Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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079
FNUS72 KMLB 022330
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for Chelsea rd...Florida Forest service
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
730 PM EDT Wed Apr 2 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2000 EDT on April 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Continued southeast winds from 5-12 mph tonight will maintain
some dispersion and limit the potential for fog development to
less than a 10% chance. RH recovery exceeds 90%. On Thursday,
expect the southeast breezes to become gusty again, similar to
what occurred earlier this afternoon. Sustained 20 ft winds SE
12-15 mph with peak gusts from 25-30 mph from late morning through
the afternoon hours. Minimum RH readings 50-60% by afternoon and
very good dispersion.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 17 mph.
Dispersion index....10.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........18  22  26  28  29  28  31  27  30  31
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............78  77  76  76  74  75  74  74  73  72
RH..............79  85  85  85  90  87  90  87  90  90
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..10  10  9   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.16  15  14  14  13  13  13  13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.16  15  15  15  15  15  16  17  15  15
Dispersion idx..11  10  10  10  10  10  9   9   9   10
LVORI...........4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 16 mph.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL increasing to 4000 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 14 to 22 mph.
Dispersion index....9 increasing to 50 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 73 in the late morning and
                    afternoon decreasing to 65 late in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............6 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........34  34  34  24  27  29  27  22  19  16  18  18
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............72  71  73  75  79  82  84  85  86  87  85  85
RH..............90  97  90  84  77  69  65  63  61  59  63  63
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..8   7   8   12  13  14  15  16  16  16  16  15
20 FT wind gust.14  14  15  16  18  20  21  22  22  22  22  21
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 2.0 3.2 3.4 3.6 4.0 3.9 3.8 3.5 3.0
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.15  14  14  20  22  21  21  21  20  21  20  21
Dispersion idx..9   8   9   50  69  72  73  76  73  75  69  65
LVORI...........5   6   5   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL early in
                    the evening.
Transport winds.....Southeast 13 to 21 mph.
Dispersion index....57 decreasing to 9 early in the evening.
LVORI...............2 increasing to 5 early in the evening.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........16  17  19  23  23  23  26  28  31  33  34  36
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............83  80  77  76  75  75  74  74  73  73  72  72
RH..............67  74  82  85  87  87  90  87  90  87  87  87
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..15  14  12  10  9   9   8   8   8   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.21  18  17  16  15  15  15  15  15  14  14  13
Mix hgt (kft)...2.8 2.2 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.21  20  16  15  14  13  13  13  13  13  13  13
Dispersion idx..61  52  11  10  10  9   9   8   8   7   7   7
LVORI...........1   2   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

$$
Forecaster...Heil
Requested by...Ryan Hunt
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2508738.0/MLB
.DELDT 04/02/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ryan.hunt@fdacs.gov