Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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930
FNUS72 KMLB 100814
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for 3N unit 16...FWC
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
414 AM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on June 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Showers and storms will be focused along the westward moving-sea breeze
this afternoon, clearing the burn site by this evening. Thursday, increasing
chances for showers and storms, with a sea breeze collision west of the burn
site. A few strong storms will be possible and slow moving storms could
produce locally heavy rainfall. East to southeast winds will increase to
10-15 mph behind the sea breeze. No min RH concerns, with generally good
dispersion.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of showers and
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 12 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL increasing to 3900 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 42.
LVORI...............8 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........46  48  43  40  52  53  49  56  51  42  41
Weather cov.....                    SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC SHC
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  20  30  30  30  30  20
Temp............74  76  79  83  84  85  87  87  87  88  87
RH..............93  94  88  77  74  72  68  68  68  66  65
20 FT wind dir..E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..3   3   5   5   6   6   7   7   9   10  12
20 FT wind gust.6   6   7   8   9   10  13  14  15  15  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.6 1.7 3.1 3.9 3.7 3.8 3.7 3.6 3.8 3.7
Transp wind dir.E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E
Transp wind spd.6   7   9   8   7   7   8   8   9   9   10
Dispersion idx..3   5   21  31  33  31  36  39  42  43  41
LVORI...........8   6   4   3   3   3   3   3   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL early in
                    the evening.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 13 mph decreasing to around 7
                    mph after 3 am.
Dispersion index....48 decreasing to 6.
LVORI...............1 increasing to 8.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........32     28     17     39     48     41
Weather cov.....S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20     10     10     0      0      0
Temp............85     79     76     74     73     72
RH..............67     79     87     90     90     93
20 ft wind......E 10   E 8    SE 6   SE 5   SE 3   SE 2
20 ft wind gust.16     13     10     8      6      5
Mix hgt (ft)....3400   1200   500    400    400    400
Transport wind..E 12   SE 12  SE 8   SE 7   SE 7   S 7
Dispersion idx..48     8      4      3      3      3
LVORI...........1      4      5      6      6      7

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of showers
and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 8 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL increasing to 5600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 7 mph shifting to the southeast 6 to
13 mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....3 increasing to 52 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............8 decreasing to 2.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........31        19        32        59
Weather cov.....                              CHANCE
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                              CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         10        30
Temp............71        78        87        90
RH..............97        88        63        58
20 FT wind......SE 2G3    S 2G3     SE 5G7    E 6G10
Mix hgt (ft)....400       1900      4700      5500
Transport wind..S 6       S 7       E 5       SE 8
Dispersion idx..3         16        27        53
LVORI...........8         4         2         1

$$
Forecaster...Wishard
Requested by...Jared Draxler
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2615246.0/MLB
.DELDT 06/10/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jared.draxler@myfwc.com