140
FXUS64 KMOB 020500
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1200 AM CDT Wed Jul 2 2025

...New Discussion, Aviation, Marine...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1030 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025

Upper ridging remains rooted across the south-central CONUS
through the weekend while upper troughing across the eastern CONUS
continues to persist. Our forecast area remains between these two
features, with ridging being more dominant through late week
until a cutoff upper low/trough retrogrades west this weekend
into early next week. A weak cold front shifts south through the
area tonight into Thursday, ushering in a drier, but hotter,
airmass to round out the week into the weekend. We trade off the
scattered to numerous showers and storms today for dry weather to
prevail Thursday and Friday. Afternoon seabreeze storms nearer the
coast try to become established again over the weekend with
moisture gradually returning to the area. Temperatures warm from
the upper 80`s and lower 90`s today to lower to middle 90`s
prevailing each day Thursday into the weekend and early next week.
The good news is that afternoon dewpoints drop off with the dry
air in place overhead, helping to limit heat indices in the 95 to
105 range any given day. We continue to monitor the potential for
tropical development somewhere in the northeast gulf or off the
southeast U.S. coast late week into the weekend in association
with the aforementioned decaying cold front, however confidence is
low on if development occurs and if so, where it would go. A Low
risk of rip currents remains through the weekend. MM/25

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1030 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025

Outside of showers and thunderstorms VFR flight category prevails.
Winds remain westerly to northwesterly at around 5 knots late
overnight into the day today. MM/25


&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1030 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025

No marine impacts are expected outside of showers and storms
through the weekend. MM/25

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      72  90  71  93  71  94  73  94 /  50  50  10  10   0  10   0  20
Pensacola   74  89  74  93  74  94  77  93 /  70  60  20  10   0  10  10  20
Destin      77  91  77  94  77  95  79  94 /  70  60  30  10  10  20  10  20
Evergreen   71  91  69  94  69  95  72  96 /  40  30   0   0   0  10   0  10
Waynesboro  71  91  68  92  69  94  71  96 /  40  20   0   0   0   0   0  10
Camden      71  89  68  90  68  93  71  94 /  40  20   0   0   0   0   0  10
Crestview   71  90  70  94  69  95  72  95 /  50  60  10  10   0  20   0  30

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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