855
FXUS64 KMOB 230409
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1109 PM CDT Wed Jul 22 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1106 PM CDT Wed Jul 22 2026

  - Tropical storm force wind gusts and coastal flooding is
    impacting the immediate Alabama coastal areas with another
    round of minor coastal flooding likely Thursday morning.

  - Dangerous and life-threatening beach conditions will persist
    through Thursday.

  - Heat will build over the weekend into early next week and Heat
    Advisories or Excessive Heat warnings may become necessary.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 242 PM CDT Wed Jul 22 2026

With Tropical Storm Bertha forecast to make a second landfall near
the Houston area Thursday afternoon, there will be some lingering
isolated to low-end scattered showers and perhaps a few storms
along and west of I-65 on tomorrow. An upper ridge in place over
the southeast states as we head into the weekend, dry conditions
will occur Friday. The ridge gets nudged westward over the weekend
as an upper trough digs southward just off the eastern seaboard.
As the flow aloft turns northwesterly, there will be a return of a
few daytime showers and storms across our eastern zones over the
weekend into early next week. The main weather story will be the
return of high heat indices with high temperatures increasing into
the middle to upper 90s and apparent temperatures climbing to
between 100-107 over the weekend from 105-112 early in the work
week.

.BEACH FORECAST...Dangerous and life-threatening beach conditions
are expected through Thursday. The rip current risk HIGH for our
Alabama and northwest Florida beaches and will last through
Thursday before dropping to MODERATE Friday through Saturday. A
High Surf Warning is in effect for surf heights up to 8-12 feet
through 6 am Thursday for beaches. /22

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1106 PM CDT Wed Jul 22 2026

Latest radar trends indicate that most SCT -SHRA activity has
pushed east of the area, reveling primarily VFR conditions
tonight. Otherwise, onshore winds will remain elevated tonight but
is expected to diminish steadily going into the daytime hours
with VFR prevailing. KLG

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 412 PM CDT Wed Jul 22 2026

Tropical Storm Bertha will continue to move slowly westward across
the Mississippi Delta through this evening with maximum sustained
winds near 45 miles per hour. Tropical storm force winds are
impacting the Alabama Gulf waters and will decrease to moderate
southerly winds by late tonight. Seas 9 to 12 feet this evening
will continue to gradually subside through Thursday night. Light
southwesterly to westerly winds begin Thursday night and continue
through the weekend. /22

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      77  91  74  93 /  40  20  10  10
Pensacola   80  90  77  92 /  20  10   0   0
Destin      81  89  78  91 /  20   0   0   0
Evergreen   74  92  72  94 /  20  20   0   0
Waynesboro  76  93  74  95 /  30  30  10  10
Camden      75  90  74  91 /  20  30  10  10
Crestview   75  92  72  95 /  20   0   0   0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Coastal Flood Advisory until 10 AM CDT Thursday for ALZ263>266.

     High Rip Current Risk through late Thursday night for ALZ265-266.

     High Surf Warning until 3 PM CDT Thursday for ALZ265-266.

FL...Coastal Flood Advisory until 10 AM CDT Thursday for FLZ202-204-
     206.

     High Rip Current Risk through late Thursday night for FLZ202-204-
     206.

     High Surf Warning until 3 PM CDT Thursday for FLZ202-204-206.

MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM CDT Thursday for GMZ630>632.

     Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM CDT Thursday for GMZ650-655-670-
     675.

&&

$$