693
FXUS64 KMOB 080542
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1242 AM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025

...New Aviation, Discussion, Marine...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1241 AM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025

Now through Tuesday...

Upper level high pressure centered over the northern Gulf coast
shifts west as an upper trough develops over the East Coast,
bringing northwesterly flow to the forecast area by the weekend. A
strong shortwave trough moves into the mean upper trough Thursday
into the weekend, with a cold front moving south over the Southeast
in response. A drier and cooler airmass moves south over the
Southeast for the end of the week into the weekend in response. A
surface low develops off the Florida Atlantic coast by the weekend,
which then moves north along the east coast on the east side of the
mean upper trough. Low level easterly flow on the north side of the
system moves Atlantic moisture inland over the Southeast,
temporarily slowing down the push of drier air over Southeast into
the weekend. By Monday, though, the drier airmass pushes south over
mainly eastern half of the Southeast. A few showers or a
thunderstorm or two are possible Wednesday, shifting south for
Thursday, then offshore for Friday. The rest of the forecast remains
dry.

Looking at temperatures, well above seasonal high temperatures in
the mid to upper 80s Wednesday, drop below seasonal for Friday (high
temperatures ranging from the upper 70s over the northeastern half
of the forecast area to low 80s over the southwest). From there,
temperatures moderate upwards, into the low to mid 80s by Tuesday.
Low temperatures see the same dip the end of the week, from low/mid
60s north of Highway 84 to low 70s along the coast Wednesday night
to well below seasonal low to mid 50s over most of the forecast area
Saturday night. From there, low temperatures see an uptick of a few
degrees the rest of the forecast.

Moderate easterly flow will work with an increasing tidal cycle to
keep a Moderate to at times High Risk of Rip currents into Saturday.
Winds shift to more northeast over the weekend, with the Rip Risk
dropping to Low by Sunday.
/16

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1241 AM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025

Patchy fog is anticipated to continue to develop across the area
overnight, potentially becoming dense in a few locations. The fog
dissipates shortly after sunrise leaving VFR conditions. Some
isolated convection is possible on Wednesday mainly along and east
of I-65, with MVFR conditions accompanying the stronger showers and
storms. Light and variable winds overnight become northeasterly
around 5 knots on Wednesday, with a switch to the southeast near the
coast in the afternoon. /29

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1241 AM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025

Light to moderate easterly winds mid week will become a
more moderate offshore by the end of the week. No impacts expected
other than locally higher winds and seas possible near thunderstorms
mid week.
/16

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      68  85  64  81  59  82  58  82 /  10  10  10   0   0   0   0   0
Pensacola   72  85  65  81  64  82  61  82 /  20  20  10   0   0   0   0   0
Destin      72  85  65  81  64  82  63  82 /  10  20  10   0   0   0   0   0
Evergreen   65  87  59  81  55  84  52  85 /  10  20  10   0   0   0   0   0
Waynesboro  63  84  62  79  55  80  53  82 /   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Camden      63  83  59  78  56  80  53  82 /  10  10  10   0   0   0   0   0
Crestview   68  85  60  80  57  82  52  84 /  10  20  10   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk until 6 AM CDT early this morning for
     ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk until 6 AM CDT early this morning for
     FLZ202-204-206.

MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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