230
FNUS72 KMLB 041139
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for New Smyrna Training...Florida Forest Service
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
639 AM EST Tue Feb 4 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EST on February 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Widespread, dense fog is forecast to persist near the burn site
through much of the morning. A Dense Fog Advisory remains in
effect through at least 10 AM, and extensions in time of the
advisory cannot be ruled out, especially if fog lingers. Light
winds through the morning and into the early afternoon are
forecast to become easterly as a weak sea breeze develops and
moves inland. These light winds mean that dispersion values are
forecast to remain poor near the site through the entire day. Rain
is not forecast near the burn site, and minimum RH values are
forecast to remain well above critical thresholds in the upper 60s
to low 70s. Fog development will once again be possible early
evening into the overnight hours, first developing across the
nearshore Atlantic waters and then moving inland.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Areas of dense
                    fog late in the morning, then patchy fog late
                    in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north around 5 mph early
                    in the afternoon, then shifting to the
                    northeast around 6 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 6 to 7 mph shifting to the east
                    around 6 mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....1 increasing to 14.
LVORI...............7 decreasing to 3.

TIME (EST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........78  73  67  61  52  48  43  32  43
Weather cov.....ARS ARS PTY PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............68  70  74  76  77  77  78  75  74
RH..............93  90  79  74  71  70  66  71  73
20 FT wind dir..W   NW  NW  N   N   N   NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..2   3   3   5   5   5   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.6   7   7   7   7   7   8   8   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.8 1.2 1.7 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.0 0.6
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   E   E
Transp wind spd.6   7   7   7   6   6   6   6   6
Dispersion idx..1   6   10  11  14  14  12  9   6
LVORI...........7   6   4   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Tollefsen
Requested by...Peter Scalco
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2502202.0/MLB
.DELDT 02/04/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL peter.scalco@fdacs.gov