Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
972
FNUS53 KMQT 042145
FWFMQT
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR UPPER MICHIGAN
National Weather Service Marquette MI
545 PM EDT Fri Oct 4 2024
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED SATURDAY AFTERNOON,
OCTOBER 5TH...
.DISCUSSION: Dry conditions continue late this afternoon through
Saturday afternoon as high pressure ridging reaches its peak
overtop us this evening, before a low-level jet ahead of a strengthening
cold front brings strong southerly winds up to 40 mph over us
Saturday afternoon. While we should expect a full RH recovery
tonight over the south central and east, the west and Keweenaw
will struggle to get max RHs back up to 70 percent before
Saturday afternoon. As a low-level jet moves across Upper
Michigan Saturday, expect southerly winds to gust up to 35 mph
across most of the area, with the downslopes near Lake Superior
potentially gusting up to 40 mph. In addition, with ongoing
drought conditions and RHs expected to drop down into the lower
to mid 30 percents across a large portion of the U.P., a Red Flag
Warning was issued for all of Upper Michigan for Saturday
afternoon. While moisture improves at the surface ahead of the
cold front by mid Saturday afternoon over the west to Saturday
evening over the east, weather conditions will be ideal for fire
spread ahead of the incoming moisture.
MIZ001-003-051000-
Keweenaw-Northern Houghton-
Including the cities of Copper Harbor, Houghton, and Hancock
545 PM EDT Fri Oct 4 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 5 PM EDT SATURDAY...
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....59-64 inland to around 58 at the shore.
24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........34-39 percent.
24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 8 to 13 mph with gusts to around 20 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........10.
LAL.................1.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....43-48.
24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........63-68 percent.
24 hr trend......35 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 6 to 11 mph with gusts to around 20
mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
LAL.................1.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers
late. Chance of showers 20 percent.
Max temperature.....67-72.
Min humidity........31-36 percent.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. South winds 20 to 25 mph. Gusts up to
35 mph increasing to 45 mph by mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.03 inch.
Hours of Sun........6.
LAL.................1.
$$
MIZ002-009-084-051000-
Ontonagon-Gogebic-Southern Houghton-
Including the cities of Ontonagon, Ironwood, Kenton, and Sidnaw
545 PM EDT Fri Oct 4 2024 /445 PM CDT Fri Oct 4 2024/
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON EDT /11 AM CDT/ TO 5 PM
EDT /4 PM CDT/ SATURDAY...
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........29-34 percent.
24 hr trend......21 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 7 to 12 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........9.
LAL.................1.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....37-42 inland to around 47 at the shore.
24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........67-72 percent inland to 59 percent at the
shore.
24 hr trend......31 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph late.
PCPN amount.........None.
LAL.................1.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny then becoming partly cloudy. A slight
chance of rain showers and thunderstorms late.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....69-74.
Min humidity........33-38 percent.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. South winds 21 to 26 mph with gusts to
around 35 mph.
PCPN amount.........None to 0.06 inch.
Hours of Sun........7.
LAL.................1 until 1800, then 2.
$$
MIZ004-005-051000-
Baraga-Marquette-
Including the cities of L`Anse, Gwinn, and Marquette
545 PM EDT Fri Oct 4 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 5 PM EDT SATURDAY...
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........32-37 percent.
24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph with gusts to around 20 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........10.
LAL.................1.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear. Areas of frost late.
Min temperature.....33-38 inland to around 46 at the shore.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........78-83 percent inland to 64 percent at the
shore.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 mph or less.
PCPN amount.........None.
LAL.................1.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny then becoming partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....65-70.
Min humidity........33-38 percent.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. South winds 20 to 25 mph with gusts to
around 35 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........8.
LAL.................1.
$$
MIZ010-011-051000-
Iron-Dickinson-
Including the cities of Iron River and Iron Mountain
445 PM CDT Fri Oct 4 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 4 PM CDT SATURDAY...
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........30-35 percent.
24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 7 to 12 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........9.
LAL.................1.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear. Areas of frost late.
Min temperature.....Around 34.
24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Variable 5 mph or less becoming south 5
mph or less late.
PCPN amount.........None.
