Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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075
FXUS64 KMRX 240520
AFDMRX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Morristown TN
120 AM EDT Mon Aug 24 2026

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 114 AM EDT Mon Aug 24 2026

- Dry conditions with more comfortable humidity levels through
  Tuesday.

- Shower and thunderstorm chances will return Wednesday and
  especially Thursday.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 114 AM EDT Mon Aug 24 2026

In the upper levels, a deep trough remains over the East Coast as a
ridge stays centered over the Rocky Mountains. Temperatures will be
cooler this morning with lows in the 60s for most of the Tennessee
Valley and in the 50s in Northeast Tennessee, Southwest Virginia and
the higher elevations. Some patchy fog will be possible mainly near
bodies of water. Today and tomorrow will be dry with low humidity as
high pressure remains over the Ohio Valley. Highs will be in the 80s
for most of the Tennessee Valley, sorry Chattanooga (90-92). Dew
points will be pleasant in the 50s at times.

Rain chances start to increase on Wednesday as a shortwave moves
into the Great Lakes Region. At the surface, a stationary boundary
will likely be over the Southeast U.S., bringing a chance for
showers and storms Wednesday evening and into the overnight hours.
Thursday afternoon will have the highest rain chances as a shortwave
moves through the Ohio Valley.

Friday through the weekend looks mostly dry as the trough weakens.
Some afternoon showers and storms will be possible mainly near the
mountains and foothills.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 114 AM EDT Mon Aug 24 2026

Patchy fog again possible early this morning, but lower confidence
of occurrence this morning on account of the drier airmass in
place. Fog should be fairly isolated around fog-prone locations.
Post sunrise clearing any fog out, the remainder of the day is dry
with VFR conditions and light winds under high pressure.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Chattanooga Airport, TN             91  65  92  67 /   0   0   0   0
Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN  87  61  88  64 /   0   0   0   0
Oak Ridge, TN                       87  61  88  63 /   0   0   0   0
Tri Cities Airport, TN              83  56  84  60 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...McD
AVIATION...Wellington