Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL
841 FXUS64 KMOB 210524 AFDMOB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mobile AL 1224 AM CDT Thu Aug 21 2025 ...New Aviation, Discussion, Marine... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1200 AM CDT Thu Aug 21 2025 Upper ridging retrogrades westward and weakens through the remainder of the week into the weekend as broad upper troughing begins to take its place across the eastern CONUS. A more subtle shortwave trough will be situated across the forecast area today through Saturday helping to promote scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms each day. This feature shifts east Sunday with shower and thunderstorm chances diminishing somewhat to isolated to scattered coverage. A more pronounced trough and attendant cold front works their way across the region early next week, with cold frontal passage looking to occur sometime on Monday. Prior to the frontal passage, daily afternoon highs top out in the upper 80`s to lower 90`s with lows in the upper 60`s to lower 70`s, middle 70`s nearer the coast. After the front pushes through afternoon highs top out in the middle to upper 80`s, lower 90`s nearer the coast with overnight lows in the middle to upper 60`s for most locations. The overall forecast will be mostly dry for next week with only an isolated shower or storm possible nearer the coast Monday. A Low risk of rip currents continues through the weekend into early next week. MM/25 && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1200 AM CDT Thu Aug 21 2025 VFR flight category prevails across the region today. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are possible this afternoon, with any locations underneath these storms seeing temporary reductions in flight category. Winds remain generally out of the west tonight less than 5 knots, becoming west to northwest at 5 to 10 knots after daybreak. Locations nearer the coast will see winds shift out of the southwest to south at 5 to 10 knots during the afternoon Thursday. MM/25 && .MARINE... Issued at 1200 AM CDT Thu Aug 21 2025 The diurnal flow pattern comes to an end today with westerly flow this morning becoming onshore this afternoon. Light southwesterly flow prevails Friday through Sunday. Light to moderate northwest flow develops late Sunday night into Monday morning as a cold front moves through. No impacts are anticipated other than higher winds and seas near storms. MM/25 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Mobile 74 94 73 91 73 90 73 91 / 10 60 40 70 30 70 30 50 Pensacola 78 92 77 90 76 89 75 89 / 10 50 30 70 40 70 40 60 Destin 79 91 78 90 78 88 77 89 / 10 50 30 60 50 70 40 60 Evergreen 73 95 72 93 72 90 70 92 / 20 60 40 60 40 60 20 40 Waynesboro 73 93 71 88 71 90 69 93 / 20 60 40 50 20 50 20 30 Camden 73 92 72 90 71 88 71 90 / 20 60 30 50 30 50 20 30 Crestview 74 94 73 90 71 89 72 89 / 10 60 30 70 40 70 30 60 && .MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. FL...None. MS...None. GM...None. && $$ This product is also available on the web at: www.weather.gov/mob