934
FNUS73 KMQT 121143
FWSMQT

Spot Forecast for Germfask Piles...USFWS
National Weather Service Marquette MI
743 AM EDT Wed Mar 12 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on March 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Light southeast winds dominate the burn site today as a weak low
pressure moves through the region. Could see some flurries early due
to this low, but expect nothing more than a dusting at the very
most. Moving into tonight, the light southeast winds could become
southwesterly late; but with weak high pressure ridging moving in at
the same time, I wouldn`t be surprised if winds became calm late
tonight instead. Light southerly winds pick back up Thursday as a
strong low develops over the Plains.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    flurries late in the morning.
Temperature.........23 at ignition...Max 38.
33-foot winds.......Winds southeast at 7 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Southeast winds 6 to 8
                    mph.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 500-2000 ft
                    AGL.
Ventilation index...Poor (47) at ignition. Max...fair (243.0).
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
Ceiling (kft).......7.3 decreasing to 5.8 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 7.3 early in the afternoon
                    increasing to 8.5 late in the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........80  74  72  70  66  67  69  68
Weather cov.....CHC
Weather type....SW
Tstm cov........
Temp............23  28  31  34  36  36  37  37
33 ft wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
33 ft wind spd..7   7   8   8   8   8   8   8
20 ft wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 ft wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Wind gust.......11  11  11  11  11  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 1.3 1.4 1.8 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.8
VIndx kt-ft/100.5   14  15  19  24  23  24  18
Ceiling (kft)...7.3 5.8 5.8 5.8 7.3 7.3 8.5 8.5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Temperature.........Min 22.
33-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 7 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 5 mph after 3 am.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds up to 6 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 4 mph after 3 am.
Mixing height.......400-1300 ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Poor (29.0).
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
Ceiling (kft).......8.5 increasing to 25.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........66  60  68  54  57  51  47  49  58  61  65  66
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............36  34  31  29  28  26  26  26  25  24  23  23
33 ft wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SW  SW  SW
33 ft wind spd..7   7   7   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 ft wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SW  SW  SW
20 ft wind spd..6   6   6   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Wind gust.......10  10  10  7   7   7   6   6   6   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
VIndx kt-ft/100.12  4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Ceiling (kft)...8.5 9.5 12  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Temperature.........Max 48.
33-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the
                    afternoon.
20-foot winds.......South winds up to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......400-1700 ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Poor to fair (24.0-134.0).
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
Ceiling (kft).......25.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........62  49  58  76  61  47  46  52  59  62  61  59
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............22  23  22  24  29  37  41  44  47  47  46  46
33 ft wind dir..SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
33 ft wind spd..3   3   3   3   3   3   6   6   6   7   7   7
20 ft wind dir..SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 ft wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   5   5   5   6   6   6
Wind gust.......5   5   5   6   6   6   10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.4 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.4
VIndx kt-ft/100.3   3   3   3   2   4   6   10  13  13  12  11
Ceiling (kft)...25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25  25

$$
Forecaster...TAP
Requested by...Josh Haen
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2506108.0/MQT
.DELDT 03/12/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL joshua_haen@fws.gov