LAL.................1.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny then becoming partly cloudy. Areas of
frost early.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........35-40 percent.
20-foot winds.......South 19 to 24 mph. Gusts up to 35 mph by
mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........8.
LAL.................1.
$$
MIZ012-051000-
Menominee-
Including the city of Menominee
445 PM CDT Fri Oct 4 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 4 PM CDT SATURDAY...
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........25-30 percent.
24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 6 to 11 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........10.
LAL.................1.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear. Patchy frost late.
Min temperature.....Around 34 inland to around 41 at the shore.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........97-100 percent.
24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 4 to 9 mph shifting to the southwest 5
mph or less late.
PCPN amount.........None.
LAL.................1.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Patchy frost early.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........38-43 percent inland to 48 percent at the
shore.
20-foot winds.......Breezy. South winds 6 to 11 mph with gusts to
around 25 mph increasing to 15 to 25 mph with
gusts to around 35 mph by mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........8.
LAL.................1.
$$
MIZ006-007-085-051000-
Alger-Luce-Northern Schoolcraft-
Including the cities of Grand Marais, Munising, Newberry,
and Seney
545 PM EDT Fri Oct 4 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY...
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........31-36 percent inland to 42 percent at the
shore.
24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 8 to 13 mph with gusts to around 20
mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........10.
LAL.................1.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear. Patchy frost late.
Min temperature.....Around 34 inland to around 43 at the shore.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........97-100 percent inland to 77 percent at the
shore.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South 6 to 11 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
LAL.................1.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........30-35 percent.
20-foot winds.......South 8 to 13 mph increasing to 19 to 24
mph by mid afternoon. Gusts up to 35 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........9.
LAL.................1.
$$
MIZ013-051000-
Delta-
Including the cities of Escanaba and Gladstone
545 PM EDT Fri Oct 4 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 5 PM EDT SATURDAY...
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........29-34 percent.
24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 6 to 11 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........10.
LAL.................1.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear. Patchy frost late.
Min temperature.....Around 34 inland to around 46 at the shore.
24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........100 percent inland to 88 percent at the shore.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South 4 to 9 mph shifting to the southwest
late.
PCPN amount.........None.
LAL.................1.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........36-41 percent.
20-foot winds.......South 19 to 24 mph with gusts to around
35 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........8.
LAL.................1.
$$
MIZ014-095-051000-
Southern Schoolcraft-Western Mackinac-
Including the cities of Manistique and Engadine
545 PM EDT Fri Oct 4 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY...
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........30-35 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 7 to 12 mph with gusts to around 20
mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........11.
LAL.................1.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear. Patchy frost late.
Min temperature.....33-38 inland to around 43 at the shore.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........96-100 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South 5 mph or less shifting to the southwest 4
to 9 mph late.
PCPN amount.........None.
LAL.................1.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........33-38 percent.
20-foot winds.......South 8 to 13 mph increasing to 18 to 23
mph by mid afternoon. Gusts up to 30 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........8.
LAL.................1.
$$
MIZ096-097-051000-
Eastern Mackinac-Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island-
Including the cities of St. Ignace and Mackinac Island
545 PM EDT Fri Oct 4 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY...
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........28-33 percent.
24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 8 to 13 mph with gusts to around 20
mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........11.
LAL.................1.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....39-44.
24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........90-95 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 mph or less shifting to the south 4
to 9 mph late.
PCPN amount.........None.
LAL.................1.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....65-70.
Min humidity........30-35 percent.
20-foot winds.......South 8 to 13 mph shifting to the
southeast 12 to 17 mph by mid afternoon. Gusts
up to 25 mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........9.
LAL.................1.
$$
MIZ088-051000-
Southeast Chippewa-
Including the city of Drummond
545 PM EDT Fri Oct 4 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY...
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........37-42 percent.
24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 8 to 13 mph with gusts to around 20
mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........11.
LAL.................1.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....40-45.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 4 to 9 mph shifting to the south 5
mph or less late.
PCPN amount.........None.
LAL.................1.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
20-foot winds.......South 7 to 12 mph with gusts to around 20
mph shifting to the southeast 10 to 15 mph with
gusts to around 30 mph by mid afternoon.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........9.
