781
FXUS64 KMOB 060105
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
805 PM CDT Sat Jul 5 2025

...New Aviation...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 158 PM CDT Sat Jul 5 2025

A cutoff upper low/trough centered over Florida will begin to
slowly retrograde west today through the early next week. This
will allow for a steady increase in moisture each day, especially
as we get on the eastern side of the upper low and deep
southwesterly flow begins to develop. Ridging will build in place
of the upper low by the middle of next week with a significantly
moisture airmass returning. Expect the usual airmass thunderstorms
through the weekend with mostly isolated to scattered storms
beginning closer to the coast and then moving inland later in the
afternoon. Rain chances will gradually increase next week as
moisture increases and more scattered to likely thunderstorms will
be possible each afternoon. Hot temperatures can be expected each
day with highs topping out in the lower to middle 90`s and
overnight lows in the lower to middle 70`s. Heat indices will
generally stay below heat advisory criteria in the 95 to 100 range
through monday before sneaking to near advisory criteria by the
middle of next week in the 104 to 107 range. A Low risk of rip
currents remains through the weekend and early next week. BB-8

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 759 PM CDT Sat Jul 5 2025

VFR conditions are expected to prevail over the next 24 hours.
Lingering showers and storms across coastal counties this evening
will continue to dissipate over the next hour or so. Another round
of isolated to scattered storms will develop Sunday afternoon.
Expect brief reductions in visibility and ceilings in some of the
heavier activity. Winds will be light and variable through Sunday
morning, becoming a light onshore flow by the afternoon. /96

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 158 PM CDT Sat Jul 5 2025

No hazards are expected through the forecast period with light
light diurnal flow this weekend becoming a light to moderate
southwesterly to westerly flow. Expect increased showers and
storms during next week. BB-8

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      72  93  73  92  73  93  74  94 /  10  30  10  50  10  50  10  60
Pensacola   75  93  76  91  77  92  77  92 /  10  30  10  50  10  40  20  60
Destin      78  93  79  92  79  92  80  92 /  20  30  20  40  10  40  20  50
Evergreen   71  96  71  96  72  95  73  94 /  10  20  10  40  10  30  10  50
Waynesboro  70  96  71  94  70  95  72  94 /  10  20  10  40  10  40  10  50
Camden      71  95  72  94  72  94  73  93 /   0  10  10  30  10  30  10  50
Crestview   72  95  72  94  72  94  73  94 /  10  30  10  60  10  50  10  70

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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