Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
056
FNUS53 KMQT 161003
FWFMQT
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR UPPER MICHIGAN
National Weather Service Marquette MI
603 AM EDT Sat Aug 16 2025
.DISCUSSION...
No fire weather concerns are expected for the next week as abundant
moisture keeps minimum RHs above 40-50 percent. Showers and storms
are expected to move into the area through tonight, with wetting
rainfall (a tenth or more of rain) 60-80 percent likely for most of
the UP. The area that could has the greatest chance of missing out
on the rainfall is the Keweenaw; if this occurs, then drought
concerns may increase there. Otherwise, we could see some spots have
ponding/flooding/flash flooding problems tonight with multiple
inches of rainfall possible if multiple thunderstorms move over a
single location.
MIZ001-003-171015-
Keweenaw-Northern Houghton-
Including the cities of Copper Harbor, Houghton, and Hancock
603 AM EDT Sat Aug 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of thunderstorms
through early afternoon. A chance of rain
showers. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....67-72.
24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........62-67 percent inland to 71 percent at the
shore.
24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 6 to 11 mph.
PCPN amount.........0.03-0.39 inch on the Keweenaw Peninsula...and
none to 0.02 inch over Isle Royale.
Hours of Sun........5.
Chance of thunder...18 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming clear.
Min temperature.....Around 55.
24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........85-90 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 6 to 11 mph with gusts to around 25
mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Chance of thunder...2 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....63-68.
Min humidity........61-66 percent.
20-foot winds.......East 8 to 13 mph with gusts to around 20
mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........10.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ002-009-084-171015-
Ontonagon-Gogebic-Southern Houghton-
Including the cities of Ontonagon, Ironwood, Kenton, and Sidnaw
603 AM EDT Sat Aug 16 2025 /503 AM CDT Sat Aug 16 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Patchy fog early. A chance of rain
showers and thunderstorms. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........81-86 percent inland to 75 percent at the
shore.
24 hr trend......33 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
PCPN amount.........0.25-0.98 inch.
Hours of Sun........2.
Chance of thunder...32 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers
early in the evening. Chance of showers 20
percent.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........93-98 percent inland to 85 percent at the
shore.
24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.03 inch.
Chance of thunder...8 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. A slight chance of rain showers.
A slight chance of thunderstorms late. Chance
of precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.01 inch.
Hours of Sun........8.
Chance of thunder...13 percent.
$$
MIZ004-005-171015-
Baraga-Marquette-
Including the cities of L`Anse, Gwinn, and Marquette
603 AM EDT Sat Aug 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog early. A chance of
rain showers and thunderstorms. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........78-83 percent.
24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 6 to 11 mph.
PCPN amount.........0.21-0.57 inch.
Hours of Sun........2.
Chance of thunder...30 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers
early in the evening. Chance of showers 20
percent.
Min temperature.....52-57.
24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........94-99 percent inland to 89 percent at the
shore.
24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph late.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.16 inch.
Chance of thunder...7 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....66-71 inland to around 65 at the shore.
Min humidity........57-62 percent inland to 66 percent at the
shore.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
through early afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........9.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ010-011-171015-
Iron-Dickinson-
Including the cities of Iron River and Iron Mountain
503 AM CDT Sat Aug 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog early. Rain showers
likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....73-78.
24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........82-87 percent.
24 hr trend......27 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph increasing to 7 to 12 mph by
mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........0.29-0.63 inch.
Hours of Sun........2.
Chance of thunder...34 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly clear. A
slight chance of thunderstorms early in the
evening. A slight chance of rain showers
through midnight. Chance of precipitation 20
percent.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.17 inch.
Chance of thunder...12 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. A slight chance of rain showers.
Chance of showers 20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........54-59 percent.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 7 to 12 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........9.
Chance of thunder...7 percent.
$$
MIZ012-171015-
Menominee-
Including the city of Menominee
503 AM CDT Sat Aug 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog early. Rain showers
likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........79-84 percent.
24 hr trend......26 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph.
PCPN amount.........0.12-0.47 inch.
Hours of Sun........3.
Chance of thunder...34 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. A
slight chance of thunderstorms early in the
evening. A chance of rain showers through
midnight. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 58.
24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........90-95 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 6 to 11 mph.
PCPN amount.........0.02-0.14 inch.
Chance of thunder...14 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. A slight chance of rain showers
by mid afternoon. Chance of showers 20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........54-59 percent.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the
east 6 to 11 mph by mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........10.
Chance of thunder...9 percent.
$$
MIZ006-007-085-171015-
Alger-Luce-Northern Schoolcraft-
Including the cities of Grand Marais, Munising, Newberry,
and Seney
603 AM EDT Sat Aug 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog early. A chance of
rain showers and thunderstorms. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....76-81 inland to around 73 at the shore.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........79-84 percent.
24 hr trend......30 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the north 6
to 11 mph by mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........0.18-0.57 inch.
Hours of Sun........3.
Chance of thunder...36 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers
early in the evening. Chance of showers 20
percent.
Min temperature.....Around 56.
