Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
961
FNUS53 KMQT 181001
FWFMQT
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR UPPER MICHIGAN
National Weather Service Marquette MI
601 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Despite high pressure being the main feature of the forecast beyond
today and tonight, abundant low level moisture will keep minimum RHs
around or above 50 percent throughout the next week. For today,
showers with a few non-severe thunderstorms will pass over the UP,
though the rainfall total forecast has trended downwards, with most
of the UP expected to see only about a quarter to a half inch of
rain by Tuesday morning. Southeast winds of 10 to 15 mph will gust
to near 20 mph (higher over the Keweenaw). Showers and thunderstorms
will end in the west tonight and in the east Tuesday afternoon with
winds shifting to the northwest around 10 mph with gusts to 20 mph.
MIZ001-003-191200-
Keweenaw-Northern Houghton-
Including the cities of Copper Harbor, Houghton, and Hancock
601 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of rain showers early, then
rain showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms by late morning. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....65-70.
24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........79-84 percent inland to 75 percent at the
shore.
24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 9 to 14 mph with gusts to around 25
mph.
PCPN amount.........0.25-0.48 inch on the Keweenaw Peninsula...and
0.16-0.27 inch over Isle Royale.
Hours of Sun........1.
Chance of thunder...32 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A slight chance of thunderstorms
through midnight. A chance of rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........100 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 6 to 11 mph with gusts to around 20
mph shifting to the south late.
PCPN amount.........0.03-0.18 inch on the Keweenaw Peninsula...and
none to 0.06 inch over Isle Royale.
Chance of thunder...24 percent.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....69-74.
Min humidity........82-87 percent inland to 78 percent at the
shore.
20-foot winds.......North 7 to 12 mph with gusts to around 25
mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........5.
Chance of thunder...2 percent.
$$
MIZ002-009-084-191200-
Ontonagon-Gogebic-Southern Houghton-
Including the cities of Ontonagon, Ironwood, Kenton, and Sidnaw
601 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025 /501 AM CDT Mon Aug 18 2025/
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely through mid
afternoon. A chance of thunderstorms. A chance
of rain showers late. Chance of precipitation
70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........81-86 percent inland to 76 percent at the
shore.
24 hr trend......22 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 8 to 13 mph with gusts to around 25 mph.
PCPN amount.........0.15-0.41 inch.
Hours of Sun........1.
Chance of thunder...46 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A slight chance of thunderstorms
through midnight. A chance of rain showers.
Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........100 percent.
24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 7 to 12 mph shifting to the southwest 6
to 11 mph late.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.05 inch.
Chance of thunder...23 percent.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........76-81 percent.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........5.
Chance of thunder...4 percent.
$$
MIZ004-005-191200-
Baraga-Marquette-
Including the cities of L`Anse, Gwinn, and Marquette
601 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. A
chance of thunderstorms by late morning. Chance
of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........73-78 percent inland to 69 percent at the
shore.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 9 to 14 mph with gusts to around 25 mph.
PCPN amount.........0.07-0.31 inch.
Hours of Sun........2.
Chance of thunder...33 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of thunderstorms through
midnight. A chance of rain showers. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South 7 to 12 mph with gusts to around 20 mph
decreasing to 6 to 11 mph late.
PCPN amount.........0.03-0.34 inch.
Chance of thunder...40 percent.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........82-87 percent.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 6 to 11 mph shifting to the
north 7 to 12 mph by mid afternoon. Gusts up to
20 mph.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.03 inch.
Hours of Sun........4.
Chance of thunder...5 percent.
$$
MIZ010-011-191200-
Iron-Dickinson-
Including the cities of Iron River and Iron Mountain
501 AM CDT Mon Aug 18 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of rain showers. A chance of
thunderstorms by late morning. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........78-83 percent.
24 hr trend......32 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 8 to 13 mph with gusts to around 20
mph.
PCPN amount.........0.11-0.23 inch.
Hours of Sun........1.
Chance of thunder...36 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of thunderstorms through
midnight. A chance of rain showers. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........100 percent.
