727
FXUS64 KMOB 121730
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1230 PM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025

...New Aviation, Discussion, Marine...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1115 AM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025

Summer continues with upper ridging overhead this weekend into
early next week. Weak inverted upper troughing slowly transits
west by mid to late week across the northeastern gulf with a weak
surface trough/low moving in tandem with it. Through early next
week, typical afternoon isolated to scattered showers and storms
can be expected with hot afternoon temperatures in the lower to
middle 90`s, becoming middle to perhaps even upper 90`s Monday
into Tuesday. With the approach of the aforementioned trough,
temperatures taper back into the upper 80`s to lower 90`s to
round out the week while rain chances increase quite a bit. If the
more aggressive forecast guidance regarding cloud cover and
thunderstorm coverage is correct, temperatures might be even
cooler than currently forecast. Afternoon heat indices will
generally be in the 100 to 108 range through early next week,
perhaps locally approaching the 110 nearer the coast Tuesday. The
rip current risk remains low through early next week, but should
start to increase mid to late week with onshore flow prevailing.
MM/25

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1115 AM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025

VFR flight category prevails across the region outside of
temporary flight category reductions underneath any afternoon into
early evening showers and storms. Winds remain generally out of
the south during the day at 5 to 10 knots, turning more westerly
overnight below 5 knots. MM/25

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1115 AM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025

No impacts are expected in the marine waters outside of showers
and thunderstorms. Winds will follow the typical diurnal pattern
through early next week before becoming predominately southerly
mid to late week. MM/25

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      74  94  73  95  74  97  74  94 /  10  40  10  50  10  50  30  60
Pensacola   77  94  77  95  77  96  77  92 /  10  30  10  40  20  50  40  70
Destin      80  93  80  95  81  95  80  92 /  10  30  10  40  20  60  50  70
Evergreen   72  96  73  97  74  97  73  95 /  20  30  10  30  10  30  30  60
Waynesboro  72  96  73  96  72  97  72  97 /  20  30  10  30  10  30  10  40
Camden      72  94  73  96  74  96  74  95 /  20  30  10  30  10  20  20  50
Crestview   73  96  73  97  74  97  74  94 /  10  50  10  50  10  60  40  70

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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