199
FXUS64 KMOB 211736
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1136 AM CST Fri Feb 21 2025

...New AVIATION, NEAR TERM...

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1136 AM CST Fri Feb 21 2025

High pressure centered over the Mid MS River Valley will maintain
a generally light north to northeast component in the local winds
the remainder of the day. Upstream, satellite is showing
expansive cloud cover over Texas with its eastward extent moving
into Louisiana. Scattered to broken high based cirrus will be
streaming across this afternoon. A mid level cloud deck looks to
move through tonight. VFR conditions expected the next 24 hrs. /10

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Now through Saturday)
Issued at 1136 AM CST Fri Feb 21 2025

21.12Z upper air maps indicate a nearly flat, west to east zonal
flow at high altitudes over the deep south. At the surface, a
strong high pressure system over the central US has migrated
slowly eastward with its axis (1040-1042mb) centered over MO. The
flow aloft remains nearly zonal heading into the weekend.
Satellite shows an area of expansive clouds over TX and this
moisture, caught up in the upper level westerlies, will likely
bring higher based clouds through the area over the weekend.
A mid-upper level storm system in the southern stream ejects
eastward over Texas later in the day Saturday and into Saturday
night. On the eastern flank of this system, precipitation looks to
break out over southeast TX Saturday, expanding into Louisiana
Saturday night. For our local area, the near term looks to remain
rain-free, but knocking on the door-step to our west by daybreak
Sunday.

Another cold night tonight. Lows some 10 to 15 degrees below
normal over the interior, north of the I-10 corridor dip down
into the mid 20`s to lower 30`s. 37 to 42 along the beaches.
Saturday, temps range from the mid to upper 50`s interior to
around 60 coast. Overnight lows Saturday night moderate 3 to 6
degrees warmer from tonight`s lows. /10

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      32  60  37  56  40  68  45  74 /   0   0  10  50  40   0   0   0
Pensacola   38  60  41  58  45  66  48  72 /   0   0   0  30  40   0   0   0
Destin      41  60  43  60  47  66  50  70 /   0   0   0  20  40   0   0   0
Evergreen   27  59  30  60  37  69  40  75 /   0   0   0  20  30   0   0   0
Waynesboro  26  55  30  53  34  67  41  73 /   0   0   0  30  20   0   0   0
Camden      25  55  27  56  34  65  39  73 /   0   0   0  10  20   0   0   0
Crestview   29  61  33  61  39  69  40  75 /   0   0   0  20  40   0   0   0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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