LAL.................1.
$$
MIZ086-087-051000-
Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa-
Including the cities of Eckerman and Sault Ste. Marie
545 PM EDT Fri Oct 4 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY...
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........32-37 percent.
24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 7 to 12 mph with gusts to around 20
mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........11.
LAL.................1.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....37-42 inland to around 44 at the shore.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West 4 to 9 mph shifting to the south late.
PCPN amount.........None.
LAL.................1.
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........31-36 percent.
20-foot winds.......South 7 to 12 mph increasing to southeast
11 to 16 mph by mid afternoon. Gusts up to 25
mph.
PCPN amount.........None.
Hours of Sun........9.
LAL.................1.
$$
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Breezy. Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of rain showers.
Lows 44 to 49 inland to around 52 at the shore. Highs 54 to 59.
West winds 12 to 17 mph with gusts to around 35 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of rain showers
northwest, north central and east. Lows 35 to 40 inland to around
46 at the shore. Highs 58 to 63 inland to around 57 at the shore.
Northwest winds 6 to 11 mph with gusts to around 30 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. A 30 percent chance of rain showers east
early. Lows 34 to 39 inland to around 44 at the shore. Highs 55
to 60 inland to around 54 at the shore. Northwest winds 3 to 8 mph
with gusts to around 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 33 to 38 inland to around 44 at the
shore. Highs 62 to 67 inland to around 60 at the shore.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 35 to 40 inland to around 46 at the shore.
Highs 67 to 72 inland to around 64 at the shore.
.Outlook for Fri Oct 11 through Thu Oct 17...expect above normal
temperatures and below normal precipitation.
$$
...................Smoke Management Forecast data....................
The following values are for 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) today:
Haines Mixing Transport Ventilation
WIMS ID/ Site/ Index / Height / Winds / Index
------------------------------------------------------------------
471301 / WAUSAUKEE/ 5 MODERATE / 6800 / NW 12 / 816 (E)
200301 / KENTON/ 4 LOW / 7900 / W 17 / 1343 (E)
200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/ 4 LOW / 7100 / W 17 / 1207 (E)
201004 / MUNISING/ 4 LOW / 6400 / NW 20 / 1280 (E)
201002 / DOE LAKE/ 5 MODERATE / 7500 / NW 20 / 1500 (E)
201103 / HIGH BRIDGE/ 5 MODERATE / 7200 / NW 18 / 1296 (E)
200703 / GWINN/ 4 LOW / 7400 / NW 16 / 1184 (E)
200903 / LABRANCHE/ 4 LOW / 7300 / NW 14 / 1022 (E)
200503 / PELKIE/ 3 VERY LOW / 7200 / W 18 / 1296 (E)
201504 / RACO/ 4 LOW / 6600 / NW 16 / 1056 (E)
200802 / RANDVILLE/ 5 MODERATE / 7200 / NW 14 / 1008 (E)
201401 / REXTON/ 4 LOW / 6600 / NW 14 / 924 (E)
201505 / RUDYARD/ 4 LOW / 6500 / NW 14 / 910 (E)
201202 / SENEY/ 5 MODERATE / 7600 / NW 19 / 1444 (E)
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 4 LOW / 7200 / NW 17 / 1224 (E)
201102 / STONINGTON/ 4 LOW / 7000 / NW 16 / 1120 (E)
200102 / WAKEFIELD/ 5 MODERATE / 7400 / W 16 / 1184 (E)
200103 / WATERSMEET/ 5 MODERATE / 7700 / W 14 / 1078 (E)
/DRUMND ISLAND/ 5 MODERATE / 5900 / W 16 / 944 (E)
/ KEWEENAW/ 3 VERY LOW / 3600 / W 13 / 468 (G)
201506 / TROUT LAKE/ 4 LOW / 7600 / NW 17 / 1292 (E)
THE FOLLOWING VALUES ARE FOR 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) Sat...
