Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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280
FXUS64 KMOB 250001
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
701 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025

...New Aviation...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1251 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025

An anomalously strong longwave trough is currently beginning to
dig into the Great Lakes region. Over the next few days, this
trough will amplify further, allowing for its base to dig into the
Deep South. As this occurs, this will help to send a rather
strong cold front (for late August standards) southward. Although
there are still some timing and strength uncertainties with this
front between the various model guidance, the consensus suggests
that the front will move into our northern counties by early
tomorrow morning, and will push into the northern Gulf on
Tuesday. In the wake of the front, a much drier airmass will begin
to filter into the area from the north (dew points midweek will
crater into the 50s across much of the area). Little to no rain is
expected across the area Monday through Thursday. Isolated to
scattered showers and storms return to the forecast for Friday and
into next weekend as embedded shortwave impulses push into the
local region from the northwest.

Highs for today and tomorrow will top out in the low to mid 90s
across the area. After the front pushes through the area, highs will
decrease into the mid to upper 80s, to around 90. Although still
quite warm, it will definitely feel much more pleasant thanks to dew
points in the 50s. Lows by midweek will be noticably cooler after
the front passes. Lows ranging from the upper 60s north to the mid
70s along the coast tonight will drop into the low 60s inland to the
upper 60s along the coast by Wednesday night. Lows slowly moderate
back into the mid to upper 60s inland to the low 70s along the
coast by next weekend. A Low Risk of rip currents continues
through the period. /96

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 700 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025

VFR conditions will prevail through the next 24 hours. /13

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1251 PM CDT Sun Aug 24 2025

A light to occasionally moderate diurnal pattern will continue
through Monday, with offshore expected at night, followed by
onshore flow during the afternoon. Moderate northeasterly winds
develop on Tuesday and will linger through the end of the week as
a cold front moves across the area. Exercise Caution headlines may
become necessary for our local Gulf waters Tuesday and Wednesday
mornings. /96

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      72  94  68  91  67  88  65  89 /  10   0   0  10   0   0   0  10
Pensacola   75  93  71  91  70  88  68  88 /  10  10   0  10   0   0   0  10
Destin      76  92  73  90  72  88  71  88 /  20  10   0   0   0   0   0  10
Evergreen   69  93  63  90  63  88  61  88 /  10   0   0   0   0   0   0  10
Waynesboro  68  93  64  90  64  87  61  89 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  10
Camden      68  91  63  87  62  86  60  88 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  10
Crestview   70  94  65  91  64  89  61  89 /  10   0   0   0   0   0   0  10

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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