


Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
316 FNUS53 KMQT 121002 FWFMQT FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR UPPER MICHIGAN National Weather Service Marquette MI 601 AM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025 .DISCUSSION... Precipitation is ongoing across most of the UP this morning associated with a warm front lifting north and a cold front pushing east. Only limited lightning has been observed so far, but as the day goes on, chances for lightning increase to near 50 percent each hour through the evening. Some thunderstorms this afternoon will have the potential for damaging winds and hail. Chances for over an inch of rain are 40-80% in the east, with some areas potentially (30% chance) seeing 2+ inches. Outside of thunderstorms, expect mainly light winds to shift to the west and northwest and increase to 10-15 mph this evening. With the rainfall, minimum RH values will largely be 75+ percent, except in the far west where early clearing will allow RHs to fall to around 60 percent. Dry weather follows for Sunday, with RHs falling to the 50s in the far east, 40s for much of the rest of the UP, with the Porcupine Mountains region seeing some minimum RH values into the mid- and upper-30s percent. Winds out of the southeast will be around 5-10mph with some gusts to 15-20 mph (potentially 25 mph over the Keweenaw). MIZ001-003-131200- Keweenaw-Northern Houghton- Including the cities of Copper Harbor, Houghton, and Hancock 601 AM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Haze by mid afternoon. Areas of smoke late. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Max temperature.....68-73. 24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler. Min humidity........76-81 percent. 24 hr trend......8 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......West 7 to 12 mph. PCPN amount.........0.05-0.15 inch on the Keweenaw Peninsula...and 0.15-0.36 inch over Isle Royale. Hours of Sun........3. Chance of thunder...36 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers and thunderstorms early in the evening. Areas of smoke early in the evening. Haze. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Min temperature.....56-61. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........89-94 percent. 24 hr trend......9 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......West 8 to 13 mph with gusts to around 20 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Chance of thunder...11 percent. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny. Max temperature.....81-86 inland to around 80 at the shore. Min humidity........39-44 percent. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 7 to 12 mph with gusts to around 25 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........12. Chance of thunder...2 percent. $$ MIZ002-009-084-131200- Ontonagon-Gogebic-Southern Houghton- Including the cities of Ontonagon, Ironwood, Kenton, and Sidnaw 601 AM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025 /501 AM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025/ .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Haze by late morning. Areas of smoke by mid afternoon. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Max temperature.....Around 75 inland to around 69 at the shore. 24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler. Min humidity........62-67 percent. 24 hr trend......12 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......West 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........0.06-0.22 inch. Hours of Sun........3. Chance of thunder...45 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. A slight chance of rain showers and thunderstorms early in the evening. Haze. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Min temperature.....Around 59. 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler. Max humidity........81-86 percent inland to 73 percent at the shore. 24 hr trend......15 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......West 6 to 11 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.01 inch. Chance of thunder...11 percent. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Max temperature.....83-88. Min humidity........38-43 percent. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph with gusts to around 20 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........12. Chance of thunder...2 percent. $$ MIZ004-005-131200- Baraga-Marquette- Including the cities of L`Anse, Gwinn, and Marquette 601 AM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog early. Haze by mid afternoon. Areas of smoke late. A chance of rain showers through early afternoon. A chance of thunderstorms. Rain showers likely by mid afternoon. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Max temperature.....72-77. 24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler. Min humidity........74-79 percent. 24 hr trend......15 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......West 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........0.07-0.93 inch. Hours of Sun........2. Chance of thunder...41 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. A slight chance of rain showers and thunderstorms early in the evening. Areas of smoke early in the evening. Haze. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Min temperature.....57-62. 