867
FNUS74 KMOB 181320
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Coleman Creek Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
820 AM CDT Fri Oct 18 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0913 CDT on October 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Dry weather conditions prevail across the burn area
today and Saturday with relative humidity values falling between
20 and 25 percent this afternoon and 25 to 30 percent Saturday
afternoon. Transport winds remain easterly today around 10 to 15
mph, remaining easterly around 5 to 10 mph for Saturday.
Dispersion indices will be generally good both this afternoon and
Saturday afternoon.

Fog potential and other remarks...Fog is not expected.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 7 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......4400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...244-1341 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 14 mph.
Transport winds m/s.East 4 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....13 increasing to 42.
LVORI...............2.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........1      0      5      15     23
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1
Temp............53     64     70     73     72
RH..............57     37     27     24     25
20 FT wind dir..E      E      E      E      ENE
20 FT wind spd..8      9      9      8      8
20 FT wind gust.13     14     14     14     12
Mix hgt (ft)....800    2900   4000   4300   4400
Mix hgt (m).....240    880    1220   1310   1340
Transp wind dir.E      E      E      E      E
Transp wind spd.13     13     9      8      9
Trans wind dir..E      E      E      E      E
Trans spd (m/s).6      6      4      4      4
Dispersion idx..13     40     38     38     42
LVORI...........2      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 6 mph in the evening becoming
                    light, then becoming northeast around 5 mph
                    after 3 am.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...91-1341 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 9 mph.
Transport winds m/s.East 3 to 4 meters/second.
Dispersion index....42 decreasing to 5.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........13     16     13     20     26     36
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............69     59     54     52     50     49
RH..............27     44     66     71     77     77
20 FT wind dir..ENE    ENE    ENE    ENE    ENE    ENE
20 FT wind spd..7      7      6      5      5      6
20 FT wind gust.12     9      10     10     12     12
Mix hgt (ft)....4400   400    400    400    400    400
Mix hgt (m).....1340   120    120    120    120    120
Transp wind dir.E      E      E      E      E      E
Transp wind spd.8      8      7      9      8      9
Trans wind dir..E      E      E      E      E      E
Trans spd (m/s).4      4      3      4      4      4
Dispersion idx..42     4      4      4      5      5
LVORI...........1      2      3      3      4      4

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...91-1372 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 14 mph.
Transport winds m/s.East 4 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....8 increasing to 42.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........47     18     11     3      2      1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............48     50     63     72     76     78
RH..............80     77     52     42     36     31
20 FT wind dir..NE     ENE    ENE    ENE    ENE    ENE
20 FT wind spd..7      8      9      9      9      9
20 FT wind gust.12     13     14     14     14     15
Mix hgt (ft)....400    500    1300   2900   3900   4500
Mix hgt (m).....120    150    400    880    1190   1370
Transp wind dir.E      E      E      E      E      E
Transp wind spd.8      9      12     13     12     10
Trans wind dir..E      E      E      E      E      E
Trans spd (m/s).4      4      5      6      5      4
Dispersion idx..6      10     23     39     43     42
LVORI...........4      3      2      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...25
Requested by...Cliff Willis
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2424362.1/MOB
.DELDT 10/18/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL clifton.willis@usda.gov