Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
851
FNUS73 KMQT 071342
FWSMQT
Spot Forecast for Summit Lake...USFS
National Weather Service Marquette MI
842 AM EST Thu Nov 7 2024
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0830 EST on November 07.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Dry weather will persist through the end of the work week.
Main threat today will be increasing westerly winds, which
will gust in excess of 25 mph by this afternoon. Meanwhile,
Min RH values will be in the 60-65% range with high
temperatures in the upper 40s.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Temperature.........38 at forecast start...Max 46.
RH..................94 percent at forecast start...Min 62 percent.
Dewpoint............33.
33-foot winds.......Winds west at 10 mph at forecast
start...otherwise West winds 8 to 14 mph with
gusts to around 26 mph.
20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph with gusts to around 21
mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL at forecast start...otherwise
600-2500 ft AGL increasing to 2200-3300 ft AGL
in the afternoon.
Ventilation index...Fair (256) at forecast start. Max...excellent
(618.0) increasing to excellent (682.0) in the
afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth at forecast start...max
4.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
Ceiling (kft).......9.5 decreasing to 3.4 late in the morning, then
decreasing to 1.9 late in the morning
increasing to 2.8 late in the morning
decreasing to 2.3 increasing to 4.4 early in
the afternoon increasing to 9.3 increasing to
19 late in the afternoon.
TIME (EST) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........47 49 46 33 16
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1
Temp............35 39 42 45 46
Dewpoint........34 34 34 34 33
RH..............94 83 74 65 62
33 ft wind......W 8 W 10 W 14 W 14 W 14
20 ft wind......W 6 W 8 W 11 W 11 W 11
Wind gust.......16 18 19 19 21
Mix hgt (ft)....600 1500 2500 3100 3000
Haines index....3 3 4 4 3
VIndx kt-ft/100.14 37 62 82 88
Ceiling (kft)...9.5 1.9 2.3 4.4 21
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Temperature.........Min 35.
RH..................Max 94 percent.
Dewpoint............31 decreasing to 29 overnight.
33-foot winds.......West winds 12 to 16 mph with gusts to around 32
mph.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 13 mph with gusts to around 26
mph.
Mixing height.......0-1100 ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Poor to good (10.0-371.0).
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
Ceiling (kft).......23 decreasing to 21 early in the morning.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........13 9 11 9 7 6 6 5 7 5 4 12
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............42 41 37 38 37 36 37 36 36 36 35 35
Dewpoint........33 33 32 31 30 29 29 28 28 29 29 30
RH..............70 73 79 76 75 74 72 73 72 76 78 80
33 ft wind dir..W W W W W W W W W W W W
33 ft wind spd..16 16 16 16 16 16 15 15 15 13 13 13
20 ft wind dir..W W W W W W W W W W W W
20 ft wind spd..13 13 13 13 13 13 12 12 12 10 10 10
Wind gust.......24 24 24 26 26 26 25 25 25 23 23 23
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2
Haines index....4 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 3 3 4 4
VIndx kt-ft/100.37 9 1 4 9 9 10 9 9 8 8 5
Ceiling (kft)...23 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 24 21
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Temperature.........Max 44.
RH..................Min 58 percent.
Dewpoint............32 increasing to 33 in the late morning and
early afternoon, then decreasing to 30 late in
the afternoon.
33-foot winds.......Northwest winds 6 to 13 mph.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......100-1600 ft AGL increasing to 1800-3200 ft AGL
late in the morning.
Ventilation index...Poor to good (39.0-517.0) increasing to fair to
excellent (198.0-618.0) in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
Ceiling (kft).......17 decreasing to 13 early in the morning, then
increasing to 17 late in the morning decreasing
to 15 late in the morning decreasing to 11
decreasing to 6.7 early in the afternoon
increasing to 12 increasing to 18 late in the
afternoon increasing to 23.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........12 15 12 13 19 19 16 11 8 6 6 5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............35 35 35 39 41 42 42 43 43 43 42 40
Dewpoint........30 32 34 34 35 34 33 31 30 30 30 30
RH..............83 90 94 84 81 74 69 62 60 58 60 66
33 ft wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
33 ft wind spd..12 12 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 8 8 8
20 ft wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 ft wind spd..10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 6 6 6
Wind gust.......18 18 18 18 18 18 16 16 16 11 11 11
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.6 2.2 2.8 3.2 3.2 3.0 2.6 1.8
Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 4 4 4
VIndx kt-ft/100.4 7 16 27 41 52 62 60 55 42 31 20
Ceiling (kft)...17 13 15 17 19 15 11 6.7 12 18 23
$$
Forecaster...TDUD
Requested by...Clara Nieland
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2425008.12/MQT
.DELDT 11/07/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL sm.fs.midc@usda.gov