793
FNUS72 KMLB 261155
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for BSP-15c...Blue Spring State Park
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
755 AM EDT Thu Mar 26 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on March 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Dense fog is occurring near the burn site this morning. A Dense
Fog Advisory has been issued for Lake County through 10 AM, and a
Special Weather Statement for patchy dense fog has been issued
for Volusia county through 9 AM. Winds this morning light
northerly and could become variable at times, before shifting
easterly in the late morning, and increasing to 5-10 mph in the
afternoon. An isolated shower or lightning storm are possible on
the sea breeze after 2 PM, otherwise dry conditions. Winds become
light and variable after 7 PM, and fog will be possible again late
tonight into Friday morning. Winds remain light and variable
Friday until the sea breeze pushes through. No min RH concerns.
Afternoon smoke dispersion will be Poor to Fair.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy dense fog
in the morning. Slight chance of showers in the
afternoon. Slight chance of thunderstorms late
in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 10 mph. Gusty
and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......300-1900 ft AGL increasing to 3000-4300 ft AGL
late in the morning.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 36.
LVORI...............9 decreasing to 2.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........40  30  24  20  31  40  46  44  39  28
Weather cov.....                SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).0   10  10  10  20  20  20  20  20  10
Temp............64  66  72  76  79  80  81  80  81  80
RH..............97  100 87  76  69  65  63  65  63  62
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   5   5   6   6   10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.6   7   7   8   8   9   10  12  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.9 1.9 3.0 3.6 4.1 4.3 3.2 3.5 3.6
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   SE  E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   5   5   6   7   8   8   8
Dispersion idx..2   7   14  18  25  31  36  35  36  37
LVORI...........8   7   4   3   3   3   2   2   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 10 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL early in
                    the evening.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph shifting to the south 5 to 10
                    mph overnight.
Dispersion index....40 decreasing to 4.
LVORI...............1 increasing to 9.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........21     8      9      9      13     18
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     0      0      0      0      0
Temp............79     73     69     66     65     62
RH..............64     79     90     97     97     100
20 ft wind......E 10   E 6    E 3    SE 2   S 2    SE 2
20 ft wind gust.13     13     9      7      6      5
Mix hgt (ft)....2900   600    500    400    400    400
Transport wind..E 12   E 12   E 9    SE 7   S 8    S 8
Dispersion idx..40     5      4      3      4      3
LVORI...........1      4      6      8      8      9

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Patchy fog early in the
                    morning.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph late
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL increasing to 6800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 3 to 5 mph shifting to the southwest in
                    the afternoon.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 37.
LVORI...............10 decreasing to 2.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........30        18        10        23
Weather cov.....PATCHY
Weather type....FOG       NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         10
Temp............62        66        80        85
RH..............100       93        65        50
20 FT wind......SE 1G5    S 2G5     S 3G7     S 5G9
Mix hgt (ft)....400       1100      4200      6500
Transport wind..S 5       S 3       SW 3      SW 3
Dispersion idx..2         5         19        27
LVORI...........9         6         3         2

$$
Forecaster...Haley
Requested by...Dustin Allen
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2607985.0/MLB
.DELDT 03/26/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL dustin.l.allen@floridadep.gov