24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........89-94 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph shifting to the northeast 7
to 12 mph with gusts to around 20 mph late.
PCPN amount.........0.02-0.26 inch.
Chance of thunder...5 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....70-75.
Min humidity........46-51 percent inland to 58 percent at the
shore.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
through early afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........11.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
$$
MIZ013-171015-
Delta-
Including the cities of Escanaba and Gladstone
603 AM EDT Sat Aug 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog early. A chance of
rain showers through early afternoon. A chance
of thunderstorms. Rain showers likely by mid
afternoon. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........79-84 percent.
24 hr trend......29 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
PCPN amount.........0.06-0.48 inch.
Hours of Sun........3.
Chance of thunder...36 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly clear. A
slight chance of rain showers early in the
evening. Chance of showers 20 percent.
Min temperature.....55-60.
24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........90-95 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph late.
PCPN amount.........0.02-0.16 inch.
Chance of thunder...7 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
through early afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........11.
Chance of thunder...2 percent.
$$
MIZ014-095-171015-
Southern Schoolcraft-Western Mackinac-
Including the cities of Manistique and Engadine
603 AM EDT Sat Aug 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog early. A chance of
rain showers through early afternoon. A chance
of thunderstorms. Rain showers likely by mid
afternoon. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........80-85 percent.
24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph shifting to the northwest by
mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........0.12-0.50 inch.
Hours of Sun........3.
Chance of thunder...43 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly clear. A
slight chance of rain showers through midnight.
Chance of showers 20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........90-95 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph increasing to 7 to 12 mph
with gusts to around 20 mph late.
PCPN amount.........0.03-0.28 inch.
Chance of thunder...6 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
through early afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........12.
Chance of thunder...1 percent.
$$
MIZ096-097-171015-
Eastern Mackinac-Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Including the cities of St. Ignace and Mackinac Island
603 AM EDT Sat Aug 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and
thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 50
percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........75-80 percent.
24 hr trend......22 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the west 6 to
11 mph by mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........0.09-0.31 inch.
Hours of Sun........3.
Chance of thunder...51 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly clear. A
slight chance of rain showers through midnight.
Chance of showers 20 percent.
Min temperature.....56-61.
24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 7 to 12 mph shifting to the northeast 8
to 13 mph with gusts to around 20 mph late.
PCPN amount.........0.04-0.40 inch.
Chance of thunder...8 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
through early afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........11.
Chance of thunder...2 percent.
$$
MIZ088-171015-
Southeast Chippewa-
Including the city of Drummond
603 AM EDT Sat Aug 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and
thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 50
percent.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........70-75 percent.
24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 6 to 11 mph shifting to the west 5 to
10 mph by mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........0.09-0.45 inch.
Hours of Sun........3.
Chance of thunder...52 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. A slight
chance of thunderstorms early in the evening. A
chance of rain showers through midnight. Chance
of precipitation 40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........93-98 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 6 to 11 mph shifting to the northeast
8 to 13 mph with gusts to around 25 mph late.
PCPN amount.........0.07-0.40 inch.
Chance of thunder...14 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph
through early afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........11.
Chance of thunder...3 percent.
$$
MIZ086-087-171015-
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-
Including the cities of Eckerman and Sault Ste. Marie
603 AM EDT Sat Aug 16 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers through
early afternoon. A chance of thunderstorms.
Rain showers likely by mid afternoon. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....78-83.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........77-82 percent.
24 hr trend......25 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the northwest
6 to 11 mph by mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........0.11-0.73 inch.
Hours of Sun........3.
Chance of thunder...51 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly clear. A
slight chance of rain showers through midnight.
Chance of showers 20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........90-95 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the northeast
6 to 11 mph with gusts to around 20 mph late.
PCPN amount.........0.03-0.29 inch.
Chance of thunder...7 percent.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
through early afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........12.
Chance of thunder...2 percent.
$$
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Rain showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Lows 52 to 57 inland to around
60 at the shore. Highs 69 to 74 inland to around 68 at the shore.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts to around 25 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers and a
slight chance of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. Lows 56 to 61. Highs 67 to 72. Northeast winds 4 to 9 mph
with gusts to around 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 50 to 55 inland to around 59 at the
shore. Highs 72 to 77. Variable winds 5 mph or less.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows around 51 inland to around 60 at the
shore. Highs around 79.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear with a 20 percent chance of rain showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 57 inland to around 64 at the
shore. Highs 77 to 82.
.Outlook for Sat Aug 23 through Fri Aug 29...expect below normal
temperatures and near normal precipitation.
$$
...................Smoke Management Forecast data....................