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler. Max humidity........87-92 percent. 24 hr trend......6 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......West 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph through midnight. PCPN amount.........None to 0.07 inch. Chance of thunder...15 percent. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny. Max temperature.....Around 83. Min humidity........42-47 percent. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph with gusts to around 20 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........12. Chance of thunder...1 percent. $$ MIZ010-011-131200- Iron-Dickinson- Including the cities of Iron River and Iron Mountain 501 AM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog early. Haze by mid afternoon. Areas of smoke late. A chance of rain showers through early afternoon. A chance of thunderstorms. Rain showers likely by mid afternoon. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Max temperature.....Around 77. 24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler. Min humidity........71-76 percent. 24 hr trend......17 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 6 to 11 mph. PCPN amount.........0.15-0.62 inch. Hours of Sun........3. Chance of thunder...47 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. A slight chance of rain showers and thunderstorms early in the evening. Haze. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Min temperature.....Around 57. 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler. Max humidity........88-93 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.01 inch. Chance of thunder...15 percent. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny. Max temperature.....Around 83. Min humidity........43-48 percent. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........12. Chance of thunder...1 percent. $$ MIZ012-131200- Menominee- Including the city of Menominee 501 AM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Max temperature.....Around 80. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........70-75 percent. 24 hr trend......21 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the west 6 to 11 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........0.20-0.66 inch. Hours of Sun........3. Chance of thunder...47 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. A slight chance of rain showers and thunderstorms early in the evening. Haze through midnight. Haze late. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Min temperature.....Around 60. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........90-95 percent inland to 86 percent at the shore. 24 hr trend......4 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Chance of thunder...16 percent. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Max temperature.....Around 84. Min humidity........45-50 percent. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........12. Chance of thunder...1 percent. $$ MIZ006-007-085-131200- Alger-Luce-Northern Schoolcraft- Including the cities of Grand Marais, Munising, Newberry, and Seney 601 AM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Patchy fog early. Rain showers early. A chance of thunderstorms. A chance of rain showers by late morning. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Max temperature.....71-76. 24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler. Min humidity........81-86 percent inland to 73 percent at the shore. 24 hr trend......27 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 6 to 11 mph shifting to the west 7 to 12 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........0.30-0.98 inch. Hours of Sun........2. Chance of thunder...36 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A slight chance of thunderstorms early in the evening. A chance of rain showers through midnight. Haze. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Min temperature.....Around 59. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......West 7 to 12 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.14 inch. Chance of thunder...19 percent. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny. Max temperature.....Around 83. Min humidity........46-51 percent. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........12. Chance of thunder...2 percent. $$ MIZ013-131200- Delta- Including the cities of Escanaba and Gladstone 601 AM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog early. Rain showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Max temperature.....75-80. 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler. Min humidity........77-82 percent. 24 hr trend......22 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 6 to 11 mph shifting to the southwest 5 to 10 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........0.30-0.97 inch. Hours of Sun........2. Chance of thunder...47 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming clear. A slight chance of rain showers and thunderstorms early in the evening. Haze. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Min temperature.....Around 59. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........92-97 percent. 24 hr trend......6 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph. PCPN amount.........None to 0.06 inch. Chance of thunder...19 percent. