203
FXUS64 KMOB 251113
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
613 AM CDT Fri Jul 25 2025

...New Aviation...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1214 AM CDT Fri Jul 25 2025

With the surface ridge in place across the Florida Peninsula and
eastern Gulf, a tighter pressure gradient across our area today
will bring a moderate southerly wind flow and the potential for
life threatening rip currents. A Coastal Hazard Message remains in
effect for a High Risk of rip currents along the western Florida
Panhandle and Alabama beaches today and tonight. This southerly
flow has already resulted in convection over the Gulf to move
inland across the coastal sections, and coverage will only
increase as we move closer to daybreak.

In addition to the earlier than normal start to our rainfall along
the coast, expect numerous to widespread coverage of showers and
thunderstorms area-wide by early this afternoon. More rain is on
the way Saturday, with scattered to widespread coverage of showers
and storms. We can`t rule out a few strong storms with gusty
winds, frequent lightning, and heavy bouts of rain. The surface
high pressure area will move westward across our area on Sunday,
and continue moving west of our area through the remainder of the
forecast. Other than a few showers Sunday and perhaps on Tuesday,
we will have a short dry period before rain chances ramp-up as we
head closer to the middle of next week.

While our rain chances go down, our temperatures heat up. Most
areas will see high temperatures climb into the upper 90s Monday
and Tuesday, with some spots likely seeing triple digit temps.
When combined with elevated dewpoints in the upper 60s to lower
70s, apparent temperatures will climb into the 109-113 degree
range. Excessive Heat Warnings may become necessary by Monday.
Regardless, we will likely be well within Heat Advisory criteria
for the first half of next week. /22

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 613 AM CDT Fri Jul 25 2025

Showers and storms become numerous to potentially widespread over
the area today, then diminish this evening. IFR to MVFR
conditions will accompany the stronger showers and storms.
Southeasterly winds near 5 knots become south to southeast 5-10
knots today. /29

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1214 AM CDT Fri Jul 25 2025

A moderate onshore flow will continue through today as the surface
high pressure area persists across the eastern Gulf. Winds will then
decrease through the remainder of the week and become somewhat
variable on Sunday as the surface high pressure area moves west over
our area. A northwesterly to westerly flow will follow Monday and
Tuesday as the surface high moves off to the west. Seas around 3 to
4 feet today will subside to around 2 feet over the weekend into
early next week. /22

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      88  76  90  75  94  75  98  77 /  80  40  80  10  20   0  10  10
Pensacola   88  79  91  77  94  78  98  81 /  80  30  60   0  10   0  10  10
Destin      90  81  91  80  94  81  98  83 /  70  20  50   0  10   0  10  10
Evergreen   90  73  93  72  96  75  99  76 /  80  20  60   0  10   0  10  10
Waynesboro  90  72  92  72  96  74  98  76 /  80  20  70  10  20   0  10   0
Camden      90  72  92  73  95  75  97  77 /  70  20  50   0  10   0  10   0
Crestview   89  73  93  72  97  75 100  77 /  80  20  60   0  20   0  10  10

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for FLZ202-204-206.

MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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