082
FNUS73 KMQT 241430
FWSMQT

Spot Forecast for Black River Harbor...USFWS
National Weather Service Marquette MI
1030 AM EDT Thu Apr 24 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1300 EDT on April 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
While the weather will remain dry throughout the day, clouds will
generally build in from the southwest this afternoon with rain
showers potentially impacting the prescribed burn this evening
through the overnight hours. Could see a broken cloud deck down to
around 2 kft this morning, but this is looking to give way to higher
level clouds later today. Mixing remains poor as the marine air from
Lake Superior will create stability near the sfc. The marine
influence will keep winds generally northerly today, with the
incoming low from the southwest keeping the winds northeasterly
tonight.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Temperature.........44 at ignition...Max 45.
RH..................70 percent at ignition...Min 66 percent.
Dewpoint............34.
33-foot winds.......Winds North at 7 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    North winds 6 to 9 mph.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 800-1000 ft
                    AGL.
Ventilation index...Poor (70) at ignition. Max...poor (77.0).
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
Ceiling (kft).......9.5 increasing to 25 late in the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........53  61  65  71  74
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   10  10  10
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0
Temp............44  44  45  44  44
Dewpoint........34  34  34  34  34
RH..............70  69  66  69  67
33 ft wind dir..N   N   NE  NE  NE
33 ft wind spd..7   7   9   9   9
20 ft wind dir..N   N   NE  NE  NE
20 ft wind spd..6   6   7   7   7
Wind gust.......8   8   10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.8
VIndx kt-ft/100.7   8   7   8   8
Ceiling (kft)...9.5 25  25  25  25

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers early in the evening. Chance of rain
                    early in the evening, then rain likely late in
                    the evening.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Chance of thunder...3 percent.
Temperature.........Min 37.
RH..................Max 88 percent.
Dewpoint............34.
33-foot winds.......Northeast winds 6 to 9 mph.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......600-700 ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Poor (41.0).
Rainfall amount.....0.19 inches.
Ceiling (kft).......25 decreasing to 1.1.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........77  79  81  85  87  88  88  86  89  89  89  91
Weather cov.....    CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....    RW  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  30  40  40  40  60  70  70  70  70  70  70
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............44  43  43  45  43  41  41  40  40  39  39  39
Dewpoint........34  33  34  35  35  35  35  35  35  35  35  35
RH..............67  67  71  68  73  78  81  83  83  84  86  86
33 ft wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
33 ft wind spd..9   9   9   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 ft wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 ft wind spd..7   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Wind gust.......10  10  10  8   8   8   7   7   7   10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
VIndx kt-ft/100.7   6   6   4   4   4   5   6   5   5   5   5
Ceiling (kft)...25  25  9.5 7.3 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 4.5 3.5 1.1 1.1

$$
Forecaster...TAP
Requested by...Forest Paukert
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2511672.0/MQT
.DELDT 04/24/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL francis.paukert@usda.gov