Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
419
FNUS53 KMQT 171001
FWFMQT
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR UPPER MICHIGAN
National Weather Service Marquette MI
601 AM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Despite occasional bouts of high pressure (including today),
abundant low level moisture will keep minimum RHs around or above 50
percent throughout the next week. For today, expect northeast winds
around 10 mph with gusts to 15 mph (locally higher, especially near
Lake Superior). Tonight through Monday, chances of thunderstorms
spread from west to east. Precip totals by Monday evening in the
west may approach 1 inch, though the central UP is only expected to
see a quarter to a half inch of rain and the eastern UP will only
see up to a tenth of an inch of rain. Winds on monday will shift to
be out of the southeast at around 10 mph with gusts up to 15 mph,
except over the Keweenaw where gusts to 25 mph are possible.
MIZ001-003-181200-
Keweenaw-Northern Houghton-
Including the cities of Copper Harbor, Houghton, and Hancock
601 AM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....62-67.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........58-63 percent.
24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East 10 to 15 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........12.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers late.
Chance of showers 50 percent.
Min temperature.....53-58.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 8 to 13 mph.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.18 inch.
Chance of thunder...7 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 70
percent.
Max temperature.....65-70.
Min humidity........76-81 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 9 to 14 mph with gusts to
around 30 mph.
PCPN amount.........0.33-0.73 inch.
Hours of Sun........2.
Chance of thunder...34 percent.
$$
MIZ002-009-084-181200-
Ontonagon-Gogebic-Southern Houghton-
Including the cities of Ontonagon, Ironwood, Kenton, and Sidnaw
601 AM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025 /501 AM CDT Sun Aug 17 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
24 hr trend......36 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph through
early afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........10.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy. A
chance of rain showers by midnight. A chance of
thunderstorms by midnight. Rain showers likely
late. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....52-57 inland to around 60 at the shore.
24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........96-100 percent inland to 90 percent at the
shore.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 7 to 12 mph decreasing to 6 to 11 mph
late. Gusts up to 20 mph.
PCPN amount.........0.09-0.69 inch.
Chance of thunder...31 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and a chance of
thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 80
percent.
Max temperature.....70-75.
Min humidity........78-83 percent inland to 70 percent at the
shore.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 6 to 11 mph with gusts to
around 20 mph.
PCPN amount.........0.24-0.87 inch.
Hours of Sun........3.
Chance of thunder...42 percent.
$$
MIZ004-005-181200-
Baraga-Marquette-
Including the cities of L`Anse, Gwinn, and Marquette
601 AM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....65-70 inland to around 64 at the shore.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........51-56 percent inland to 61 percent at the
shore.
24 hr trend......28 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
through early afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........11.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear then becoming partly cloudy. A chance of
rain showers late. A slight chance of
thunderstorms late. Chance of precipitation 50
percent.
Min temperature.....50-55.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East 6 to 11 mph shifting to the southeast with
gusts to around 20 mph late.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.13 inch.
Chance of thunder...8 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers through
early afternoon. A chance of thunderstorms.
Rain showers likely by mid afternoon. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....66-71.
Min humidity........82-87 percent inland to 74 percent at the
shore.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 7 to 12 mph with gusts to
around 25 mph.
PCPN amount.........0.13-0.87 inch.
Hours of Sun........3.
Chance of thunder...34 percent.
$$
MIZ010-011-181200-
Iron-Dickinson-
Including the cities of Iron River and Iron Mountain
501 AM CDT Sun Aug 17 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
24 hr trend......35 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
through early afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........11.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear then becoming partly cloudy. A chance of
rain showers and a slight chance of
thunderstorms late. Chance of precipitation 50
percent.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East 6 to 11 mph shifting to the southeast 5 to
10 mph late.
PCPN amount.........0.02-0.24 inch.
Chance of thunder...16 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely and a chance
of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 70
percent.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........84-89 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph with gusts to
around 20 mph.
PCPN amount.........0.26-0.92 inch.
Hours of Sun........2.
Chance of thunder...36 percent.
$$
MIZ012-181200-
Menominee-
Including the city of Menominee
501 AM CDT Sun Aug 17 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........49-54 percent inland to 58 percent at the
shore.
24 hr trend......35 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 7 to 12 mph with gusts to around 20
mph shifting to the east by mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........11.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear then becoming partly cloudy. A slight
chance of rain showers late. Chance of showers
20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 54 inland to around 61 at the shore.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........86-91 percent inland to 82 percent at the
shore.
24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southeast
late.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.04 inch.
Chance of thunder...10 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and
thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 50
percent.
Max temperature.....69-74.
Min humidity........75-80 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 6 to 11 mph with gusts to
around 20 mph.
PCPN amount.........0.13-0.42 inch.
Hours of Sun........3.
