781
FNUS73 KMPX 071346
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Swede Forest SNA...MN DNR
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
846 AM CDT Thu May 7 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on May 07.
Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Mostly sunny skies today will lead to slightly
warmer temperatures near 60 degrees by this afternoon. Relative
humidity values will bottom out mid to early afternoon around
20-25%. West/northwesterly sustained winds to peak at 10-15MPH,
with gusts to 20-25MPH this afternoon. Vertical mixing is
expected to become very efficient around 10-11am, with a mixing
height around 8500ft through the afternoon. Elevated fire weather
conditions are possible after 12PM due to the lower RHs.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Temperature.........52 at ignition...Max 62.
RH..................41 percent at ignition...Min 21 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds northeast at 3 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Light winds becoming
                    northwest 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent /62000 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /131000 knot-ft/.
Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 8700 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....West 12 to 17 mph.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............52  54  56  58  60  60  61  62  60  57  51  48
RH..............41  35  30  27  25  24  23  22  24  27  34  40
20 FT wind dir..NE  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N
20 FT wind spd..3   5   7   8   10  10  10  10  10  7   5   3
20 FT wind gust.7   10  14  15  16  17  17  17  17  12  8   7
Mix hgt (kft)...6.2 7.2 7.9 8.0 8.3 8.6 8.7 8.4 7.4 0.7 0.6 0.4
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.12  12  14  14  15  17  17  18  16  10  9   8

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Temperature.........Min 37.
RH..................Max 67 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light, then becoming south
                    around 5 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (103300 knot-ft) decreasing to poor
                    (1700 knot-ft) early in the evening.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 9 to 18 mph decreasing to 7 to 8 mph
                    late in the evening, then shifting to the west
                    around 6 mph overnight shifting to the south 6
                    to 9 mph overnight.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Temperature.........Max 70.
RH..................Min 25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 7 mph shifting to the
                    northwest 12 to 16 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2500 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (77500 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (105300
                    knot-ft) in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......9700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 9 mph shifting to the west 10 to
                    15 mph in the late morning and early afternoon,
                    then increasing to 20 to 23 mph late in the
                    afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...Veserat
Requested by...Brad Bolduan
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2613063.0/MPX
.DELDT 05/07/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL brad.bolduan@state.mn.us