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny. Max temperature.....Around 83. Min humidity........47-52 percent. 20-foot winds.......West 6 to 11 mph shifting to the southwest by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........12. Chance of thunder...2 percent. $$ MIZ014-095-131200- Southern Schoolcraft-Western Mackinac- Including the cities of Manistique and Engadine 601 AM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers early. A chance of thunderstorms. A chance of rain showers by late morning. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. Max temperature.....Around 74. 24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler. Min humidity........80-85 percent. 24 hr trend......22 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......South 7 to 12 mph with gusts to around 20 mph shifting to the southwest by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........0.23-0.70 inch. Hours of Sun........2. Chance of thunder...40 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. A slight chance of thunderstorms early in the evening. A chance of rain showers through midnight. Haze. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Min temperature.....Around 59. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........98-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph. PCPN amount.........0.01-0.19 inch. Chance of thunder...18 percent. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Max temperature.....79-84. Min humidity........50-55 percent inland to 60 percent at the shore. 20-foot winds.......West 6 to 11 mph shifting to the southwest by mid afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........12. Chance of thunder...2 percent. $$ MIZ096-097-131200- Eastern Mackinac-Mackinac Island/Bois Blanc Island- Including the cities of St. Ignace and Mackinac Island 601 AM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely through early afternoon. A chance of thunderstorms. A chance of rain showers by mid afternoon. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Max temperature.....Around 74. 24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler. Min humidity........84-89 percent. 24 hr trend......38 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 9 to 14 mph shifting to the southwest 10 to 15 mph by mid afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph. PCPN amount.........0.25-0.46 inch. Hours of Sun........2. Chance of thunder...39 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly clear. A slight chance of thunderstorms early in the evening. A chance of rain showers through midnight. Haze late. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Min temperature.....Around 61. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......West 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph through midnight. PCPN amount.........0.01-0.14 inch. Chance of thunder...14 percent. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny. Max temperature.....Around 79. Min humidity........57-62 percent. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 7 to 12 mph with gusts to around 20 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........12. Chance of thunder...2 percent. $$ MIZ088-131200- Southeast Chippewa- Including the city of Drummond 601 AM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely through early afternoon. A chance of thunderstorms. A chance of rain showers by mid afternoon. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Max temperature.....Around 75. 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler. Min humidity........80-85 percent. 24 hr trend......30 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 9 to 14 mph shifting to the southwest 10 to 15 mph by mid afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph. PCPN amount.........0.33-0.67 inch. Hours of Sun........2. Chance of thunder...51 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. A slight chance of thunderstorms early in the evening. A slight chance of rain showers through midnight. Chance of precipitation 20 percent. Min temperature.....Around 62. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........98-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......West 6 to 11 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph through midnight. PCPN amount.........None to 0.03 inch. Chance of thunder...17 percent. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Max temperature.....78-83. Min humidity........50-55 percent. 20-foot winds.......West 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........12. Chance of thunder...1 percent. $$ MIZ086-087-131200- Western Chippewa-Central Chippewa- Including the cities of Eckerman and Sault Ste. Marie 601 AM EDT Sat Jul 12 2025 .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely through early afternoon. A chance of thunderstorms. A chance of rain showers by mid afternoon. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Max temperature.....Around 74. 24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler. Min humidity........83-88 percent. 24 hr trend......48 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southeast 9 to 14 mph shifting to the southwest by mid afternoon. PCPN amount.........0.27-0.50 inch. Hours of Sun........1. Chance of thunder...41 percent. