Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
965
FNUS74 KMOB 011331
FWSMOB
Spot Forecast for Three Rivers Fire...USFWS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
831 AM CDT Fri Aug 1 2025
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0900 CDT on August 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be within
10 nm of the burn site this morning, with thunderstorm outflows
possibly affecting the burn site. The showers and thunderstorms
will continue through the afternoon hours, but are expected to
generally shift onshore, but may still have thunderstorm outflows
affecting the burn site. General southwest to west surface and
transport winds are expected through the day.
Fog potential and other remarks...Fog is not expected.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms late in the morning,
then chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
late morning and early afternoon. Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms late in the
afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...701-823 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 13 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 4 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....30 increasing to 38 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....2.
TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........22 34 33 25 23 26 24 25 20
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).20 30 30 30 30 30 30 20 20
Temp............85 86 87 88 89 89 90 89 89
RH..............82 82 77 75 70 73 68 70 70
20 FT wind dir..W W WSW WSW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..6 6 6 7 7 8 9 10 10
20 FT wind gust.9 9 9 10 12 13 14 14 14
Mix hgt (kft)...2.6 2.7 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.3 2.4 2.4
Mix hgt (km)....0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7
Transp wind dir.W WSW WSW WSW SW WSW WSW WSW SSW
Transp wind spd.9 8 8 9 9 10 12 13 13
Trans wind dir..W WSW WSW WSW SW WSW WSW WSW SSW
Trans spd (m/s).4 4 4 4 4 4 5 6 6
Dispersion idx..31 30 27 31 32 35 36 37 38
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) to mostly
cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in
the late evening and overnight, then chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 3 am.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 81.
Max humidity........94 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms in the late evening and
overnight.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...579-732 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....West 9 to 15 mph.
Transport winds m/s.West 4 to 7 meters/second.
Dispersion index....40 decreasing to 8.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....4.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........22 20 21 24 32 17 25 43 51 55 49 60
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 40 40
Temp............89 88 86 86 86 86 86 85 85 85 84 83
RH..............70 75 80 80 80 80 80 82 82 82 85 88
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW W W W
20 FT wind spd..10 9 9 8 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6
20 FT wind gust.14 13 13 12 12 10 10 10 9 9 9 9
Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.1 2.2 2.0 1.9
Mix hgt (km)....0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.SW WSW WSW W WSW W W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.14 14 15 13 12 12 12 10 10 9 9 9
Trans wind dir..SW WSW WSW W WSW W W W W W W W
Trans spd (m/s).6 6 7 6 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4
Dispersion idx..40 9 10 8 7 6 6 7 8 8 8 6
LVORI...........3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Showers likely
and chance of thunderstorms in the morning,
then showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........72 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms in the morning.
Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms early in the afternoon. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...366-549 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 13 mph.
Transport winds m/s.West 3 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....10 increasing to 30.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....2.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........59 60 47 46 44 41 37 34 37 41 44 49
Weather cov.....CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF
Chc of pcpn (%).40 60 60 60 60 60 60 80 80 80 80 80
Temp............83 83 82 84 85 86 87 88 88 88 88 87
RH..............88 88 94 88 82 80 75 72 72 72 72 75
20 FT wind dir..W W W W W W WSW SW SW SW SW WSW
20 FT wind spd..6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 9 9 9
20 FT wind gust.9 9 9 8 8 8 9 10 12 13 13 13
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 1.7 1.3 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8
Mix hgt (km)....0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.W W W W W W WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW
Transp wind spd.7 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 10 12 13
Trans wind dir..W W W W W W WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW
Trans spd (m/s).3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 5 6
Dispersion idx..5 14 12 12 12 13 14 16 20 25 29 30
LVORI...........5 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3
$$
Forecaster...16
Requested by...Sami Gray
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2518997.0/MOB
.DELDT 08/01/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL sami_gray@fws.gov,melanie_dolan@fws.gov,david_stoesz@fws.gov