Chance of thunder...38 percent.
$$
MIZ006-007-085-181200-
Alger-Luce-Northern Schoolcraft-
Including the cities of Grand Marais, Munising, Newberry,
and Seney
601 AM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....66-71.
24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........48-53 percent inland to 58 percent at the
shore.
24 hr trend......26 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
through early afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........13.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. A slight chance of rain showers
late. Chance of showers 20 percent.
Min temperature.....51-56.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........87-92 percent inland to 79 percent at the
shore.
24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East 7 to 12 mph shifting to the southeast 5 to
10 mph late.
PCPN amount.........None.
Chance of thunder...1 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. A
slight chance of thunderstorms by mid
afternoon. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........58-63 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 8 to 13 mph with gusts to
around 20 mph.
PCPN amount.........0.02-0.22 inch.
Hours of Sun........5.
Chance of thunder...20 percent.
$$
MIZ013-181200-
Delta-
Including the cities of Escanaba and Gladstone
601 AM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
24 hr trend......32 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
through early afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........12.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear then becoming partly cloudy. A slight
chance of rain showers late. Chance of showers
20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 52 inland to around 59 at the shore.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-93 percent inland to 80 percent at the
shore.
24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southeast
with gusts to around 20 mph late.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.02 inch.
Chance of thunder...5 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. A
chance of thunderstorms by mid afternoon.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........71-76 percent inland to 67 percent at the
shore.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 7 to 12 mph with gusts to
around 20 mph.
PCPN amount.........0.07-0.22 inch.
Hours of Sun........4.
Chance of thunder...26 percent.
$$
MIZ014-095-181200-
Southern Schoolcraft-Western Mackinac-
Including the cities of Manistique and Engadine
601 AM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
24 hr trend......33 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
through early afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........13.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....52-57.
24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........86-91 percent inland to 79 percent at the
shore.
24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southeast
with gusts to around 20 mph late.
PCPN amount.........None.
Chance of thunder...1 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms by mid
afternoon. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........59-64 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 8 to 13 mph with gusts to
around 20 mph.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.11 inch.
Hours of Sun........5.
Chance of thunder...18 percent.
$$
MIZ096-097-181200-
Eastern Mackinac-Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Including the cities of St. Ignace and Mackinac Island
601 AM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
24 hr trend......29 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
through early afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........13.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....53-58.
24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........76-81 percent.
24 hr trend......22 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East 6 to 11 mph increasing to 5 to 10 mph with
gusts to around 20 mph late.
PCPN amount.........None.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy. A
slight chance of rain showers by mid afternoon.
Chance of showers 20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........56-61 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 11 to 16 mph with gusts to
around 25 mph.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.01 inch.
Hours of Sun........7.
Chance of thunder...8 percent.
$$
MIZ088-181200-
Southeast Chippewa-
Including the city of Drummond
601 AM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
24 hr trend......28 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph
through early afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........14.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....Around 55.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........73-78 percent.
24 hr trend......23 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East 7 to 12 mph through midnight. Gusts up to
20 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph with gusts to
around 25 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........7.
Chance of thunder...4 percent.
$$
MIZ086-087-181200-
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-
Including the cities of Eckerman and Sault Ste. Marie
601 AM EDT Sun Aug 17 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
24 hr trend......27 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
through early afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........14.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........76-81 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East 6 to 11 mph increasing to 5 to 10 mph with
gusts to around 20 mph late.
PCPN amount.........None.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers
by mid afternoon. Chance of showers 20 percent.
Max temperature.....69-74.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 9 to 14 mph.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.07 inch.
Hours of Sun........6.
Chance of thunder...10 percent.
$$
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Cloudy with a chance of rain showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Lows
57 to 62. Highs 68 to 73. Northeast winds 4 to 9 mph with gusts to
around 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 52 to 57 inland to around 59 at the
shore. Highs 73 to 78 inland to around 72 at the shore. Variable
winds 5 mph or less.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows around 52 inland to around 60 at the
shore. Highs around 80. Variable winds 5 mph or less.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of rain showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 58 inland to around 65 at the shore.
Highs 78 to 83 inland to around 77 at the shore.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of rain showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 53 to 58 inland to around 62 at the shore. Highs
71 to 76.
.Outlook for Sun Aug 24 through Sat Aug 30...expect below normal
temperatures and near normal precipitation.
$$
...................Smoke Management Forecast data....................
