319
FXUS64 KMOB 201143
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
643 AM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025

...New Aviation...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 306 AM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025

Today though Monday night...

An upper level ridge over the southwest Atlantic and eastern Gulf
will weaken slightly on its western edge as a strong shortwave
ejects northeast across the southern plains today. This will send
a cold front toward the area late Sunday into Monday. The front
will stall west of the area Monday afternoon, keeping the highest
rain chances northwest of I-65 through Monday night. Most areas to
the southeast of I-65 will remain dry. High temps will climb into
the low to mid 80s. Lows will be in the low to mid 60s. A high
risk of rip currents will continue through the period. /13

Tuesday through Saturday...

Precipitable water levels will remain elevated up to 1.5 inches
through midweek as southwesterly flow aloft continues over our
region as a series of upper shortwave energy and impulses traverse
the area. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will
return through at least midweek, with perhaps numerous coverage
well northwest of the I-65 corridor Tuesday afternoon, especially
close to the nearly stalled surface boundary. A mostly dry pattern
will return the latter half of the week. Despite the increased
chances of rain, the total expected rainfall should be minimal. At
this time, we are only expecting between one-tenth inch to near
one inch of rain northwest of I-65 starting Tuesday, and below
one-tenth inch to the southeast of I-65. A High Rip Current Risk
on Tuesday will become a Moderate Risk Tuesday night through
Thursday as surf heights decrease. Temperatures will continue to
trend above normal with highs in 80s and lows in the 60s. /22

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 630 AM CDT Sun Apr 20 2025

MVFR ceilings will return tonight over southeast Mississippi and
interior southwest Alabama, and patchy fog is expected southeast
of I-65 late tonight, with isolated visibilities as low as 1 mile.
Outside of these conditions, VFR level will prevail along with a
southeasterly wind of 10 to 15 knots with gusts to near 25 knots
at times. /22

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 307 PM CDT Sat Apr 19 2025

A light to occasionally moderate southeasterly flow pattern will
persist through the middle of next week. /13 Considering the
persistent fetch, seas look to remain 3, to perhaps around 5 feet
in range over the next few days before trending lower to 2 to 3
feet Wed/Thu. /10

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      82  66  82  65  82  64  83  66 /   0  10  30  20  50  10  20  10
Pensacola   79  67  79  68  79  67  80  68 /   0   0   0  10  30   0  10   0
Destin      78  68  79  68  79  68  81  69 /   0   0   0   0  10   0  10   0
Evergreen   85  59  85  60  84  60  86  61 /   0   0  10  20  50  10  20  10
Waynesboro  85  63  83  62  82  62  84  62 /   0  20  70  40  80  20  50  20
Camden      85  61  85  62  82  61  84  61 /   0   0  30  30  70  20  30  10
Crestview   84  58  84  60  84  60  87  62 /   0   0   0   0  20   0  10   0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk through Tuesday afternoon for ALZ265-266.

FL...High Rip Current Risk through Tuesday afternoon for FLZ202-204-
     206.

MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

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