24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 7 to 12 mph shifting to the south 5
to 10 mph late.
PCPN amount.........0.03-0.28 inch.
Chance of thunder...37 percent.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........77-82 percent.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
by mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........4.
Chance of thunder...6 percent.
$$
MIZ012-191200-
Menominee-
Including the city of Menominee
501 AM CDT Mon Aug 18 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of rain showers. A chance of
thunderstorms by mid afternoon. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........73-78 percent.
24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
through early afternoon.
PCPN amount.........0.08-0.20 inch.
Hours of Sun........1.
Chance of thunder...28 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely early in the
evening. A chance of thunderstorms through
midnight. A chance of rain showers by midnight.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........100 percent.
24 hr trend......16 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East 7 to 12 mph shifting to the northeast 5 to
10 mph late.
PCPN amount.........0.14-0.36 inch.
Chance of thunder...48 percent.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers.
Chance of showers 20 percent.
Max temperature.....75-80.
Min humidity........73-78 percent.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
by mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.02 inch.
Hours of Sun........5.
Chance of thunder...10 percent.
$$
MIZ006-007-085-191200-
Alger-Luce-Northern Schoolcraft-
Including the cities of Grand Marais, Munising, Newberry,
and Seney
601 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. A
slight chance of thunderstorms late. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 9 to 14 mph.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.10 inch.
Hours of Sun........4.
Chance of thunder...16 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of rain showers and
thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 50
percent.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 6 to 11 mph with gusts to around 20
mph.
PCPN amount.........0.17-0.58 inch.
Chance of thunder...36 percent.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Chance
of showers 50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........79-84 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 7 to 12 mph shifting to the
northwest with gusts to around 20 mph by mid
afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.08 inch.
Hours of Sun........3.
Chance of thunder...9 percent.
$$
MIZ013-191200-
Delta-
Including the cities of Escanaba and Gladstone
601 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. A
slight chance of thunderstorms by mid
afternoon. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........66-71 percent.
24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 8 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
through early afternoon.
PCPN amount.........0.02-0.15 inch.
Hours of Sun........3.
Chance of thunder...21 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely early in the
evening. A chance of thunderstorms through
midnight. A chance of rain showers by midnight.
Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph.
PCPN amount.........0.18-0.51 inch.
Chance of thunder...45 percent.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers.
Chance of showers 20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........76-81 percent inland to 72 percent at the
shore.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
by mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.04 inch.
Hours of Sun........4.
Chance of thunder...9 percent.
$$
MIZ014-095-191200-
Southern Schoolcraft-Western Mackinac-
Including the cities of Manistique and Engadine
601 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers by mid
afternoon. A slight chance of thunderstorms
late. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 9 to 14 mph.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.06 inch.
Hours of Sun........5.
Chance of thunder...13 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of rain showers through
midnight. A chance of thunderstorms. Rain
showers likely late. Chance of precipitation 60
percent.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 8 to 13 mph with gusts to around 25
mph.
PCPN amount.........0.29-0.63 inch.
Chance of thunder...31 percent.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Chance
of showers 50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........76-81 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 7 to 12 mph shifting to the
northwest with gusts to around 20 mph by mid
afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.07 inch.
Hours of Sun........3.
Chance of thunder...10 percent.
$$
MIZ096-097-191200-
Eastern Mackinac-Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Including the cities of St. Ignace and Mackinac Island
601 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy. A
slight chance of rain showers late. Chance of
showers 20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........54-59 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 11 to 16 mph with gusts to around 25
mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........7.
Chance of thunder...4 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of rain showers. A chance of
thunderstorms by midnight. Chance of
precipitation 50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........97-100 percent.
24 hr trend......22 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 9 to 14 mph with gusts to around 25
mph.
PCPN amount.........0.36-0.60 inch.
Chance of thunder...29 percent.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely through
early afternoon. A slight chance of
thunderstorms. A chance of rain showers by mid
afternoon. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........77-82 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 6 to 11 mph shifting to the
northeast 7 to 12 mph by mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.08 inch.