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. A slight chance of thunderstorms early in the evening. A chance of rain showers through midnight. Haze by midnight. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Min temperature.....Around 60. 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler. Max humidity........98-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph. PCPN amount.........0.01-0.22 inch. Chance of thunder...16 percent. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Max temperature.....79-84 inland to around 78 at the shore. Min humidity........52-57 percent. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph. PCPN amount.........None. Hours of Sun........11. Chance of thunder...2 percent. $$ .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY...Clear. A 20 percent chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 63. Highs 81 to 86 inland to around 77 at the shore. West winds 4 to 9 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Lows 56 to 61 inland to around 63 at the shore. Highs around 82 inland to around 76 at the shore. South winds 3 to 8 mph with gusts to around 20 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Not as warm. Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain showers and thunderstorms. Lows 55 to 60. Highs 69 to 74 inland to around 66 at the shore. North winds 4 to 9 mph with gusts to around 20 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Lows 48 to 53 inland to around 55 at the shore. Highs 68 to 73 inland to around 67 at the shore. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of rain showers. Lows 47 to 52 inland to around 55 at the shore. Highs 68 to 73. .Outlook for Sat Jul 19 through Fri Jul 25...expect near normal temperatures and above normal precipitation. $$ ...................Smoke Management Forecast data.................... The following values are for 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) today: Mixing Transport Ventilation WIMS ID/ Site / Height / Winds / Index ------------------------------------------------------------------ 471301 / WAUSAUKEE / 2100 / W 11 / 231 (F) 200301 / KENTON / 2100 / W 14 / 294 (F) 200504 /BARAGA PLAINS / 2600 / W 11 / 286 (F) 201004 / MUNISING / 800 / W 5 / 40 (P) 201002 / DOE LAKE / 1400 / W 8 / 112 (P) 201103 / HIGH BRIDGE / 1500 / W 9 / 135 (F) 200703 / GWINN / 2900 / W 8 / 232 (F) 200903 / LABRANCHE / 2300 / W 10 / 230 (F) 200503 / PELKIE / 2500 / W 14 / 350 (G) 201504 / RACO / 1600 / SW 17 / 272 (F) 200802 / RANDVILLE / 3300 / W 11 / 363 (G) 201401 / REXTON / 1800 / SW 16 / 288 (F) 201505 / RUDYARD / 1800 / SW 19 / 342 (G) 201202 / SENEY / 1500 / W 9 / 135 (F) 201302 /SPINCICH LAKE / 1600 / SW 11 / 176 (F) 201102 / STONINGTON / 1800 / W 9 / 162 (F) 200102 / WAKEFIELD / 2300 / W 16 / 368 (G) 200103 / WATERSMEET / 2800 / W 16 / 448 (G) /DRUMND ISLAND / 700 / S 18 / 126 (P) / KEWEENAW / 700 / W 11 / 77 (P) 201506 / TROUT LAKE / 1800 / SW 18 / 324 (G) THE FOLLOWING VALUES ARE FOR 1 PM EST (2 PM EDT) Sun... Mixing Transport Ventilation WIMS ID/ Site / Height / Winds / Index ------------------------------------------------------------------ 471301 / WAUSAUKEE / 6600 / W 16 / 1056 (E) 200301 / KENTON / 6700 / W 21 / 1407 (E) 200504 /BARAGA PLAINS / 6900 / W 20 / 1380 (E) 201004 / MUNISING / 2600 / W 10 / 260 (F) 201002 / DOE LAKE / 5800 / W 14 / 812 (E) 201103 / HIGH BRIDGE / 5900 / W 16 / 944 (E) 200703 / GWINN / 6400 / W 18 / 1152 (E) 200903 / LABRANCHE / 6600 / W 18 / 1188 (E) 200503 / PELKIE / 6800 / W 21 / 1428 (E) 201504 / RACO / 3500 / W 13 / 455 (G) 200802 / RANDVILLE / 6600 / W 18 / 1188 (E) 201401 / REXTON / 3400 / SW 14 / 476 (G) 201505 / RUDYARD / 4200 / W 13 / 546 (G) 201202 / SENEY / 5500 / W 13 / 715 (E) 201302 /SPINCICH LAKE / 5700 / W 16 / 912 (E) 201102 / STONINGTON / 5000 / W 16 / 800 (E) 200102 / WAKEFIELD / 6100 / W 21 / 1281 (E) 200103 / WATERSMEET / 6200 / W 21 / 1302 (E) /DRUMND ISLAND / 2300 / W 17 / 391 (G) / KEWEENAW / 2800 / W 24 / 672 (E) 201506 / TROUT LAKE / 3500 / W 14 / 490 (G) Note: Mixing heights are in feet above ground level Transport winds are in miles per hour ..................................................................... The following is point forecast information valid at 1 PM EST. Note that the QPF is from 7 AM to 1 PM EST. Also, wind speeds have been reduced by a factor of 0.7 by the request of local fire officials. WIMS ID/ Site/ Temp/ RH/ WSPD/WGST/WDIR/QPF --------------------------------------------------- 471301 / WAUSAUKEE/ 79/ 69/ 4/ 7/ SW/0.19 200301 / KENTON/ 68/ 90/ 6/ 10/ NW/0.05 200504 /BARAGA PLAINS/ 70/ 86/ 4/ 8/ NW/0.05 201004 / MUNISING/ 64/ 92/ 3/ 5/ W/0.44 201002 / DOE LAKE/ 69/ 89/ 4/ 7/ W/0.41 201103 / HIGH BRIDGE/ 70/ 86/ 4/ 8/ W/0.33 200703 / GWINN/ 73/ 76/ 3/ 5/ W/0.22 200903 / LABRANCHE/ 76/ 74/ 3/ 6/ W/0.26 200503 / PELKIE/ 69/ 89/ 6/ 10/ NW/0.04 201504 / RACO/ 71/ 91/ 7/ 14/ S/0.27 200802 / RANDVILLE/ 76/ 73/ 4/ 7/ W/0.24 201401 / REXTON/ 68/ 97/ 7/ 12/ SW/0.33 201505 / RUDYARD/ 73/ 89/ 8/ 15/ S/0.21 201202 / SENEY/ 68/ 95/ 4/ 8/ W/0.30 201302 /SPINCICH LAKE/ 67/ 99/ 5/ 9/ SW/0.25 201102 / STONINGTON/ 74/ 80/ 4/ 6/ SW/0.29 200102 / WAKEFIELD/ 70/ 78/ 7/ 9/ NW/0.04 200103 / WATERSMEET/ 71/ 79/ 6/ 11/ NW/0.04 /DRUMND ISLAND/ 72/ 90/ 8/ 13/ S/0.23 / KEWEENAW/ 65/ 90/ 7/ 10/ NW/0.03 201506 / TROUT LAKE/ 70/ 92/ 7/ 15/ SW/0.31 $$ WFO MQT