Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
Versions:
1
374
FNUS73 KMQT 042135
FWSMQT
Spot Forecast for 581 East...MI DNR
National Weather Service Marquette MI
535 PM EDT Fri Oct 4 2024
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 EDT on October 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 5 PM EDT SATURDAY...
.DISCUSSION...High pressure will remain over the area into Saturday
afternoon before a cold front with a narrow band of showers and
thunderstorms approaches the area by Saturday evening. The gustiness
of the wind will diminish this evening as mixing decreases due to loss
of daytime heating.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Areas of frost
early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Temperature.........59 at forecast start...Min 34.
RH..................40 percent at forecast start...Max 92 percent.
Dewpoint............33.
33-foot winds.......Winds west at 3 mph at forecast
start...otherwise Light winds.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL at forecast start...otherwise 6200
ft AGL decreasing to 0-300 ft AGL.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth at forecast start...max 5.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
Ceiling (kft).......6.9 increasing to 20 in the evening, then
decreasing to 16 late in the evening increasing
to 25 early in the morning.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........22 22 11 5 4 4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............59 51 46 43 39 38
Dewpoint........35 33 33 33 33 33
RH..............40 49 61 69 78 80
33 ft wind......W 3 W 3 S 1 SW 2 SW 2 SW 1
20 ft wind......W 2 W 2 S 1 SW 2 SW 2 SW 1
Wind gust.......11 11 5 6 6 6
Mix hgt (ft)....6200 300 BLW100 300 300 300
Haines index....4 5 5 5 5 5
Ceiling (kft)...6.9 20 20 17 16 16
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Areas of frost early in
the morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Temperature.........Max 66.
RH..................Min 34 percent.
Dewpoint............33 increasing to 39 in the late morning and
early afternoon, then decreasing to 37 early in
the afternoon increasing to 47 late in the
afternoon.
33-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 14 mph increasing to 17 to 21
mph in the afternoon.
20-foot winds.......South winds 6 to 17 mph increasing to 16 to 17
mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......100-1400 ft AGL increasing to 2100-3600 ft AGL
late in the morning.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
large plume dominated fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
Ceiling (kft).......25 decreasing to 15 late in the afternoon, then
increasing to 25 late in the afternoon.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........7 12 21 15 18 27
Weather cov.....AREAS AREAS
Weather type....FROST FROST NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............35 37 51 60 65 66
Dewpoint........33 32 39 38 36 46
RH..............91 82 65 44 34 49
33 ft wind......S 6 S 6 S 14 S 20 S 20 S 21
20 ft wind......S 5 S 5 S 11 S 16 S 16 S 17
Wind gust.......10 10 17 21 21 25
Mix hgt (ft)....200 300 1400 2700 3500 3600
Haines index....5 5 4 3 4 3
Ceiling (kft)...25 25 25 25 25 15
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
mostly clear (20-30 percent). Rain showers and
chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
LAL.................1 until 2100, then 3 until 2200, then 2 until
2300, then 3 until 0200, then 1.
Temperature.........Min 45.
RH..................Max 93 percent.
Dewpoint............52 increasing to 53 late in the evening, then
decreasing to 46 after 3 am decreasing to 43
early in the morning.
33-foot winds.......South winds 18 to 20 mph with gusts to around
31 mph shifting to the west 8 to 14 mph
overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms late in the evening. Gusty
and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
late in the evening.
20-foot winds.......South winds 14 to 16 mph with gusts to around
25 mph decreasing to around 14 mph with gusts
to around 25 mph late in the evening, then
shifting to the west 6 to 11 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......1600-3200 ft AGL decreasing to 100-1100 ft AGL
overnight.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.41 inches.
Ceiling (kft).......16 early in the evening.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........41 88 83 68 36 15
Weather cov..... S CHC DEFNTE
Weather type....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE
Tstm cov........ S CHC CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).0 10 20 90 0 0
LAL.............1 1 2 3 1 1
Temp............63 60 59 57 54 50
Dewpoint........50 51 54 55 52 45
RH..............61 73 84 92 93 84
33 ft wind......S 20 S 20 S 18 W 14 W 14 W 9
20 ft wind......S 16 S 16 S 14 W 11 W 11 W 7
Wind gust.......25 25 25 18 18 14
Mix hgt (ft)....3200 2500 1900 1100 300 200
Haines index....3 2 2 2 3 4
Ceiling (kft)...16 17
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers early in the morning. Chance of
rain showers late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................1.
Temperature.........Max 54.
RH..................Min 74 percent.
Dewpoint............41.
33-foot winds.......West winds 8 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 26 mph in
the late morning and afternoon.
20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 26 mph in
the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......0-1700 ft AGL increasing to 3600-5300 ft AGL in
the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.02 inches.
Ceiling (kft).......MISSING.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........8 15 38 58 75 78
Weather cov..... S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 20 20 20 30 30
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............47 46 48 50 50 49
Dewpoint........42 40 42 43 42 42
RH..............80 81 80 78 74 78
33 ft wind......W 9 W 9 W 14 W 15 W 15 NW 15
20 ft wind......W 7 W 7 W 11 W 12 W 12 NW 12
Wind gust.......14 14 18 19 19 21
Mix hgt (ft)....BLW100 300 3600 5300 4800 4800
Haines index....4 4 4 4 3 3
Ceiling (kft)...
$$
Forecaster...Michels
Requested by...Keith Murphy
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2423632.0/MQT
.DELDT 10/04/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL murphyk1@michigan.gov