277
FNUS74 KMOB 031232
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for BB 15521...Forest Service
National Weather Service Mobile AL
632 AM CST Mon Feb 3 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CST on February 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...LOW DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 14 EXPECTED TUESDAY AFTERNOON OVER THE
BURN AREA...

.DISCUSSION...Dry weather is expected at the burn site. Minimum relative
humidity remains above critical thresholds. Southerly to southwesterly
transport winds today will turn more westerly by Tuesday. Afternoon
dispersion will be fair today and generally poor on Tuesday.

Fog potential and other remarks...Dense fog will persist this morning
through 8 or 9am. Areas of dense fog are expected to develop again tonight
after midnight and persist into the morning hours on Tuesday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 2900 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...Increasing to 884 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 10 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 3 to 4 meters/second.
Dispersion index....14 increasing to 35.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........25  10  2   2   1   3   0   4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............62  66  71  74  74  75  74  70
RH..............75  68  57  51  51  48  51  59
20 FT wind dir..S   SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW S
20 FT wind spd..2   5   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.7   9   12  12  12  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.7 2.3 2.7 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9
Mix hgt (km)....0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9
Transp wind dir.SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW S
Transp wind spd.7   8   8   9   10  9   9   9
Trans spd (m/s).3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Dispersion idx..10  17  24  29  36  35  33  33
LVORI...........4   3   2   2   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Areas of dense
                    fog overnight. Patchy dense fog early in the
                    morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 55.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to 400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...Decreasing to 122 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 10 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 1 to 4 meters/second.
Dispersion index....3.
LVORI...............7.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........2   5   12  24  32  32  36  42  41  51  61  76
Weather cov.....                                ARS ARS ARS PTY
Weather type....                                FOG FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............66  61  60  57  58  58  58  57  56  56  56  56
RH..............73  87  90  100 93  96  96  100 100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW N
20 FT wind spd..5   5   3   3   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   0
20 FT wind gust.10  10  9   9   8   7   7   6   5   5   3   2
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.10  9   10  10  9   9   9   9   8   6   6   3
Trans spd (m/s).4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   1
Dispersion idx..4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   2   2
LVORI...........3   5   6   7   6   8   9   9   9   9   9   10

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Patchy dense fog
                    early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 2100 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...Increasing to 640 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 2 to 6 mph shifting to the south
                    around 6 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 1 to 3 meters/second shifting to the
                    south around 3 meters/second.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 14 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........82  81  62  76  70  67  49  44  37  48  54  51
Weather cov.....PTY PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............57  57  59  63  67  71  74  76  77  76  75  72
RH..............100 100 100 93  90  82  74  68  65  64  67  72
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   S   SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW S   S
20 FT wind spd..0   0   0   0   1   1   2   3   3   3   3   2
20 FT wind gust.2   2   2   2   3   5   6   6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.6 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.SW  WSW SW  WSW W   WNW WNW WNW W   W   WSW SSW
Transp wind spd.5   3   2   3   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   6
Trans spd (m/s).2   1   1   1   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   3
Dispersion idx..4   3   3   3   8   11  13  14  13  14  13  13
LVORI...........9   9   9   7   5   4   3   3   3   2   3   3

$$
Forecaster...7
Requested by...Brandon Selk
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2502071.0/MOB
.DELDT 02/03/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL brandon.selk@usda.gov