551
FXUS64 KMOB 040515
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1215 AM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025

...New Aviation, Discussion, Marine...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1200 AM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025

Upper ridging remains dominant over the south-central CONUS through
the weekend while upper troughing across the far eastern CONUS
persists. Our forecast area remains between these two features
today before a cutoff upper low/trough retrogrades west this
weekend into early next week over the forecast area. A dry, hot
airmass remains in place with only isolated showers and storms
returning to areas southeast of the I-65 corridor this afternoon
into early evening with more typical afternoon scattered showers
and storms becoming established this weekend into next week as
better moisture returns to the area. Hot temperatures can be
expected each day with highs topping out in the lower to middle
90`s and overnight lows in the lower to middle 70`s. Heat indices
will generally stay below heat advisory criteria in the 95 to 105
range, perhaps sneaking to near advisory criteria by the middle
of next week in the 100 to 107 range. A Low risk of rip currents
remains through the weekend and early next week. MM/25

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1200 AM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025

VFR flight category prevails for all locations today outside of
any isolated showers or storms that develop this afternoon along
and southeast of the I-65 corridor. Winds remain out of the north
around 5 knots. MM/25

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1200 AM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025

No impacts are expected other than locally higher winds and seas
possible near thunderstorms. A light diurnal flow pattern this
weekend becomes a light to occasionally moderate southwesterly to
westerly flow for next week. MM/25

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      72  94  73  94  73  92  72  92 /   0  10  10  50  20  50  20  60
Pensacola   75  94  76  93  75  91  76  91 /   0  20  20  50  30  60  20  60
Destin      78  94  79  94  78  91  78  91 /   0  30  20  50  40  60  30  60
Evergreen   70  95  71  95  70  94  71  94 /   0  20  10  20  10  30  10  50
Waynesboro  70  94  70  95  71  95  70  95 /   0   0   0  20  10  30  10  40
Camden      69  93  71  93  71  93  72  93 /   0  10   0  20  10  20  10  40
Crestview   70  95  72  94  71  93  72  93 /   0  30  10  50  20  60  20  70

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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