The following values are for 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) today:
Mixing Transport Ventilation
WIMS ID/ Site / Height / Winds / Index
------------------------------------------------------------------
471301 / WAUSAUKEE / 3800 / E 11 / 418 (G)
200301 / KENTON / 2800 / E 11 / 308 (G)
200504 /BARAGA PLAINS / 3200 / E 10 / 320 (G)
201004 / MUNISING / 2600 / N 12 / 312 (G)
201002 / DOE LAKE / 3200 / N 10 / 320 (G)
201103 / HIGH BRIDGE / 3500 / NE 10 / 350 (G)
200703 / GWINN / 2500 / NE 12 / 300 (G)
200903 / LABRANCHE / 3300 / NE 10 / 330 (G)
200503 / PELKIE / 2700 / E 14 / 378 (G)
201504 / RACO / 2400 / NE 11 / 264 (F)
200802 / RANDVILLE / 3100 / NE 11 / 341 (G)
201401 / REXTON / 2800 / NE 10 / 280 (F)
201505 / RUDYARD / 3600 / NE 9 / 324 (G)
201202 / SENEY / 3300 / NE 10 / 330 (G)
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE / 3000 / NE 10 / 300 (G)
201102 / STONINGTON / 3800 / NE 10 / 380 (G)
200102 / WAKEFIELD / 2900 / E 11 / 319 (G)
200103 / WATERSMEET / 3100 / E 9 / 279 (F)
/DRUMND ISLAND / 3000 / NE 11 / 330 (G)
/ KEWEENAW / 2400 / E 14 / 336 (G)
201506 / TROUT LAKE / 3100 / NE 10 / 310 (G)
THE FOLLOWING VALUES ARE FOR 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) Mon...
Mixing Transport Ventilation
WIMS ID/ Site / Height / Winds / Index
------------------------------------------------------------------
471301 / WAUSAUKEE / 1800 / SE 17 / 306 (G)
200301 / KENTON / 1500 / S 20 / 300 (G)
200504 /BARAGA PLAINS / 1900 / S 23 / 437 (G)
201004 / MUNISING / 2000 / SE 18 / 360 (G)
201002 / DOE LAKE / 2200 / SE 18 / 396 (G)
201103 / HIGH BRIDGE / 2300 / SE 17 / 391 (G)
200703 / GWINN / 2000 / S 20 / 400 (G)
200903 / LABRANCHE / 1700 / SE 18 / 306 (G)
200503 / PELKIE / 1800 / S 17 / 306 (G)
201504 / RACO / 2100 / SE 18 / 378 (G)
200802 / RANDVILLE / 1700 / SE 18 / 306 (G)
201401 / REXTON / 2200 / SE 17 / 374 (G)
201505 / RUDYARD / 2700 / SE 19 / 513 (G)
201202 / SENEY / 2400 / SE 17 / 408 (G)
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE / 2400 / SE 17 / 408 (G)
201102 / STONINGTON / 1900 / SE 17 / 323 (G)
200102 / WAKEFIELD / 1900 / S 20 / 380 (G)
200103 / WATERSMEET / 1500 / S 20 / 300 (G)
/DRUMND ISLAND / 3100 / SE 19 / 589 (G)
/ KEWEENAW / 1000 / SE 19 / 190 (F)
201506 / TROUT LAKE / 2400 / SE 19 / 456 (G)
Note: Mixing heights are in feet above ground level
Transport winds are in miles per hour
.....................................................................
The following is point forecast information valid at 1 PM EST.
Note that the QPF is from 7 AM to 1 PM EST. Also, wind speeds have
been reduced by a factor of 0.7 by the request of local fire officials.
WIMS ID/ Site/ Temp/ RH/ WSPD/WGST/WDIR/QPF
---------------------------------------------------
471301 / WAUSAUKEE/ 72/ 57/ 6/ 8/ NE/0.00
200301 / KENTON/ 66/ 58/ 6/ 9/ NE/0.00
200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/ 67/ 58/ 5/ 8/ NE/0.00
201004 / MUNISING/ 63/ 64/ 8/ 12/ NE/0.00
201002 / DOE LAKE/ 67/ 55/ 5/ 8/ N/0.00
201103 / HIGH BRIDGE/ 70/ 51/ 5/ 7/ NE/0.00
200703 / GWINN/ 64/ 61/ 7/ 9/ NE/0.00
200903 / LABRANCHE/ 70/ 54/ 6/ 8/ NE/0.00
200503 / PELKIE/ 66/ 60/ 8/ 11/ NE/0.00
201504 / RACO/ 64/ 56/ 6/ 8/ NE/0.00
200802 / RANDVILLE/ 69/ 54/ 5/ 8/ NE/0.00
201401 / REXTON/ 67/ 53/ 6/ 8/ NE/0.00
201505 / RUDYARD/ 68/ 52/ 5/ 8/ NE/0.00
201202 / SENEY/ 69/ 50/ 6/ 8/ NE/0.00
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 66/ 52/ 6/ 8/ NE/0.00
201102 / STONINGTON/ 71/ 52/ 5/ 8/ NE/0.00
200102 / WAKEFIELD/ 67/ 58/ 6/ 9/ E/0.00
200103 / WATERSMEET/ 68/ 55/ 5/ 8/ E/0.00
/DRUMND ISLAND/ 67/ 52/ 6/ 8/ NE/0.00
/ KEWEENAW/ 62/ 63/ 8/ 12/ E/0.00
201506 / TROUT LAKE/ 67/ 53/ 5/ 8/ NE/0.00
$$
WFO MQT