The following values are for 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) today:
Mixing Transport Ventilation
WIMS ID/ Site / Height / Winds / Index
------------------------------------------------------------------
471301 / WAUSAUKEE / 1700 / W 10 / 170 (F)
200301 / KENTON / 1100 / NE 10 / 110 (P)
200504 /BARAGA PLAINS / 1500 / NE 9 / 135 (F)
201004 / MUNISING / 1300 / NW 8 / 104 (P)
201002 / DOE LAKE / 1800 / NW 8 / 144 (F)
201103 / HIGH BRIDGE / 2100 / W 8 / 168 (F)
200703 / GWINN / 1600 / N 6 / 96 (P)
200903 / LABRANCHE / 2000 / W 9 / 180 (F)
200503 / PELKIE / 1600 / NE 10 / 160 (F)
201504 / RACO / 2200 / W 8 / 176 (F)
200802 / RANDVILLE / 2100 / SW 11 / 231 (F)
201401 / REXTON / 2000 / SW 10 / 200 (F)
201505 / RUDYARD / 2900 / W 12 / 348 (G)
201202 / SENEY / 2600 / W 8 / 208 (F)
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE / 2800 / W 6 / 168 (F)
201102 / STONINGTON / 2000 / W 8 / 160 (F)
200102 / WAKEFIELD / 1500 / SE 11 / 165 (F)
200103 / WATERSMEET / 1800 / W 11 / 198 (F)
/DRUMND ISLAND / 1700 / SW 10 / 170 (F)
/ KEWEENAW / 1300 / E 10 / 130 (F)
201506 / TROUT LAKE / 2500 / W 11 / 275 (F)
THE FOLLOWING VALUES ARE FOR 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) Sun...
Mixing Transport Ventilation
WIMS ID/ Site / Height / Winds / Index
------------------------------------------------------------------
471301 / WAUSAUKEE / 3600 / E 12 / 432 (G)
200301 / KENTON / 2900 / E 12 / 348 (G)
200504 /BARAGA PLAINS / 3200 / NE 11 / 352 (G)
201004 / MUNISING / 2400 / NE 13 / 312 (G)
201002 / DOE LAKE / 3400 / NE 10 / 340 (G)
201103 / HIGH BRIDGE / 3800 / NE 10 / 380 (G)
200703 / GWINN / 2600 / NE 14 / 364 (G)
200903 / LABRANCHE / 3600 / NE 11 / 396 (G)
200503 / PELKIE / 2900 / E 16 / 464 (G)
201504 / RACO / 2700 / NE 10 / 270 (F)
200802 / RANDVILLE / 3300 / E 12 / 396 (G)
201401 / REXTON / 3500 / NE 9 / 315 (G)
201505 / RUDYARD / 3900 / NE 9 / 351 (G)
201202 / SENEY / 3500 / NE 9 / 315 (G)
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE / 3200 / NE 11 / 352 (G)
201102 / STONINGTON / 4000 / NE 11 / 440 (G)
200102 / WAKEFIELD / 3200 / E 12 / 384 (G)
200103 / WATERSMEET / 3300 / E 9 / 297 (F)
/DRUMND ISLAND / 3100 / NE 12 / 372 (G)
/ KEWEENAW / 2300 / E 16 / 368 (G)
201506 / TROUT LAKE / 3500 / NE 9 / 315 (G)
Note: Mixing heights are in feet above ground level
Transport winds are in miles per hour
.....................................................................
The following is point forecast information valid at 1 PM EST.
Note that the QPF is from 7 AM to 1 PM EST. Also, wind speeds have
been reduced by a factor of 0.7 by the request of local fire officials.
WIMS ID/ Site/ Temp/ RH/ WSPD/WGST/WDIR/QPF
---------------------------------------------------
471301 / WAUSAUKEE/ 77/ 82/ 4/ 7/ SW/0.07
200301 / KENTON/ 68/ 86/ 4/ 6/ E/0.34
200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/ 70/ 86/ 4/ 6/ NE/0.30
201004 / MUNISING/ 70/ 86/ 4/ 6/ N/0.10
201002 / DOE LAKE/ 74/ 81/ 3/ 5/ N/0.11
201103 / HIGH BRIDGE/ 75/ 81/ 3/ 5/ NW/0.02
200703 / GWINN/ 72/ 81/ 3/ 5/ NE/0.13
200903 / LABRANCHE/ 74/ 85/ 3/ 5/ W/0.07
200503 / PELKIE/ 69/ 79/ 5/ 8/ NE/0.22
201504 / RACO/ 76/ 83/ 3/ 4/ NW/0.02
200802 / RANDVILLE/ 74/ 84/ 4/ 7/ S/0.24
201401 / REXTON/ 77/ 84/ 4/ 6/ SW/0.04
201505 / RUDYARD/ 79/ 78/ 4/ 7/ W/0.02
201202 / SENEY/ 76/ 83/ 4/ 5/ W/0.02
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 76/ 83/ 3/ 4/ W/0.02
201102 / STONINGTON/ 76/ 82/ 3/ 4/ SW/0.04
200102 / WAKEFIELD/ 67/ 93/ 4/ 8/ E/0.45
200103 / WATERSMEET/ 70/ 92/ 4/ 6/ W/0.26
/DRUMND ISLAND/ 79/ 71/ 4/ 6/ SW/0.09
/ KEWEENAW/ 67/ 74/ 6/ 8/ NE/0.02
201506 / TROUT LAKE/ 78/ 81/ 4/ 6/ W/0.03
$$
GS