Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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948
FNUS72 KMLB 140828
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for LW1, 2, 5...Florida Park Service
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
428 AM EDT Wed May 14 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on May 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Patchy ground fog possible early this morning. Light SW-W winds
in the morning increase to 5-10 mph in the afternoon, then become
light again overnight. Dispersion values Very Good. Min RH around
45 pct. An isolated afternoon shower can`t be ruled out, but
otherwise dry conditions. Lightning is not forecast. Afternoon
highs in the U80s with peak heat indices in the L90s. Similar
pattern Thursday with a slightly more southerly wind component,
slightly lower dispersion values, and highs increasing to the L90s
with peak heat indices in the M90s.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west around 5 mph late in
                    the morning, peaking up to 10 mph in the late
afternoon.
Mixing height.......400-1600 ft AGL increasing to 5600-6100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 69.
LVORI...............9 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........6   8   10  10  13  20  22  28  28  28  25  25
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............67  66  69  73  78  81  83  85  87  88  89  89
RH..............98  100 97  84  71  64  58  54  50  48  46  46
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   3   5   6   6   6   7   6   7
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   6   7   9   10  10  12  12  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.5 1.6 3.3 4.0 4.9 5.0 5.6 6.1 6.0 5.7
Transp wind dir.W   SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   9   10  9   10  10  10  9   10  10
Dispersion idx..3   3   4   18  42  49  61  64  69  65  73  64
LVORI...........9   9   8   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
Max humidity........99 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......2100-3600 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL early
in the evening.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....Decreasing to 4.
LVORI...............Increasing to 8.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........18     11     7      6      8      18
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     0      0      0      0
Temp............88     83     78     74     71     69
RH..............46     56     69     79     87     95
20 ft wind......W 6    W 5    W 2    SW 2   SW 2   SW 1
20 ft wind gust.9      8      7      6      5      3
Mix hgt (ft)....3600   700    500    500    400    400
Transport wind..W 9    W 10   W 8    W 7    W 6    SW 5
Dispersion idx..50     5      4      3      3      2
LVORI...........1      3      3      4      6      8

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......400-1900 ft AGL increasing to 4800-5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 8 mph.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 53.
LVORI...............10 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........27        27        10        4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
Temp............67        74        86        91
RH..............99        84        54        43
20 FT wind......W 1G2     SW 1G3    SW 3G8    SW 6G10
Mix hgt (ft)....400       1200      3200      4800
Transport wind..SW 5      SW 3      SW 5      SW 7
Dispersion idx..2         7         22        43
LVORI...........10        5         2         1

$$
Forecaster...Haley
Requested by...Benjamin Bandor
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2513893.0/MLB
.DELDT 05/14/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Ben.bandor@floridadep.gov