382
FNUS74 KMOB 310133
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Fixed Wing...FS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
733 PM CST Thu Jan 30 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 CST on January 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 76 EXPECTED FRIDAY AFTERNOON OVER THE
BURN AREA...

.DISCUSSION...Scattered to numerous showers, along with a few thunderstorms,
are expected late tonight and Friday morning, with dry conditions returning
for Saturday. Afternoon relative humidity values remain above critical levels
Friday and Saturday. Transport winds will generally southeasterly tonight and
become more southwesterly on Friday, before becoming more light and variable
on Saturday. Dispersion index values will be generally poor to fair tonight
and then fair to good Friday and generally poor to fair on Saturday.

Fog potential and other remarks...Patchy to areas of fog, some of
which could be dense, is expected tonight. Fog development is not
expected Friday night.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Patchy fog in the late
                    evening and overnight. Slight chance of showers
                    overnight. Showers likely after 3 am.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 10 to 12 mph with gusts to around
                    25 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-274 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 16 to 20 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 7 to 9 meters/second.
Dispersion index....16.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CST)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........87  88  92  87  86  87  86  84  86  86  95
Weather cov.....        PTY PTY PTY SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....        FOG FOG FOG RNF RNF RNF RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  60  60  60
Temp............67  67  67  66  66  67  66  66  66  63  65
RH..............90  90  93  97  97  93  100 98  100 99  100
20 FT wind dir..SSE S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SSW SSW
20 FT wind spd..13  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  13  12
20 FT wind gust.25  24  24  25  25  25  25  25  25  24  23
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.9
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SSW S   SSW SW
Transp wind spd.17  16  16  18  17  18  18  20  20  18  17
Trans wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SSW S   SSW SW
Trans spd (m/s).8   7   7   8   8   8   8   9   9   8   8
Dispersion idx..15  15  15  16  16  16  17  17  17  16  16
LVORI...........5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning. Chance of showers and slight
                    chance of thunderstorms early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 9 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph
                    early in the morning then 20 mph late in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the morning.
Mixing height.......3700 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...213-1128 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 16 mph shifting to the west 13
                    to 21 mph late in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.West 6 to 9 meters/second shifting to the
                    southwest 3 to 7 meters/second in the late
                    morning and early afternoon, then shifting to
                    the west 6 to 9 meters/second late in the
                    afternoon.
Dispersion index....18 decreasing to 13 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 26 early in the afternoon
                    increasing to 41 early in the afternoon
                    increasing to 55 increasing to 76 late in the
                    afternoon decreasing to 56.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........94  96  79  86  76  53  54  60  59  34  19  32
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).50  50  50  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............65  63  62  65  66  68  71  70  72  72  70  67
RH..............97  98  100 88  80  72  57  55  47  40  42  46
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  WSW WSW WSW WSW W
20 FT wind spd..10  9   8   7   7   7   7   8   9   9   8   7
20 FT wind gust.21  20  17  15  16  16  16  17  18  20  17  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.8 1.0 0.7 1.0 1.5 1.9 2.4 2.7 3.7 3.7 3.7
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.1
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  W   WSW SSW WSW WSW WSW WSW W   W   W
Transp wind spd.16  14  13  7   8   9   10  14  16  21  17  13
Trans wind dir..SW  SW  W   WSW SSW WSW WSW WSW WSW W   W   W
Trans spd (m/s).7   6   6   3   4   4   4   6   7   9   8   6
Dispersion idx..19  17  17  8   11  17  26  41  55  80  71  56
LVORI...........5   5   5   7   4   3   2   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...12
Requested by...Cliff Willis
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2501930.0/MOB
.DELDT 01/30/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL msmic@firenet.gov