Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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FNUS74 KMOB 221339
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Burn Zone BG-B4...Big Lagoon State Park
National Weather Service Mobile AL
739 AM CST Fri Nov 22 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CST on November 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Northerly surface and transport winds are expected
today, with the strongest values this morning. Winds will ease
somewhat this afternoon. Relative humidity values are expected
to remain above critical values as a bit more moist airmass moves
over the burn site. No rain is expected.

Fog potential and other remarks...Fog is not expected.

.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (CST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1   3   2   3   3   2   2   2   0   3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............48  51  53  57  59  61  62  61  61  59
RH..............71  61  59  48  43  40  36  36  37  50
20 FT wind dir..NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW
20 FT wind spd..7   13  13  12  10  10  10  10  10  9
20 FT wind gust.11  20  20  17  16  16  16  16  16  14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.7 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.6
Mix hgt (km)....0.3 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   NNW NNW NNW N   N
Transp wind spd.15  20  20  17  17  16  16  15  15  15
Trans wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   NNW NNW NNW N   N
Trans spd (m/s).6   9   9   8   8   7   7   7   7   7
Dispersion idx..23  36  42  41  40  39  41  42  40  40
LVORI...........2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5   5   4   3   4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............55  54  53  51  50  49  47  47  46  45  44  44
RH..............64  67  70  72  72  75  81  82  85  90  93  90
20 FT wind dir..NNW NNW NNW N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..7   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.10  7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6
Mix hgt (km)....0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.14  14  13  14  13  14  14  15  14  14  13  12
Trans wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Trans spd (m/s).6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   6   6   6   5
Dispersion idx..13  12  11  12  12  11  10  10  9   8   8   7
LVORI...........2   2   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   5

.SATURDAY...
TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........8   7   6   5   5   6   6   5   5   4   4   5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............43  45  48  52  55  58  61  64  65  64  63  61
RH..............88  87  76  68  60  58  51  49  47  50  53  57
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   NNW NNW WNW W   WNW WNW
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   3   3   3   2
20 FT wind gust.9   9   9   9   9   7   7   7   6   6   6   3
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.7 1.9 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4
Mix hgt (km)....0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   NNW NNW NW  WNW NW  NW
Transp wind spd.12  12  12  12  9   7   6   6   7   8   8   7
Trans wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   NNW NNW NW  WNW NW  NW
Trans spd (m/s).5   5   5   5   4   3   3   3   3   4   4   3
Dispersion idx..17  18  20  21  21  19  18  19  21  24  23  20
LVORI...........4   4   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

$$
Forecaster...16
Requested by...Wilbur Provost
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2427219.0/MOB
.DELDT 11/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL wilbur.provost@floridadep.gov