


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
852 FXUS64 KMOB 192329 AFDMOB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 629 PM CDT Tue Aug 19 2025 ...New Aviation... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 203 PM CDT Tue Aug 19 2025 A massive upper ridge over the western half of the CONUS which extends weakly into the southeastern states slowly retreats from the region through Thursday as a weak upper trof evolves over the southeastern states. The weak upper trof lingers through Saturday, then is absorbed into a large and broad upper trof which swings into the eastern CONUS on Sunday into Monday. At the surface, a weak surface trof will be present across the forecast area on Wednesday and Thursday. This feature along with the sea breeze and an improving convective environment will support slight chance to chance pops on Wednesday trending to chance to likely pops for Thursday. The weak surface trof generally persists over the area on Friday and Saturday, and meanwhile a cold front approaches from the north and looks to push through the forecast area Sunday into Sunday night. Summertime temperatures continue through much of the period, although cooler air in the wake of the front could bring mid to upper 60s for lows Monday night to much of the area, except for near the coast where lower 70s are anticipated. Likely pops on Friday will be followed by predominately likely pops on Saturday, then chance pops prevail for Sunday. Dry conditions are anticipated over interior areas on Monday with slight chance to chance pops closer to the coast. A low risk of rip currents is expected through Saturday. /29 && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 626 PM CDT Tue Aug 19 2025 VFR flight category prevails for the rest of tonight into Wednesday. Isolated showers and storms can be expected during the afternoon into evening hours, with localized temporary reductions in ceiling and visibility underneath any showers or storms. Winds will be light and variable through tonight after sunset, generally prevailing out of the north Wednesday near or below 5 knots. Nearer the coast, the afternoon sea breeze will shift winds to out of the south at around 5 to 10 knots. MM/25 && .MARINE... Issued at 203 PM CDT Tue Aug 19 2025 A diurnal flow pattern will continue through the middle of the week, with an offshore flow developing late each night and becoming onshore in the afternoon. A light southwesterly flow will follow to finish out the week. No impacts are anticipated other than higher winds and seas near storms. /29 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Mobile 74 94 73 93 73 90 73 90 / 10 30 10 60 30 60 30 70 Pensacola 76 94 76 92 77 90 76 89 / 10 30 10 50 20 60 40 70 Destin 77 91 78 91 78 90 77 88 / 10 30 10 40 20 60 40 70 Evergreen 72 96 72 95 71 92 71 89 / 0 30 20 50 20 60 30 60 Waynesboro 73 96 72 92 71 90 70 90 / 10 30 20 50 30 60 20 50 Camden 74 95 72 92 72 90 72 88 / 0 20 20 40 20 60 30 50 Crestview 72 95 73 94 73 91 72 90 / 10 40 10 50 20 70 30 80 && .MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None. && $$ This product is also available on the web at: www.weather.gov/mob