

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Morristown TN
708 PM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 705 PM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025

- Fall-like, cool temperatures and dry weather expected through
  this weekend into next week. A slight warming trend next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 113 PM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025

Northerly flow aloft and surface high pressure continue to keep us
mostly clear and cooler this evening and into the weekend. A
gradual warming trend commences as upper-level ridging increases
across the Lower Mississippi Valley. This will continue to limit
overall boundary layer moisture and keep precipitation chances
near zero into next week. A quick moving cold front may bring some
low precipitation chances to the area late next week, but at this
time, precipitation chances remain very low because of limited
moisture ahead of the front and questions with the location and
timing of the front.

For now, mostly clear conditions, seasonal temperatures, and dry
weather continue for most, if not all, of the upcoming 7 days.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 705 PM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025

A mention of fog will be added to the TRI TAF as some model
guidance is trending in that direction. Clear/calm conditions and
rapid cooling after sunset should lead to fog in valleys, near
lakes, and fog-prone locations like TRI. VLIFR conditions are
possible, but will mention LIFR for now in a TEMPO given the
uncertainty.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Chattanooga Airport, TN             53  77  51  78 /   0   0   0   0
Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN  49  74  48  76 /   0   0   0   0
Oak Ridge, TN                       49  74  49  76 /   0   0   0   0
Tri Cities Airport, TN              44  72  47  73 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...99
AVIATION...DGS