260
FXUS64 KMOB 121640
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1040 AM CST Wed Nov 12 2025

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1040 AM CST Wed Nov 12 2025

 - Patchy fog may develop overnight mainly over interior areas.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1040 AM CST Wed Nov 12 2025

An upper trof over the interior eastern states moves off into the
western Atlantic through Thursday as an upper ridge progresses
into the central CONUS. Some patchy fog is possible late tonight
into early Thursday morning mainly over interior areas with
clear skies and light winds promoting radiative cooling. The
upper ridge weakens while continuing into the eastern states on
Friday after which another upper trof advances across the northern
Plains and into much of the eastern states through Sunday. An
upper low meanwhile breaks down to a shortwave trof while swinging
into the southwestern states on Sunday, but past this point there
continues to be a fair amount of uncertainty with the strength of
this feature before it ultimately ejects off towards the Great
Lakes region. This pattern brings a trailing cold front into
central MS/AL on Sunday before stalling, then a surface low
develops over the southern or northern Plains Sunday night,
depending on what transpires with the shortwave trof. There is a
lot of uncertainty past this point, with the surface low either
moving into the northeastern states through Wednesday or more
quickly moving across the southeastern states Monday night into
Tuesday.

A dry forecast continues for the area through Monday night as deep
layer moisture remains limited despite the frontal boundary
moving into the area on Sunday. Considering the uncertainty with
the pattern, have gone with slight chance to chance pops for
Tuesday generally along and west of I-65, then slight chance pops
follow for Wednesday over much of southeast Mississippi and a
small portion of interior southwest Alabama. A low risk of rip
currents is expected through Monday. Lows tonight range from the
mid 40s well inland to the lower/mid 50s near the coast, then
milder temperatures are expected by Saturday night when lows range
from the lower 50s well inland to around 60 at the coast.
Overnight lows trend a bit warmer by Tuesday night to range from
the mid 50s well inland to the lower 60s near the coast. Highs on
Thursday will be mostly in the lower/mid 70s then trend to mostly
around 80 going into early next week. /29

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 512 AM CST Wed Nov 12 2025

VFR conditions expected through the forecast. Light winds starting
the forecast will become south to southwest 5 to 10 knots by this
afternoon, then settle to light after 00z.
/16

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1040 AM CST Wed Nov 12 2025

A light southwesterly to westerly flow this evening turns more
northwesterly to westerly overnight into Thursday. Light winds
gradually turn easterly on Friday and southerly on Saturday. A
westerly to southwesterly flow follows for Sunday then becomes
southerly on Monday. No impacts are anticipated through Monday.
/29

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      52  76  51  76 /   0   0   0   0
Pensacola   55  74  54  74 /   0   0   0   0
Destin      55  73  55  73 /   0   0   0   0
Evergreen   45  76  44  78 /   0   0   0   0
Waynesboro  47  75  47  79 /   0   0   0   0
Camden      45  73  43  76 /   0   0   0   0
Crestview   45  75  44  76 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$