Hours of Sun........3.
Chance of thunder...17 percent.
$$
MIZ088-191200-
Southeast Chippewa-
Including the city of Drummond
601 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 12 to 17 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........8.
Chance of thunder...1 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of rain showers through
midnight. A chance of thunderstorms by
midnight. Rain showers likely late. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........92-97 percent.
24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 9 to 14 mph.
PCPN amount.........0.23-0.42 inch.
Chance of thunder...31 percent.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely through early
afternoon. A slight chance of thunderstorms. A
chance of rain showers by mid afternoon. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........70-75 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 8 to 13 mph with gusts to
around 20 mph decreasing to 7 to 12 mph by mid
afternoon.
PCPN amount.........0.06-0.14 inch.
Hours of Sun........2.
Chance of thunder...23 percent.
$$
MIZ086-087-191200-
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-
Including the cities of Eckerman and Sault Ste. Marie
601 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers
by mid afternoon. Chance of showers 20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........54-59 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.01 inch.
Hours of Sun........7.
Chance of thunder...6 percent.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of rain showers through
midnight. A chance of thunderstorms. Rain
showers likely late. Chance of precipitation 70
percent.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 7 to 12 mph with gusts to around 25
mph.
PCPN amount.........0.17-0.50 inch.
Chance of thunder...33 percent.
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely through early
afternoon. A slight chance of thunderstorms
through mid afternoon. A chance of rain showers
by mid afternoon. Chance of precipitation 70
percent.
Max temperature.....70-75.
Min humidity........77-82 percent.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the
east 6 to 11 mph by mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........0.03-0.16 inch.
Hours of Sun........2.
Chance of thunder...15 percent.
$$
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 53 to 58 inland to around 59 at the
shore. Highs 73 to 78 inland to around 72 at the shore. Variable
winds 5 mph or less.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 50 to 55 inland to around 60 at the shore.
Highs 78 to 83 inland to around 76 at the shore. Variable winds
5 mph or less.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 59 inland to around 65 at the
shore. Highs 76 to 81. Southwest winds 3 to 8 mph with gusts to
around 20 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of rain showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 53 to 58 inland to around 62 at the shore. Highs
68 to 73.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain showers
and thunderstorms. Lows around 49 inland to around 56 at the
shore. Highs 63 to 68.
.Outlook for Mon Aug 25 through Sun Aug 31...expect below normal
temperatures and below normal precipitation.
$$
...................Smoke Management Forecast data....................
The following values are for 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) today:
Mixing Transport Ventilation
WIMS ID/ Site / Height / Winds / Index
------------------------------------------------------------------
471301 / WAUSAUKEE / 2500 / S 13 / 325 (G)
200301 / KENTON / 1500 / S 17 / 255 (F)
200504 /BARAGA PLAINS / 1900 / S 18 / 342 (G)
201004 / MUNISING / 3000 / S 17 / 510 (G)
201002 / DOE LAKE / 2700 / S 17 / 459 (G)
201103 / HIGH BRIDGE / 2800 / SE 17 / 476 (G)
200703 / GWINN / 2400 / S 17 / 408 (G)
200903 / LABRANCHE / 2400 / S 16 / 384 (G)
200503 / PELKIE / 2200 / S 16 / 352 (G)
201504 / RACO / 3700 / SE 18 / 666 (E)
200802 / RANDVILLE / 2300 / S 14 / 322 (G)
201401 / REXTON / 3400 / SE 18 / 612 (E)
201505 / RUDYARD / 3700 / SE 19 / 703 (E)
201202 / SENEY / 3400 / SE 17 / 578 (G)
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE / 3600 / SE 17 / 612 (E)
201102 / STONINGTON / 2600 / SE 16 / 416 (G)
200102 / WAKEFIELD / 1800 / S 17 / 306 (G)
200103 / WATERSMEET / 1700 / S 18 / 306 (G)
/DRUMND ISLAND / 3600 / SE 17 / 612 (E)
/ KEWEENAW / 1200 / SE 16 / 192 (F)
201506 / TROUT LAKE / 3400 / SE 19 / 646 (E)
THE FOLLOWING VALUES ARE FOR 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) Tue...
