575
FXUS64 KMOB 080446
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1146 PM CDT Mon Sep 7 2026

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1058 PM CDT Mon Sep 7 2026

 - Moderate risk of rip currents today and Wednesday for coastal
   Alabama and northwest Florida beaches.

 - Increasing chances for showers and storms late this week into
   the weekend with potential for locally heavy rainfall.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1058 PM CDT Mon Sep 7 2026

A much tamer pattern sets up for the next couple days as drier air
filters into the area. Overall temperatures will be closer to
seasonable norms with highs in the upper 80`s to lower 90`s and
lows in the lower to middle 70`s. Rain chances will be minimal the
next couple days, with perhaps an isolated shower or storm across
southeast Mississippi today. With increasing easterly flow along
the coast the rip current risk increases to a Moderate risk
Tuesday into Wednesday, gradually relaxing back to a Low risk for
Thursday into the weekend.

The latter part of the week we will see a pattern change with
upper troughing gradually pushing into the region and upper
ridging breaking down. This will allow for scattered to numerous
showers and storms to return to the forecast areawide each
afternoon into the weekend. With deep layer moisture increasing
and much higher PWATs settling in, we`ll likely see storms that
are efficient rainfall producers. While there isn`t a clear signal
for any potential of flash flooding, I can`t rule out isolated
instances of flooding where any storms can train or sit over the
same areas for prolonged periods. MM/25

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 641 PM CDT Mon Sep 7 2026

Outside of storms, VFR flight category will prevail across the
region. Underneath storms, temporary reductions in ceiling and
visibility to IFR or LIFR can be expected through the remainder of
the evening. Overnight into Tuesday, VFR flight category should
prevail. An isolated storm or two is possible west of the I-65
corridor during the afternoon hours Tuesday. Winds will gradually
turn out of the east at 5 to 10 knots tonight, increasing near the
coast to around 10 to 15 knots by mid morning Tuesday. MM/25

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1058 PM CDT Mon Sep 7 2026

LIght to moderate easterly flow becomes established overnight
tonight through Wednesday. Small craft should exercise caution
through early this afternoon and again Wednesday morning into early
Wednesday afternoon. Light to occasionally moderate onshore flow
returns for the rest of the week into the weekend. Seas increase to
around 2 to 3 feet today, relaxing back to 1 to 2 feet late
Wednesday through the rest of the week. Waterspouts are possible
early each morning. MM/25

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      94  75  91  74 /  40  50  20  20
Pensacola   90  77  88  77 /  40  30  10  20
Destin      88  77  88  77 /  30  30  20  30
Evergreen   97  72  93  72 /  50  30  10  10
Waynesboro  98  73  93  72 /  20  30  20  10
Camden      98  73  93  73 /  40  30  10   0
Crestview   93  72  90  72 /  50  20  10  10

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$