Haines Mixing Transport Ventilation
WIMS ID/ Site/ Index / Height / Winds / Index
------------------------------------------------------------------
471301 / WAUSAUKEE/ 3 VERY LOW / 3500 / S 33 / 1155 (E)
200301 / KENTON/ 3 VERY LOW / 3400 / S 43 / 1462 (E)
200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/ 3 VERY LOW / 3600 / S 43 / 1548 (E)
201004 / MUNISING/ 4 LOW / 3900 / S 36 / 1404 (E)
201002 / DOE LAKE/ 3 VERY LOW / 4100 / S 34 / 1394 (E)
201103 / HIGH BRIDGE/ 4 LOW / 4100 / S 33 / 1353 (E)
200703 / GWINN/ 3 VERY LOW / 3700 / S 39 / 1443 (E)
200903 / LABRANCHE/ 4 LOW / 3400 / S 33 / 1122 (E)
200503 / PELKIE/ 3 VERY LOW / 3800 / S 39 / 1482 (E)
201504 / RACO/ 5 MODERATE / 4700 / S 24 / 1128 (E)
200802 / RANDVILLE/ 3 VERY LOW / 3700 / S 35 / 1295 (E)
201401 / REXTON/ 5 MODERATE / 4200 / S 25 / 1050 (E)
201505 / RUDYARD/ 5 MODERATE / 4700 / S 20 / 940 (E)
201202 / SENEY/ 5 MODERATE / 4500 / S 31 / 1395 (E)
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 5 MODERATE / 4500 / S 29 / 1305 (E)
201102 / STONINGTON/ 4 LOW / 3500 / S 34 / 1190 (E)
200102 / WAKEFIELD/ 3 VERY LOW / 2600 / S 44 / 1144 (E)
200103 / WATERSMEET/ 3 VERY LOW / 3200 / S 42 / 1344 (E)
/DRUMND ISLAND/ 5 MODERATE / 4300 / S 14 / 602 (E)
/ KEWEENAW/ 3 VERY LOW / 2700 / S 40 / 1080 (E)
201506 / TROUT LAKE/ 5 MODERATE / 4800 / S 23 / 1104 (E)
Note: Mixing heights are in feet above ground level
Transport winds are in miles per hour
.....................................................................
The following is point forecast information valid at 1 PM EST.
Note that the QPF is from 7 AM to 1 PM EST. Also, wind speeds have
been reduced by a factor of 0.7 by the request of local fire officials.
WIMS ID/ Site/Temp/ RH/WSPD/WGST/WDIR/ QPF
---------------------------------------------------
471301 / WAUSAUKEE/ 67/ 29/ 3/ 8/ NW/0.00
200301 / KENTON/ 61/ 39/ 4/ 8/ W/0.00
200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/ 62/ 43/ 4/ 9/ W/0.00
201004 / MUNISING/ 60/ 44/ 8/ 9/ NW/0.00
201002 / DOE LAKE/ 63/ 32/ 5/ 9/ NW/0.00
201103 / HIGH BRIDGE/ 64/ 31/ 5/ 11/ NW/0.00
200703 / GWINN/ 63/ 35/ 8/ 12/ W/0.00
200903 / LABRANCHE/ 65/ 34/ 3/ 11/ W/0.00
200503 / PELKIE/ 63/ 43/ 4/ 9/ W/0.00
201504 / RACO/ 62/ 39/ 6/ 12/ NW/0.00
200802 / RANDVILLE/ 63/ 33/ 4/ 10/ NW/0.00
201401 / REXTON/ 63/ 38/ 4/ 10/ W/0.00
201505 / RUDYARD/ 63/ 41/ 8/ 11/ W/0.00
201202 / SENEY/ 63/ 32/ 8/ 12/ NW/0.00
201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 63/ 33/ 8/ 13/ W/0.00
201102 / STONINGTON/ 66/ 32/ 4/ 9/ W/0.00
200102 / WAKEFIELD/ 63/ 36/ 5/ 10/ W/0.00
200103 / WATERSMEET/ 61/ 39/ 4/ 11/ W/0.00
/DRUMND ISLAND/ 63/ 38/ 4/ 10/ W/0.00
/ KEWEENAW/ 60/ 43/ 8/ 10/ W/0.00
201506 / TROUT LAKE/ 63/ 38/ 5/ 10/ W/0.00
$$
TAP