510
FXUS64 KMOB 042339
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
639 PM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025

...New Aviation...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 123 PM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025

Upper ridging remains dominant over the central US through the
weekend while upper troughing remains over the east coast. Our
forecast area remains between these two features today before a
cutoff upper low/trough retrogrades west this weekend into early
next week over the forecast area. Ridging will build in place of
the upper low by early next week with a significantly moisture
airmass returning by the middle of next week. Until then, a dry,
hot airmass remains in place with only isolated showers and storms
returning to areas southeast of the I-65 corridor this afternoon
with more typical afternoon scattered showers and storms becoming
established this weekend into next week as better moisture returns
to the area. Hot temperatures can be expected each day with highs
topping out in the lower to middle 90`s and overnight lows in the
lower to middle 70`s. Heat indices will generally stay below heat
advisory criteria in the 95 to 100 range, perhaps sneaking to
near advisory criteria by the middle of next week in the 100 to
107 range. A Low risk of rip currents remains through the weekend
and early next week. BB-8

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 627 PM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025

VFR flight category prevails for most locations outside of
lingering firework smoke (happy 4th of July!) reducing visibility
to MVFR flight category late this evening into the early
overnight. Once lingering smoke disperses, VFR flight category
will once again prevail through the day Saturday outside of any
afternoon showers or storms. Winds will be light and variable if
not calm tonight through daybreak before turning more easterly
into the afternoon Saturday at around 5 to 10 knots. MM/25

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 123 PM CDT Fri Jul 4 2025

No impacts are expected other than locally higher winds and seas
possible near thunderstorms. A light diurnal flow pattern this
weekend becomes a light to occasionally moderate southwesterly to
westerly flow for next week as showers and thunderstorms increase
across the marine waters. BB-8

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      74  94  72  91  72  92  74  93 /  10  30  20  50  20  60  10  50
Pensacola   77  93  75  90  76  91  77  92 /  20  30  40  60  20  60  10  50
Destin      79  94  77  91  79  91  79  93 /  20  40  50  60  30  50  10  50
Evergreen   71  96  71  93  71  95  72  95 /  10  20  10  40  10  40  10  40
Waynesboro  71  96  71  94  70  95  72  95 /   0  20  10  30  10  30   0  40
Camden      71  93  71  93  71  93  72  93 /  10  10  10  20  10  30  10  30
Crestview   71  95  72  92  71  93  73  94 /  20  30  30  60  10  70  10  60

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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