258
FXUS64 KMOB 122334
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
634 PM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025

...New Aviation...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1115 AM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025

Summer continues with upper ridging overhead this weekend into
early next week. Weak inverted upper troughing slowly transits
west by mid to late week across the northeastern gulf with a weak
surface trough/low moving in tandem with it. Through early next
week, typical afternoon isolated to scattered showers and storms
can be expected with hot afternoon temperatures in the lower to
middle 90`s, becoming middle to perhaps even upper 90`s Monday
into Tuesday. With the approach of the aforementioned trough,
temperatures taper back into the upper 80`s to lower 90`s to
round out the week while rain chances increase quite a bit. If the
more aggressive forecast guidance regarding cloud cover and
thunderstorm coverage is correct, temperatures might be even
cooler than currently forecast. Afternoon heat indices will
generally be in the 100 to 108 range through early next week,
perhaps locally approaching the 110 nearer the coast Tuesday. The
rip current risk remains low through early next week, but should
start to increase mid to late week with onshore flow prevailing.
MM/25

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 631 PM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025

VFR conditions prevail through the period as isolated storms
remain well inland from the coastal terminals. Winds will become
light and variable overnight and turn more northwesterly in the
early morning hours on Sunday before turning southwesterly in the
afternoon. 07/mb

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1115 AM CDT Sat Jul 12 2025

No impacts are expected in the marine waters outside of showers
and thunderstorms. Winds will follow the typical diurnal pattern
through early next week before becoming predominately southerly
mid to late week. MM/25

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      74  93  74  95  75  97  75  93 /  10  40   0  30  10  40  20  70
Pensacola   79  92  78  94  80  95  78  90 /  10  30   0  20  10  40  30  70
Destin      81  90  80  92  81  92  80  89 /  10  30   0  20  20  40  40  70
Evergreen   72  94  73  97  75  97  73  94 /  10  30  10  20  10  30  30  70
Waynesboro  72  94  73  95  74  97  73  95 /  20  30  10  20  10  20  10  50
Camden      73  94  73  96  75  97  74  93 /  10  30   0  20  10  20  20  50
Crestview   74  96  74  97  76  98  73  93 /  10  50   0  30  20  50  30  80

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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