713
FNUS72 KMLB 140715
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for KBSF SW Unit...FFS
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
315 AM EDT Thu Aug 14 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on August 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Poor dispersion today, as high pressure over the local area produces
light and variable winds through the afternoon. Scattered showers
storms will be possible late this afternoon and into this evening
near the burn site. Any storms will be capable of gusty winds up
to 50 to 55 mph. Hot conditions this afternoon, with a high
temperature around 95 degrees. Humid conditions will lead to peak
heat indices just below Heat Advisory criteria at around 107 degrees.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the
                    afternoon. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 95.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL increasing to 4500 ft AGL late in
                    the morning.
Transport winds.....West around 3 mph shifting to the northeast 3
                    to 5 mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....10 increasing to 20 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............6 decreasing to 2.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
Sky (%).........18     20     39     47     55
Weather cov.....                     S CHC  CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                     S CHC  CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      10     20     40
Temp............81     90     93     93     92
RH..............91     68     58     58     58
20 ft wind......SW 1   W 2    W 2    S 3    S 3
20 ft wind gust.3      7      7      9      10
Mix hgt (ft)....1000   3100   4400   4500   3800
Transport wind..W 3    NW 3   NW 3   NW 3   NE 5
Dispersion idx..5      14     18     19     19
LVORI...........6      3      2      2      2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 3 to 6 mph.
Dispersion index....8 decreasing to 2 after 3 am.
LVORI...............3 increasing to 10.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky (%).........52        40        33        14
Weather cov.....CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR    NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).50        10        10        0
Temp............90        81        78        76
RH..............64        88        94        97
20 FT wind......S 3G9     S 3G7     S 2G5     S 1G5
Mix hgt (ft)....2300      500       500       400
Transport wind..SE 3      S 6       S 6       S 5
Dispersion idx..12        3         3         2
LVORI...........2         6         6         8

$$
Forecaster...Leahy
Requested by...Noah Hines
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2519831.0/MLB
.DELDT 08/14/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL hinesne@mail.irsc.edu