641
FXUS64 KMOB 121132
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
632 AM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...New Aviation...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1200 AM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025

A cutoff upper low over the southeast states opens up into a
trough and ejects northeast across the Mid-Atlantic states today
into Monday. This feature will keep dry deep layer northerly flow
in place over the forecast area, likewise keeping the forecast
dry. Given the dry air, light low level winds, and mostly clear
skies over the area, we will likely see a rather large diurnal
cycle each day through Tuesday. Afternoon highs warm above normal
into the lower to middle 80`s today and middle to upper 80`s
Monday into Tuesday. Overnight lows will be decently below normal
tonight and Monday night with lows falling into the lower to
middle 50`s for most locations.

As we head into mid-week upper ridging starts to build in putting
the area underneath a prevailing deep layer easterly to
northeasterly flow. This will help to warm temperatures even more
with highs the rest of the week topping out in the middle to
upper 80`s, perhaps even a couple spots reaching 90 Wednesday
through Friday. Overnight lows follow suit warming into the middle
and upper 50`s inland and lower 60`s nearer the coast Tuesday
night through Friday night. We may finally see isolated shower and
storm coverage try to return to the forecast next weekend as
upper ridging breaks down and upper troughing tries to move into
the region. A Low risk of rip currents continues through the week.
MM/25

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 631 AM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025

VFR conditions prevail through the TAF cycle. 07/mb

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1200 AM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025

A light to moderate northeasterly flow this morning becomes a light
offshore flow will then prevail through Thursday, with the exception
of a brief onshore flow developing both Wednesday and Thursday
afternoons associated with the diurnal cycle. Light to moderate
onshore flow returns Friday. No marine impacts are expected at
this time through the end of the week. MM/25

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      83  56  86  57  86  60  87  60 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Pensacola   83  61  86  61  86  64  86  64 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Destin      83  65  86  65  86  67  85  67 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Evergreen   85  52  88  53  90  56  90  57 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Waynesboro  83  52  86  54  85  56  87  57 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Camden      83  52  86  53  86  56  87  56 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Crestview   84  53  87  54  88  57  88  58 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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