Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
544
FNUS74 KMOB 231850
FWSMOB
Spot Forecast for Chick 439 440 441...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
150 PM CDT Thu Apr 23 2026
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on April 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 76 EXPECTED FRIDAY OVER THE BURN
AREA...
.DISCUSSION...There is a 30% chance of rain Friday, and a 40%
chance of rain Friday night, and a 70% chance of rain Saturday.
For Friday, the minimum relative humidity is near 50%, 20 ft wind
gusts will be up to near 20 mph, transport winds will be mostly
southerly, and dispersion values will be good. For Saturday, the
minimum relative humidity is near 60%, transport winds will be
mostly southwesterly to west-southwesterly, and dispersion values
will be generally good.
Fog potential and other remarks...Patchy fog is expected tonight and
again Friday night.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
early in the afternoon. Slight chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon. Slight chance
of showers late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...1097-1585 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 13 to 15 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 6 to 7 meters/second.
Dispersion index....72 decreasing to 56 early in the afternoon,
then increasing to 70 early in the afternoon
decreasing to 57 late in the afternoon
increasing to 67.
LVORI...............2.
Stability class.....2.
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........42 53 66 57 63 51 50 49
Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 30 30 30 20 20
Temp............73 78 80 81 82 82 82 83
RH..............79 64 60 56 55 56 55 53
20 FT wind dir..S S S SSW S S S S
20 FT wind spd..6 6 6 7 7 7 8 7
20 FT wind gust.14 15 15 15 16 15 16 16
Mix hgt (kft)...3.6 4.2 4.3 5.2 4.6 4.8 4.8 4.8
Mix hgt (km)....1.1 1.3 1.3 1.6 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S
Transp wind spd.15 15 15 14 15 14 13 13
Trans wind dir..S S S S S S S S
Trans spd (m/s).7 7 7 6 7 6 6 6
Dispersion idx..67 76 73 56 72 67 57 67
LVORI...........3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph early in the evening
becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms early in the
evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms in the late evening and
overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1463 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 7 meters/second.
Dispersion index....78 decreasing to 7.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........36 30 39 45 50 59 69 78 79 81 82 84
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20 30 30 30 30 30 30 40 40 40 40 40
Temp............81 79 76 72 70 69 68 67 66 65 64 63
RH..............56 62 71 81 87 90 93 97 100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S SSW SSW S S S
20 FT wind spd..6 6 6 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 2 2
20 FT wind gust.16 16 16 15 14 14 13 13 12 10 10 9
Mix hgt (kft)...4.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.4
Mix hgt (km)....1.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1
Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S S SSW SSW SSW SW
Transp wind spd.14 13 13 13 14 15 15 15 14 13 12 10
Trans wind dir..S S S S S S S S SSW SSW SSW SW
Trans spd (m/s).6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 6 6 5 4
Dispersion idx..78 6 7 8 9 9 7 7 6 6 5 4
LVORI...........1 3 3 4 5 5 6 8 8 9 9 9
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of showers
in the morning. Chance of thunderstorms through
the day. Showers likely in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph
late in the afternoon, then becoming light late
in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms early in the
morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...91-1036 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 14 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 4 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....8 increasing to 50.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........86 88 86 83 81 73 66 58 54 49 45 47
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........CHC SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).40 40 40 40 40 40 40 70 70 70 70 70
Temp............64 65 66 69 72 75 78 81 82 83 83 82
RH..............97 97 100 97 90 82 71 65 63 63 63 65
20 FT wind dir..SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..2 2 2 3 3 3 5 5 5 6 6 5
20 FT wind gust.9 9 9 9 9 10 10 12 12 12 10 10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.4 1.0 1.7 2.4 2.8 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.2 2.9 2.9
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW SW SW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW SW
Transp wind spd.9 9 10 13 14 14 14 13 13 12 12 12
Trans wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW WSW WSW WSW WSW WSW SW
Trans spd (m/s).4 4 4 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5
Dispersion idx..4 9 12 25 40 46 46 45 54 52 45 45
LVORI...........9 8 5 5 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1
$$
Forecaster...13
Requested by...Rodney Landrum
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2611514.0/MOB
.DELDT 04/23/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL rodney.landrum@usda.gov