478
FNUS72 KMLB 051317
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for Hilochee WMA prescribed burn...FWC
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
917 AM EDT Thu Jun 5 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on June 05.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...High pressure prevails over the area through the weekend,
with daily chances for scattered afternoon showers and lightning storms.
Should any storms develop, they will drift easterly through the evening
hours. Light southerly winds today will become southwesterly on Friday.
Hot and humid conditions, with highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s and
heat indices near 100 today and 100-105 Friday. No min RH concerns.
Generally Good dispersion today will become Poor to Fair Friday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the morning,
                    then showers likely and chance of thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL increasing to 4700 ft AGL late in
                    the afternoon, then decreasing to 2300 ft AGL
                    late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 14 mph.
Dispersion index....Increasing to around 62.
LVORI...............4 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........57  54  51  55  60  63  58  64
Weather cov.....    SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........    SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10  20  20  30  50  50  60  60
Temp............80  82  84  86  86  86  88  87
RH..............85  79  77  70  70  68  63  63
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW
20 FT wind spd..7   8   8   9   9   8   7   7
20 FT wind gust.13  14  15  15  15  14  13  12
Mix hgt (kft)...2.1 2.9 3.5 4.1 4.7 4.0 3.3 2.3
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW
Transp wind spd.13  14  13  13  13  12  12  12
Dispersion idx..33  46  56  62  50  43  38  34
LVORI...........4   3   3   3   3   1   1   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 73.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph shifting to the northwest 5
                    to 6 mph late in the evening, then shifting to
                    the south 3 to 6 mph overnight.
Dispersion index....Decreasing to 2 to 3.
LVORI...............3 increasing to 7.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........64  60  60  63  52  50  47  42  37  37  32  37
Weather cov.....LKY CHC CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).60  50  30  30  20  10  10  0   10  10  10  10
Temp............86  85  82  79  79  77  77  76  76  75  75  74
RH..............65  67  74  85  82  88  88  90  90  94  90  93
20 FT wind dir..S   S   SW  S   S   S   SW  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   5   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.10  8   7   6   5   5   5   5   3   3   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   W   SW  S   S   W   NW  SW  S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.10  10  6   5   5   6   5   6   5   5   5   3
Dispersion idx..23  14  3   2   2   2   2   3   2   2   2   2
LVORI...........3   3   3   5   5   5   6   6   7   7   7   7

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of showers
                    early in the morning. Chance of thunderstorms
                    late in the morning and afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 6 to 7 mph late
                    in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL increasing to 5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 7 mph increasing to 7 to 9 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....4 increasing up to around 42.
LVORI...............9 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........41  45  39  34  32  29  38  47  55  49  42  35
Weather cov.....        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  30  30  30  30  30  30  50  50  50  50
Temp............73  75  76  79  82  85  86  88  89  90  90  91
RH..............100 94  94  88  79  75  72  68  66  64  62  60
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   3   6   6   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.3   5   5   6   7   8   9   10  13  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.1 1.9 2.6 3.4 4.2 5.0 4.4 3.8 3.1
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.3   3   5   6   7   7   7   7   7   8   8   9
Dispersion idx..2   2   2   6   14  21  27  36  41  42  38  35
LVORI...........9   8   7   5   4   3   3   3   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Sedlock
Requested by...Loghan Lomneck
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2515397.0/MLB
.DELDT 06/05/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Loghan.Lomneck@myfwc.com