339
FNUS74 KMOB 011905
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Control Burn...FFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
105 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1453 CST on February 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 80 EXPECTED TUESDAY AFTERNOON OVER THE
BURN AREA...

.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions are expected Monday and Tuesday.
Afternoon relative humidity values are currently around 25%.
Afternoon relative humidity values drop to near 30% Monday and
remain above critical levels on Tuesday around 50%. Transport
winds are currently northerly around 15 mph becoming westerly
Monday around 10 mph and southwesterly on Tuesday around 10 to 15
mph. Current winds are around 10 mph out of the northwest gusting
to around 15 to 20 mph. 20 ft winds will be out of the west-
southwest on Monday around 5 to 10 mph and around 10 mph on
Tuesday. Dispersion index values will be generally good to good
Monday and good on Tuesday.


Fog potential and other remarks...Fog is not expected.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 45.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...975-1006 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 16 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Northwest 4 to 7 meters/second.
Dispersion index....54 decreasing to 40 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............1.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CST)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2   2   2   4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0
Temp............42  43  43  43
RH..............29  29  30  32
20 FT wind dir..NNW NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..9   8   7   6
20 FT wind gust.17  15  13  10
Mix hgt (kft)...3.3 3.2 3.2 3.2
Mix hgt (km)....1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.NNW NNW NNW NW
Transp wind spd.16  14  14  10
Trans wind dir..NNW NNW NNW NW
Trans spd (m/s).7   6   6   4
Dispersion idx..56  51  55  40
LVORI...........1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 22.
Max humidity........77 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...91 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 9 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Northwest 2 to 4 meters/second.
Dispersion index....3.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........4   4   4   11  4   6   6   3   2   3   3   2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............38  36  32  29  28  26  25  24  23  23  23  23
RH..............40  45  53  60  63  65  68  71  74  77  77  77
20 FT wind dir..NW  WNW NW  WNW WNW WNW W   W   W   W   W   WNW
20 FT wind spd..5   3   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.8   7   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  WNW WNW WNW WNW WNW NW
Transp wind spd.9   9   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   6
Trans wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  WNW WNW WNW WNW WNW NW
Trans spd (m/s).4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   3
Dispersion idx..4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   3
LVORI...........2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   3   4

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 56.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph
                    early in the afternoon, then becoming light
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...91-1036 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 14 mph increasing to 8 to 15 mph late
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.West 2 to 7 meters/second.
Dispersion index....8 increasing to 29 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 55 early in the afternoon
                    increasing to 59 early in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 48 decreasing to 34 late in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........3   5   3   3   3   3   4   3   3   3   3   3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............24  24  30  38  43  48  51  54  55  55  55  52
RH..............77  77  66  52  47  37  36  32  34  37  38  46
20 FT wind dir..WNW W   W   W   W   W   W   WSW WSW WSW WSW SW
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   2   2   5   5   6   6   6   5   5
20 FT wind gust.2   3   3   5   7   8   9   9   9   10  9   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.4 1.0 1.9 2.4 3.1 3.3 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.3
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.NW  WNW W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   WSW
Transp wind spd.5   5   5   7   10  10  14  14  15  13  12  8
Trans wind dir..NW  WNW W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   WSW
Trans spd (m/s).2   2   2   3   4   4   6   6   7   6   5   4
Dispersion idx..5   5   5   11  25  32  51  59  62  55  48  34
LVORI...........4   3   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...8
Requested by...RK
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2601342.2/MOB
.DELDT 02/01/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ryan.kaderly@fdacs.gov