983
FXUS64 KMOB 231712
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1212 PM CDT Sat Aug 23 2025

...New Aviation...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 116 AM CDT Sat Aug 23 2025

A weak upper trough will maintain its hold on the weather pattern
across the area through this weekend. At the surface, a weak
boundary remains draped along the coast, providing a focus for
afternoon convection. After a dry overnight period, scattered to
numerous showers/storms will develop over our southern areas and
then spread further inland. Coverage will be less than previous days
and generally confined to areas along and east of I-65, with the
axis of the trough bisecting the region. Given the lack of strong
surface forcing, this activity will diminish around sunset as we
lose our daytime heating.

A second trough will begin to dig southward and into the Great Lakes
Regions later today, amplifying on Sunday and effectively absorbing
the trough currently over the area. A cold front will slowly move
southeastward and through the region Sunday night, with dry air
filtering into the region in its wake. North to northwesterly flow
will persist through the first part of the new work week and then
amplify on Wednesday as a secondary cold front drifts southward. No
precip is expected with this front, but we`ll see our first glimpse
of Fall as dewpoints plummet into the upper 50s across our northern
areas to upper 60s along the coast. Temps will generally be near
seasonal norms, with highs around 90s for the first half of the
period and in the 80s for the latter half of the period. Meanwhile,
overnight lows will go from the upper 60s to lower 70s through
Sunday night and then fall into the lower to mid 60s by the end of
the week. /73

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1212 PM CDT Sat Aug 23 2025

General VFR conditions expected through the forecast. Local drops in
VISBYs to IFR are possible in fog towards sunrise. Also, isolated
convection developing this afternoon may bring local drops in
conditions to low end MVFR/IFR levels, mainly east of I-65. This
convection will shift offshore this evening, with near coastal areas
possibly affected towards sunrise. Winds are expected to be
generally light and variable through the forecast.
/16

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 116 AM CDT Sat Aug 23 2025

A generally light westerly to southwesterly flow pattern will be
in place through Sunday. A light to moderate offshore flow
prevails for Monday through Wednesday, briefly becoming southerly
near shore Monday afternoon and Tuesday afternoon. /73

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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