552
FNUS72 KMLB 190914
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for Indian River Club...FFS
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
514 AM EDT Thu Sep 19 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EDT on September 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Dry conditions are forecast through early afternoon at the
spot location. After 2 pm, there is a 40-60 percent chance of
showers and storms through early evening.

Light (less than 8 mph) west to southwest winds this morning will
become east-northeast after 4 pm today, with periods of
variability in the early afternoon. RH minima will remain above
60% and dispersion will become good.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the
                    afternoon. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon, then showers and
                    thunderstorms likely late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1200, then 1-8 strikes until
                    1300, then 9-15 strikes until 1700, then 16-25
                    strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest around 6 mph
                    late in the morning, then shifting to the
                    northeast late in the afternoon shifting to the
                    east late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL increasing to 3500 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 7 mph shifting to the
                    northeast late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....15 increasing to 30 early in the afternoon,
                    then decreasing to 20 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........9   8   30  30  39  36  37  48
Weather cov.....        SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........        SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  20  30  40  50  50  60
LAL.............1   1   2   3   3   3   3   4
Temp............82  85  86  87  88  88  88  86
RH..............85  75  72  68  66  66  66  70
20 FT wind dir..W   W   NW  NW  N   NE  NE  E
20 FT wind spd..3   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.7   8   9   9   10  9   9   8
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 2.0 3.3 3.5 3.3 3.1 2.3 1.7
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   NW  N   NE  E
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
Dispersion idx..12  18  27  32  32  27  21  18
LVORI...........4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening and
                    overnight, then slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms overnight.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 8 mph shifting to the southwest
                    around 7 mph late in the evening, then shifting
                    to the east around 5 mph overnight shifting to
                    the south 5 to 6 mph overnight shifting to the
                    southwest around 5 mph.
Dispersion index....13 decreasing to 3 early in the evening.
LVORI...............4 increasing to 7.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........46  52  55  58  67  70  71  74  71  68  61  53
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).50  50  30  30  40  50  40  30  20  20  20  20
Temp............85  84  80  80  79  78  78  77  77  77  76  75
RH..............72  74  82  85  88  88  88  90  87  87  90  94
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   SE  S   W   N   S   SW  W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..5   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   2   2
20 FT wind gust.7   6   5   3   3   3   2   2   3   3   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 1.2 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.E   E   SE  SE  SE  SW  E   S   S   SW  W   SW
Transp wind spd.8   7   7   7   7   7   5   6   5   5   5   5
Dispersion idx..14  11  3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2
LVORI...........3   4   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7

.FRIDAY...

Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north 5 to 9 mph in the
                    late morning and early afternoon, then shifting
                    to the northeast 8 to 9 mph late in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the morning. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
                    in the morning.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 37.
LVORI...............7 decreasing to 3.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   5   6   7   8   9   9   9   8
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   6   8   10  12  12  13  13  12  12
Dispersion idx..2   2   3   9   16  26  30  35  40  37  37  33
LVORI...........7   7   6   5   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Heil
Requested by...Martin Harn
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2422680.0/MLB
.DELDT 09/19/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL martin.harn@fdacs.gov