Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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556
FNUS74 KMOB 191317
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Coleman Creek Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
817 AM CDT Sat Oct 19 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0913 CDT on October 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions and east to northeast winds will
prevail across the burn site today. Afternoon dispersions are
expected to be generally good. Afternoon relative humidity values
are forecast to drop into the 30 to 35 percent range.

Fog potential and other remarks...Fog is not expected.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...335-1494 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 14 mph.
Transport winds m/s.East 4 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....21 increasing to 55.
LVORI...............2.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........8      0      4      1      0
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1
Temp............57     68     74     77     76
RH..............67     51     43     36     37
20 FT wind dir..ENE    E      ENE    ENE    ENE
20 FT wind spd..7      7      7      8      8
20 FT wind gust.13     14     14     15     14
Mix hgt (ft)....1100   2400   4400   4800   4900
Mix hgt (m).....340    730    1340   1460   1490
Transp wind dir.E      E      E      E      ENE
Transp wind spd.14     13     12     10     10
Trans wind dir..E      E      E      E      ENE
Trans spd (m/s).6      6      5      4      4
Dispersion idx..18     37     58     58     59
LVORI...........3      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...91-1494 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 9 mph.
Transport winds m/s.East around 4 meters/second.
Dispersion index....59 decreasing to 4.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........0      1      1      1      1      1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............73     63     59     56     54     50
RH..............43     62     69     72     71     80
20 FT wind dir..NE     NE     NE     ENE    ENE    NE
20 FT wind spd..7      6      5      3      3      3
20 FT wind gust.13     12     10     10     9      10
Mix hgt (ft)....4900   400    400    400    400    400
Mix hgt (m).....1490   120    120    120    120    120
Transp wind dir.ENE    ENE    ENE    E      E      ENE
Transp wind spd.9      8      9      9      9      8
Trans wind dir..ENE    ENE    ENE    E      E      ENE
Trans spd (m/s).4      4      4      4      4      4
Dispersion idx..59     4      4      4      4      4
LVORI...........1      3      3      3      3      5

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast 5 to 7 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...91-1219 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 8 to 10 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Northeast around 4 meters/second.
Dispersion index....8 increasing to 47.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........1      0      1      2      2      1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............48     51     65     74     78     79
RH..............86     80     50     35     27     23
20 FT wind dir..NNE    NE     ENE    NE     NE     NE
20 FT wind spd..5      5      6      6      7      8
20 FT wind gust.10     10     12     13     14     15
Mix hgt (ft)....400    400    1200   2700   3600   4000
Mix hgt (m).....120    120    370    820    1100   1220
Transp wind dir.ENE    ENE    ENE    E      ENE    NE
Transp wind spd.8      8      8      10     9      10
Trans wind dir..ENE    ENE    ENE    E      ENE    NE
Trans spd (m/s).4      4      4      4      4      4
Dispersion idx..4      9      18     34     41     48
LVORI...........5      4      2      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...34
Requested by...Cliff Willis
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2424362.2/MOB
.DELDT 10/19/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL clifton.willis@usda.gov