Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
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FNUS74 KMOB 200253
FWSMOB
Spot Forecast for Burnt Rock Creek...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
953 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2200 CDT on March 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 78 EXPECTED FRIDAY OVER THE BURN
AREA...
.DISCUSSION...For Friday, the minimum relative humidity is near
35%, transport winds will be mostly south-southwesterly to
westerly, and dispersion values will be good. For Saturday, the
minimum relative humidity is near 40%, 20 ft wind gusts will be
up to near 15 mph, transport winds will be mostly west-
southwesterly to westerly, and dispersion values will be
generally good.
Fog potential and other remarks...Fog is not expected.
.REST OF TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...91 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 8 mph shifting to the west
around 6 mph after 3 am.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 3 to 4 meters/second.
Dispersion index....3.
LVORI...............3 becoming 9.
Stability class.....6.
TIME (CDT) 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........1 1 2 0 0 1 0 0
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............55 53 52 50 49 49 47 47
RH..............74 77 80 89 93 93 100 100
20 FT wind dir..SSW SSW SSW SW SW SW WSW WSW
20 FT wind spd..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1
20 FT wind gust.7 7 7 7 7 6 6 5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.SSW SSW SSW SW WSW WSW W W
Transp wind spd.7 7 7 8 8 7 6 6
Trans wind dir..SSW SSW SSW SW WSW WSW W W
Trans spd (m/s).3 3 3 4 4 3 3 3
Dispersion idx..3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
LVORI...........3 4 5 6 6 6 9 9
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph late in
the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...1615 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....West 3 to 5 mph shifting to the southwest 6 to
13 mph in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.West around 2 meters/second shifting to the
southwest 3 to 6 meters/second in the
afternoon.
Dispersion index....2 increasing to 78.
LVORI...............9 becoming 1.
Stability class.....2.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........0 1 1 1 3 6 12 16 14 7 7 5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............47 47 51 57 63 70 74 77 79 80 80 79
RH..............100 100 93 86 78 61 50 40 36 35 35 36
20 FT wind dir..WSW SW WSW WSW WSW SW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW
20 FT wind spd..1 1 1 1 2 3 5 5 6 6 7 6
20 FT wind gust.3 3 3 5 6 7 8 10 12 12 13 14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.2 2.5 3.6 4.8 5.0 5.2 5.3 5.3
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6
Transp wind dir.W W W W WSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SW SW SSW
Transp wind spd.5 5 3 5 3 3 6 6 7 9 10 13
Trans wind dir..W W W W WSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SW SW SSW
Trans spd (m/s).2 2 1 2 1 1 3 3 3 4 4 6
Dispersion idx..2 4 4 4 5 11 25 37 44 57 63 78
LVORI...........9 9 6 6 4 2 2 1 1 1 1 1
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 15 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 4 to 7 meters/second.
Dispersion index....93 decreasing to 4.
LVORI...............1 becoming 7.
Stability class.....4.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........6 5 3 5 1 2 1 0 1 2 3 4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............77 72 66 63 61 61 60 58 57 56 56 55
RH..............39 46 58 65 72 72 78 83 86 93 93 96
20 FT wind dir..SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 3 3 3
20 FT wind gust.14 14 14 14 13 12 12 10 10 10 10 10
Mix hgt (kft)...5.3 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4
Mix hgt (km)....1.6 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.S S S SSW SSW SSW SW SW SW WSW WSW WSW
Transp wind spd.15 13 12 12 12 10 9 9 9 9 9 9
Trans wind dir..S S S SSW SSW SSW SW SW SW WSW WSW WSW
Trans spd (m/s).7 6 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
Dispersion idx..93 6 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4
LVORI...........1 2 3 3 3 3 4 5 5 6 6 7
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 6 mph in
the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...1524 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....West 9 to 14 mph.
Transport winds m/s.West 4 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 64.
LVORI...............9 becoming 1.
Stability class.....2.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM
Sky (%).........6 16 7
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0
Temp............54 68 82
RH..............100 76 43
20 FT wind dir..SW WSW WSW
20 FT wind spd..3 6 7
20 FT wind gust.9 12 15
Mix hgt (ft)....400 2000 4200
Mix hgt (m).....120 610 1280
Transp wind dir.WSW W WSW
Transp wind spd.9 14 10
Trans wind dir..WSW W WSW
Trans spd (m/s).4 6 4
Dispersion idx..4 36 52
LVORI...........9 3 1
$$
Forecaster...22
Requested by...Jodie Pfeifer
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2606681.0/MOB
.DELDT 03/19/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL msmic@firenet.gov,ashley.schroeder@usda.gov