046
FXUS64 KMOB 080657
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
157 AM CDT Tue Sep 8 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 155 AM CDT Tue Sep 8 2026

 - Moderate risk of rip currents today and Wednesday for coastal
   Alabama and northwest Florida beaches.

 - Increasing chances for showers and storms late this week into
   the weekend with potential for locally heavy rainfall.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1058 PM CDT Mon Sep 7 2026

A much tamer pattern sets up for the next couple days as drier air
filters into the area. Overall temperatures will be closer to
seasonable norms with highs in the upper 80`s to lower 90`s and
lows in the lower to middle 70`s. Rain chances will be minimal the
next couple days, with perhaps an isolated shower or storm across
southeast Mississippi today. With increasing easterly flow along
the coast the rip current risk increases to a Moderate risk
Tuesday into Wednesday, gradually relaxing back to a Low risk for
Thursday into the weekend.

The latter part of the week we will see a pattern change with
upper troughing gradually pushing into the region and upper
ridging breaking down. This will allow for scattered to numerous
showers and storms to return to the forecast areawide each
afternoon into the weekend. With deep layer moisture increasing
and much higher PWATs settling in, we`ll likely see storms that
are efficient rainfall producers. While there isn`t a clear signal
for any potential of flash flooding, I can`t rule out isolated
instances of flooding where any storms can train or sit over the
same areas for prolonged periods. MM/25

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 155 AM CDT Tue Sep 8 2026

Expect VFR conditions for all area terminals through the daybreak
and morning period. Will monitor for possible isolated SHRA across
KJKA early this morning, but will be a small/brief window.
Otherwise, mainly dry through the afternoon with the exception of
an isolated TSRA/SHRA for areas mainly west into Mississippi or
along the coast, then turning overall dry tonight with VFR
prevailing. KLG

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1058 PM CDT Mon Sep 7 2026

LIght to moderate easterly flow becomes established overnight
tonight through Wednesday. Small craft should exercise caution
through early this afternoon and again Wednesday morning into early
Wednesday afternoon. Light to occasionally moderate onshore flow
returns for the rest of the week into the weekend. Seas increase to
around 2 to 3 feet today, relaxing back to 1 to 2 feet late
Wednesday through the rest of the week. Waterspouts are possible
early each morning. MM/25

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      90  74  90  73 /  10  10  30  10
Pensacola   90  77  90  77 /  10  10  20  20
Destin      91  77  90  78 /  10  10  30  30
Evergreen   93  72  94  71 /   0   0   0   0
Waynesboro  94  72  95  72 /  10   0   0   0
Camden      93  73  94  72 /   0   0   0   0
Crestview   92  73  92  73 /   0   0  20  10

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$