Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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345
FNUS74 KMOB 211142
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Chick 392...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
642 AM CDT Wed May 21 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.


.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions will return through Thursday behind a
cold front this morning. Afternoon relative humidity values will
be around 30 to 35 percent today and tomorrow. 20 foot winds will
be out of the north around 5 knots with northerly transport winds
around 10 knots. Dispersions this afternoon will be generally good
today and tomorrow. Max LVORI tonight will be 3 and 4 tomorrow.


Fog potential and other remarks...No fog is expected through the forecast.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north around 5 mph late in
                    the morning.
Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...732-1494 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....North 8 to 13 mph.
Transport winds m/s.North 4 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....42 increasing to 52 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............1.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........11  24  22  34  48  40  48  39
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............78  81  83  85  86  87  87  86
RH..............58  47  41  36  34  32  31  34
20 FT wind dir..N   NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE
20 FT wind spd..5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.13  12  12  12  12  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 2.9 3.5 4.1 4.6 4.9 4.8 4.8
Mix hgt (km)....0.7 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5
Transp wind dir.N   NNE NNE NNE N   NNE NNE NNE
Transp wind spd.13  12  9   9   8   8   8   9
Trans wind dir..N   NNE NNE NNE N   NNE NNE NNE
Trans spd (m/s).6   5   4   4   4   4   4   4
Dispersion idx..37  44  44  46  50  51  49  55
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
Max humidity........87 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...91-1463 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 7 to 8 mph shifting to the east 5 to
                    7 mph overnight.
Transport winds m/s.East 2 to 4 meters/second.
Dispersion index....46 decreasing to 3.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........31  40  39  34  15  11  28  34  43  43  39  30
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............85  82  75  72  69  67  66  65  64  63  63  62
RH..............37  46  60  64  68  73  75  78  81  81  84  84
20 FT wind dir..NNE NNE NE  NE  ENE E   ESE E   ESE ESE ESE ESE
20 FT wind spd..5   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.10  9   8   8   7   7   6   6   6   5   6   5
Mix hgt (kft)...4.8 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Mix hgt (km)....1.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.NNE NE  NE  NE  ENE ENE E   E   E   E   ESE SE
Transp wind spd.8   7   8   8   7   7   7   7   7   6   5   5
Trans wind dir..NNE NE  NE  NE  ENE ENE E   E   E   E   ESE SE
Trans spd (m/s).4   3   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2
Dispersion idx..46  3   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2
LVORI...........1   2   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   5   5   5

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...91-1920 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 7 mph shifting to the southwest
                    5 to 6 mph in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast around 2 meters/second shifting to
                    the west around 3 meters/second late in the
                    afternoon.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 42.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........35  26  19  21  21  16  16  15  12  8   5   5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............61  63  67  73  80  83  86  88  90  90  90  89
RH..............87  84  78  66  52  44  39  35  32  31  32  35
20 FT wind dir..SE  SSE SE  SE  SE  SSE S   SSW SW  WSW WSW WSW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   3   3   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   7   7   8   8   9   9   10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.6 1.2 2.3 4.1 5.0 6.0 6.1 6.2 6.3 6.3
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.5 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9
Transp wind dir.SE  ESE SE  SSE S   SSW SW  SW  SW  WSW WSW W
Transp wind spd.5   5   6   6   7   6   5   5   5   6   6   6
Trans wind dir..SE  ESE SE  SSE S   SSW SW  SW  SW  WSW WSW W
Trans spd (m/s).2   2   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   3   3   3
Dispersion idx..2   4   5   9   20  31  32  36  37  41  43  43
LVORI...........6   5   4   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...8
Requested by...Rodney Landrum
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2514409.0/MOB
.DELDT 05/21/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL rodney.landrum@usda.gov