Mixing Transport Ventilation
WIMS ID/ Site / Height / Winds / Index
------------------------------------------------------------------
471301 / WAUSAUKEE / 2600 / N 10 / 260 (F)
200301 / KENTON / 1800 / NW 9 / 162 (F)
200504 /BARAGA PLAINS / 1900 / NW 8 / 152 (F)
201004 / MUNISING / 1500 / NW 12 / 180 (F)
201002 / DOE LAKE / 2000 / N 9 / 180 (F)
201103 / HIGH BRIDGE / 2000 / N 10 / 200 (F)
200703 / GWINN / 1600 / N 9 / 144 (F)
200903 / LABRANCHE / 1900 / N 9 / 171 (F)
200503 / PELKIE / 2300 / NW 8 / 184 (F)
201504 / RACO / 1800 / SE 11 / 198 (F)
200802 / RANDVILLE / 2300 / N 11 / 253 (F)
201401 / REXTON / 1600 / SE 11 / 176 (F)
201505 / RUDYARD / 2200 / SE 11 / 242 (F)
201202 / SENEY / 1900 / SE 9 / 171 (F)
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE / 1700 / S 9 / 153 (F)
201102 / STONINGTON / 2400 / N 8 / 192 (F)
200102 / WAKEFIELD / 1600 / N 9 / 144 (F)
200103 / WATERSMEET / 2200 / N 9 / 198 (F)
/DRUMND ISLAND / 2100 / SE 13 / 273 (F)
/ KEWEENAW / 1700 / N 11 / 187 (F)
201506 / TROUT LAKE / 1800 / SE 12 / 216 (F)
Note: Mixing heights are in feet above ground level
Transport winds are in miles per hour
.....................................................................
The following is point forecast information valid at 1 PM EST.
Note that the QPF is from 7 AM to 1 PM EST. Also, wind speeds have
been reduced by a factor of 0.7 by the request of local fire officials.
WIMS ID/ Site/ Temp/ RH/ WSPD/WGST/WDIR/QPF
---------------------------------------------------
471301 / WAUSAUKEE/ 66/ 79/ 5/ 10/ SE/0.03
200301 / KENTON/ 63/ 87/ 7/ 12/ S/0.22
200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/ 63/ 84/ 8/ 13/ S/0.12
201004 / MUNISING/ 68/ 64/ 8/ 12/ S/0.00
201002 / DOE LAKE/ 68/ 67/ 7/ 12/ S/0.00
201103 / HIGH BRIDGE/ 68/ 65/ 7/ 11/ SE/0.00
200703 / GWINN/ 63/ 80/ 8/ 12/ S/0.02
200903 / LABRANCHE/ 64/ 81/ 6/ 11/ SE/0.02
200503 / PELKIE/ 65/ 82/ 5/ 10/ S/0.14
201504 / RACO/ 69/ 56/ 8/ 12/ SE/0.00
200802 / RANDVILLE/ 64/ 81/ 6/ 11/ SE/0.05
201401 / REXTON/ 69/ 57/ 8/ 12/ SE/0.00
201505 / RUDYARD/ 69/ 53/ 9/ 13/ SE/0.00
201202 / SENEY/ 70/ 56/ 8/ 12/ SE/0.00
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 70/ 53/ 8/ 12/ SE/0.00
201102 / STONINGTON/ 67/ 72/ 6/ 10/ SE/0.00
200102 / WAKEFIELD/ 66/ 88/ 7/ 12/ S/0.22
200103 / WATERSMEET/ 64/ 90/ 8/ 13/ S/0.10
/DRUMND ISLAND/ 68/ 51/ 8/ 12/ SE/0.00
/ KEWEENAW/ 64/ 82/ 8/ 11/ SE/0.09
201506 / TROUT LAKE/ 68/ 57/ 8/ 12/ SE/0.00
$$
WFO MQT