323
FXUS64 KMOB 021113
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
613 AM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025

...New Aviation...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1030 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025

Upper ridging remains rooted across the south-central CONUS
through the weekend while upper troughing across the eastern CONUS
continues to persist. Our forecast area remains between these two
features, with ridging being more dominant through late week
until a cutoff upper low/trough retrogrades west this weekend
into early next week. A weak cold front shifts south through the
area tonight into Thursday, ushering in a drier, but hotter,
airmass to round out the week into the weekend. We trade off the
scattered to numerous showers and storms today for dry weather to
prevail Thursday and Friday. Afternoon seabreeze storms nearer the
coast try to become established again over the weekend with
moisture gradually returning to the area. Temperatures warm from
the upper 80`s and lower 90`s today to lower to middle 90`s
prevailing each day Thursday into the weekend and early next week.
The good news is that afternoon dewpoints drop off with the dry
air in place overhead, helping to limit heat indices in the 95 to
105 range any given day. We continue to monitor the potential for
tropical development somewhere in the northeast gulf or off the
southeast U.S. coast late week into the weekend in association
with the aforementioned decaying cold front, however confidence is
low on if development occurs and if so, where it would go. A Low
risk of rip currents remains through the weekend. MM/25

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 613 AM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025

After patchy morning fog burns off, VFR conditions are expected to
prevail with the exception of MVFR conditions with isolated to
scattered mainly daytime convection. A northwesterly flow at 5-10
knots develops today, then becomes light and variable this
evening. /29

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1030 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025

No marine impacts are expected outside of showers and storms
through the weekend. MM/25

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      91  72  93  71  95  74  94  73 /  40  10  10   0  10   0  20  20
Pensacola   90  75  93  74  94  76  93  75 /  50  20  10   0  10  10  20  20
Destin      90  77  94  78  95  79  94  78 /  60  30  10  10  20  10  20  30
Evergreen   90  70  93  69  96  71  95  71 /  40  10  10   0  10   0  10  10
Waynesboro  91  69  92  69  95  71  95  71 /  20   0   0   0   0   0  10  10
Camden      88  68  90  69  93  71  93  71 /  20   0   0   0  10   0  10   0
Crestview   90  71  94  70  95  72  95  71 /  60  20  10   0  20  10  20  10

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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