307
FNUS73 KMPX 032148
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Blue Hills Pile RX...NRP   USFWS CONTRACT
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
348 PM CST Mon Feb 3 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CST on February 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Little fire weather concerns with a shallow snow pack, high RH
values, and low wind speeds. Although light winds will shift from
the north to the northeast as seen in the chart below. Winds will
be under 10 mph with gusting not expected.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent).
Temperature.........2 at ignition...Max 11.
RH..................63 percent at ignition...Min 58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds north at 6 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    North winds 5 to 6 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon becoming light.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /12400 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...fair
                    /14600 knot-ft/.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 1700 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 8 to 10 mph.

TIME (CST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
Sky cover.......MC  CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............2   4   5   7   9   10  11  10  10  10  8   8
RH..............63  60  58  59  61  61  61  64  67  67  75  74
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   5   5   5   5   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.9   9   9   9   8   8   8   7   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.6 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.2
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E
Transp wind spd.9   10  9   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   7

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent).
Temperature.........Min 7.
RH..................Max 84 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6800 knot-ft).
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 9 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Snow likely in
                    the afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 24.
RH..................Min 67 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 8 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8300 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (29700 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 16 mph shifting to the south 15
                    to 16 mph late in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...Carletta
Requested by...Mark Plantz
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2502141.0/MPX
.DELDT 02/03/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mark.plantz@NRP.eco